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APO vs BX
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Apollo Global Management (APO) vs. Blackstone (BX) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- APO and BX are leading alternative asset managers with substantial assets under management (AUM), though BX maintains a larger overall scale.
- Both firms reported strong fee-related earnings (FRE) growth in recent quarters, driven by robust capital formation and origination activity.
- APO stock has shown relative resilience in recent market activity compared to BX, which experienced steeper declines over the past month and year-to-date periods.
- Key growth drivers include private credit, infrastructure, and real estate strategies for both, with ongoing M&A (mergers and acquisitions) activity providing potential catalysts.
- Risk factors center on interest rate sensitivity, private market valuations, and sector-specific exposures such as software or real estate.
- Market sentiment reflects caution in private markets, tempered by record inflows and earnings momentum at both companies.
Introduction
Apollo Global Management (APO) and Blackstone (BX) represent two of the largest players in the alternative asset management sector. This comparison examines their business models, recent stock performance, and relative positioning amid evolving market conditions. Institutional investors, portfolio managers, and traders focused on financial services or private markets exposure may find the analysis relevant for assessing diversification opportunities, risk-adjusted returns, and sector trends. The review draws on verifiable data from earnings reports and market activity to highlight contrasts without forward-looking projections.
APO Overview and Recent Performance
Apollo Global Management (APO) operates as a global alternative asset manager with significant focus on private equity, credit, and insurance-related strategies through its Athene subsidiary. Recent market activity has featured record second-quarter fee-related earnings (FRE) of $785 million and spread-related earnings (SRE) of $877 million, supported by $60 billion in organic inflows and strong origination volumes. The stock, trading near $125.91 recently, has declined modestly in recent weeks amid broader sector pressures, with year-to-date performance around -13%. Developments such as equity support for music rights combinations and financing discussions have influenced sentiment, while AUM (assets under management) exceeded $1 trillion. Performance reflects resilience relative to peers, buoyed by durable fee streams and capital deployment.
BX Overview and Recent Performance
Blackstone (BX) is a premier alternative asset manager spanning private equity, real estate, credit, and infrastructure. Recent quarters highlighted distributable earnings growth and record AUM approaching $1.35 trillion, fueled by substantial inflows exceeding $68 billion in one period. The stock, recently near $124.96, has faced sharper pressure in recent market activity, with steeper year-to-date and trailing twelve-month declines than some peers. Activity in data center cooling acquisitions and infrastructure credit funds has drawn attention, alongside ongoing fundraising momentum. Broader private market caution has weighed on performance, though fee income and realizations demonstrate underlying operational strength.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
APO and BX share exposure to private markets but differ in scale, focus, and recent momentum. BX commands larger AUM and market capitalization, offering broader diversification across real estate and infrastructure, while APO emphasizes credit and insurance synergies with potentially more stable spread earnings. Recent stock performance shows APO exhibiting greater resilience amid sector volatility. Growth drivers overlap in capital formation and originations, yet APO has highlighted lower software exposure as a differentiator. Risk factors include interest rate impacts on realizations for both, with BX facing additional real estate sensitivity. Market sentiment remains measured, favoring firms with consistent fee growth and inflows.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as relative stock stability, earnings consistency, and positioning in private credit amid recent market activity, Tickeron’s AI models would currently assign a probabilistic edge to APO over BX. This assessment reflects trend consistency and catalyst visibility without implying certainty or investment recommendations.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is APO is a Hold and BX is a Hold.
| APO | BX | APO / BX | |
| Capitalization | 74.4B | 99.7B | 75% |
| EBITDA | 9.52B | N/A | - |
| Gain YTD | -12.298 | -16.384 | 75% |
| P/E Ratio | 44.81 | 27.96 | 160% |
| Revenue | 35.9B | 13.6B | 264% |
| Total Cash | 267B | 2.58B | 10,361% |
| Total Debt | 13.7B | 14B | 98% |
APO | BX | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 67 | 50 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 16 Undervalued | 12 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 47 | 77 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 88 | 32 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 58 | 60 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 10 | 89 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 90 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
BX's Valuation (12) in the Investment Managers industry is in the same range as APO (16). This means that BX’s stock grew similarly to APO’s over the last 12 months.
APO's Profit vs Risk Rating (47) in the Investment Managers industry is in the same range as BX (77). This means that APO’s stock grew similarly to BX’s over the last 12 months.
BX's SMR Rating (32) in the Investment Managers industry is somewhat better than the same rating for APO (88). This means that BX’s stock grew somewhat faster than APO’s over the last 12 months.
APO's Price Growth Rating (58) in the Investment Managers industry is in the same range as BX (60). This means that APO’s stock grew similarly to BX’s over the last 12 months.
APO's P/E Growth Rating (10) in the Investment Managers industry is significantly better than the same rating for BX (89). This means that APO’s stock grew significantly faster than BX’s over the last 12 months.
| APO | BX | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 6 days ago 67% | 4 days ago 67% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 80% | 4 days ago 77% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 56% | 4 days ago 73% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 57% | 4 days ago 59% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 66% | 4 days ago 65% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 72% | 4 days ago 67% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 19 days ago 73% | 19 days ago 70% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 6 days ago 69% | 6 days ago 68% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 84% | 4 days ago 73% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 79% | 4 days ago 71% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
APO’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green while BX’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- APO’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- BX’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
APO’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while BX’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- APO’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 6 bearish.
- BX’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 6 bearish.
Price Growth
APO (@Investment Managers) experienced а -2.38% price change this week, while BX (@Investment Managers) price change was -2.76% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Investment Managers industry was +1.31%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +1.00%, and the average quarterly price growth was +8.63%.
Reported Earning Dates
APO is expected to report earnings on Nov 04, 2026.
BX is expected to report earnings on Oct 15, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Investment Managers (+1.31% weekly)Investment Managers manage financial assets and other investments of clients. Management includes designing a short- or long-term strategy for buying/holding and selling of portfolio holdings. It can also include tax services and other aspects of financial planning as well. While it is perceived that the industry is faced with growing competition from robo-advisors/digital platforms and passive/ index-tracking funds, many investors still find value in actively managed in-person services that investment management companies often emphasize on. At the same time, many wealth managers are also incorporating digital initiatives/low cost options in addition to their in-person customized services. Their main sources of revenues are fees as a percentage of assets under management, in addition to a certain portion of clients’ gains from asset appreciation. BlackRock, Inc., Blackstone Group Inc and Brookfield Asset Management are some of the major investment management companies.
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APO and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, APO has been closely correlated with KKR. These tickers have moved in lockstep 82% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if APO jumps, then KKR could also see price increases.