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APO vs BX
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Apollo Global Management (APO) vs. Blackstone (BX) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Both APO and BX are leading alternative asset managers that have faced share-price pressure in recent weeks despite reporting record assets under management (AUM).
- Apollo has surpassed $1 trillion in AUM and posted record fee-related earnings, driven by its investment-grade credit and retirement-services platforms.
- Blackstone operates a larger platform at roughly $1.35 trillion in AUM but is contending with redemption requests in its flagship private credit fund (BCRED).
- Apollo skews toward credit and insurance-linked income, while Blackstone carries deeper exposure to private equity and real estate.
- Both firms are positioning heavily around artificial intelligence (AI) infrastructure, though their relative momentum and risk profiles differ.
Introduction
Apollo Global Management and Blackstone are two of the world's most influential alternative asset managers, yet their businesses differ in meaningful ways that shape how each performs across market cycles. This stock comparison examines their relative performance, growth drivers, and market positioning to help investors and traders evaluate which name currently offers a more compelling risk-reward profile. The comparison is especially relevant for those tracking the alternative-asset and private-markets sector, where scale, fee stability, and exposure to themes such as private credit and AI infrastructure can materially influence returns. Both companies command significant institutional attention, making a side-by-side review a useful starting point for informed decision-making.
APO Overview and Recent Performance
APO, or Apollo Global Management, is a high-growth alternative asset manager focused on investment-grade credit, private equity, and retirement services through its Athene platform. In recent quarters, Apollo reached a major milestone by surpassing $1 trillion in AUM, which stood at approximately $1.05 trillion as of mid-2026. The firm reported record fee-related earnings (FRE), reflecting strong origination activity and capital formation, with quarterly origination volumes running in the tens of billions of dollars.
Despite these operational strengths, Apollo's shares have pulled back in recent market activity, trading below both average analyst targets and certain intrinsic-value estimates. Some investors have reassessed near-term risk and reward as expense growth and a softer exit environment weighed on sentiment. Apollo's management has emphasized a defensive investment posture and initiatives to improve transparency in private credit, such as expanding daily pricing across its credit platform. The company has also continued returning capital to shareholders through dividends and share repurchases.
BX Overview and Recent Performance
BX, or Blackstone, is the world's largest alternative asset manager, with a diversified platform spanning private equity, real estate, credit, and infrastructure. As of its most recent reporting, Blackstone managed approximately $1.35 trillion in AUM, supported by strong inflows that approached $70 billion in a single quarter. The firm posted distributable earnings growth of roughly 26% in its latest quarter, helped by rising fee-related earnings and increased realizations.
However, Blackstone's stock has underperformed significantly over the past year, falling well below its 52-week high. A key overhang has been elevated redemption requests in its flagship private credit fund, BCRED (Blackstone Private Credit Fund), which have exceeded the fund's quarterly withdrawal cap and sparked investor concerns. In response, Blackstone has leaned into growth themes such as AI infrastructure, data centers, and defense technology, while management has argued the shares are undervalued relative to the firm's long-term earnings power.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
The two firms differ most in business mix and risk exposure. Apollo generates a larger share of its earnings from credit origination and spread-related earnings tied to Athene's retirement and insurance balance sheet, which lends a degree of stability to its fee stream. Blackstone, by contrast, carries deeper exposure to private equity and real estate, which can amplify results in strong markets but add cyclicality during downturns.
On growth drivers, both companies are investing heavily in AI-related infrastructure, but Blackstone has been more vocal about data-center and compute initiatives, while Apollo emphasizes investment-grade private credit and financing the "picks and shovels" of AI buildout. In terms of recent momentum, both stocks have struggled, though Apollo's pullback has been comparatively less severe than Blackstone's over a 52-week window.
Risk factors also diverge. Blackstone faces investor concerns around private-credit redemptions, whereas Apollo's risks center on valuation, expense growth, and the durability of its origination pipeline. Both carry sensitivity to capital-markets conditions and realizations from portfolio exits.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as trend consistency, earnings stability, and relative positioning, Tickeron's AI would likely lean toward APO over BX in the current environment. Apollo's record fee-related earnings, its $1 trillion-plus AUM base, and the recurring, insurance-linked nature of its credit income suggest a more stable earnings foundation. In contrast, Blackstone's larger real-estate and private-equity exposure, combined with ongoing redemption pressure in its private credit fund, introduces comparatively greater near-term uncertainty. That said, both stocks remain in corrective phases with weak momentum, so any advantage is probabilistic rather than definitive, and relative positioning could shift as catalysts unfold.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is APO is a StrongBuy and BX is a StrongBuy.
APO | BX | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 66 | 50 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 15 Undervalued | 11 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 53 | 94 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 88 | 32 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 56 | 62 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 10 | 89 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 85 | 85 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
BX's Valuation (11) in the Investment Managers industry is in the same range as APO (15). This means that BX’s stock grew similarly to APO’s over the last 12 months.
APO's Profit vs Risk Rating (53) in the Investment Managers industry is somewhat better than the same rating for BX (94). This means that APO’s stock grew somewhat faster than BX’s over the last 12 months.
BX's SMR Rating (32) in the Investment Managers industry is somewhat better than the same rating for APO (88). This means that BX’s stock grew somewhat faster than APO’s over the last 12 months.
APO's Price Growth Rating (56) in the Investment Managers industry is in the same range as BX (62). This means that APO’s stock grew similarly to BX’s over the last 12 months.
APO's P/E Growth Rating (10) in the Investment Managers industry is significantly better than the same rating for BX (89). This means that APO’s stock grew significantly faster than BX’s over the last 12 months.
| APO | BX | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 88% | 3 days ago 66% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 68% | 3 days ago 67% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 61% | N/A |
| MACD ODDS (%) | N/A | 3 days ago 81% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 73% | 3 days ago 70% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 72% | 3 days ago 67% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 6 days ago 72% | 3 days ago 69% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 69% | 7 days ago 68% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 82% | 3 days ago 63% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 79% | 3 days ago 71% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
APO’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green while BX’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- APO’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- BX’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
APO’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while BX’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- APO’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
- BX’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
APO (@Investment Managers) experienced а +4.06% price change this week, while BX (@Investment Managers) price change was +2.27% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Investment Managers industry was -2.61%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -0.13%, and the average quarterly price growth was +5.00%.
Reported Earning Dates
APO is expected to report earnings on Nov 03, 2026.
BX is expected to report earnings on Oct 22, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Investment Managers (-2.61% weekly)Investment Managers manage financial assets and other investments of clients. Management includes designing a short- or long-term strategy for buying/holding and selling of portfolio holdings. It can also include tax services and other aspects of financial planning as well. While it is perceived that the industry is faced with growing competition from robo-advisors/digital platforms and passive/ index-tracking funds, many investors still find value in actively managed in-person services that investment management companies often emphasize on. At the same time, many wealth managers are also incorporating digital initiatives/low cost options in addition to their in-person customized services. Their main sources of revenues are fees as a percentage of assets under management, in addition to a certain portion of clients’ gains from asset appreciation. BlackRock, Inc., Blackstone Group Inc and Brookfield Asset Management are some of the major investment management companies.
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APO and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, APO has been closely correlated with KKR. These tickers have moved in lockstep 82% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if APO jumps, then KKR could also see price increases.
BX and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, BX has been closely correlated with KKR. These tickers have moved in lockstep 83% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if BX jumps, then KKR could also see price increases.