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ARCC vs CGBD
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is ARCC is a Hold and CGBD is a Hold.
ARCC's Indicator enters downward trend
The Aroon Indicator for ARCC entered a downward trend on October 16, 2026. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor identified a pattern where the AroonDown red line was above 70 while the AroonUp green line was below 30 for three straight days. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. A.I.dvisor looked at 143 similar instances where the Aroon Indicator formed such a pattern. In 61 of the 143 cases the stock moved lower. This puts the odds of a downward move at 43%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on September 23, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on ARCC as a result. In 24 of 85 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 28%.
ARCC moved below its 50-day moving average on September 30, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for ARCC crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 02, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 4 of 14 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 29%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where ARCC declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 40%.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where ARCC's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, 14 of 21 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 67%.
The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 27 of 53 cases where ARCC's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 51%.
Following a +1.94% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where ARCC advanced for three days, in 133 of 349 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 38%.
ARCC may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 4 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.989) is normal, around the industry mean (3.246). P/E Ratio (14.276) is within average values for comparable stocks, (27.022). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (1.319). Dividend Yield (0.100) settles around the average of (0.081) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (11.792) is also within normal values, averaging (15.798).
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 11 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 13 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 28 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 82, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 51 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. ARCC’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 65 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
CGBD in downward trend: 10-day moving average crossed below 50-day moving average on October 06, 2026
The 10-day moving average for CGBD crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 06, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 7 of 12 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 58%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on September 30, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on CGBD as a result. In 40 of 96 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 42%.
CGBD moved below its 50-day moving average on September 30, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where CGBD declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 48%.
The Aroon Indicator for CGBD entered a downward trend on October 16, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 35 of 53 cases where CGBD's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 66%.
The 50-day moving average for CGBD moved above the 200-day moving average on October 01, 2026. This could be a long-term bullish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an upward trend.
CGBD may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 5 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.714) is normal, around the industry mean (3.246). P/E Ratio (21.961) is within average values for comparable stocks, (27.022). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (1.319). Dividend Yield (0.138) settles around the average of (0.081) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (16.722) is also within normal values, averaging (15.798).
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 7 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 46 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 56 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. CGBD’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 68 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. CGBD’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 82, placing this stock better than average.
ARCC | CGBD | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 68 | 57 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 4 Undervalued | 5 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 28 | 68 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 11 | 46 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 51 | 56 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 13 | 7 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 65 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
ARCC's Valuation (4) in the null industry is in the same range as CGBD (5). This means that ARCC’s stock grew similarly to CGBD’s over the last 12 months.
ARCC's Profit vs Risk Rating (28) in the null industry is somewhat better than the same rating for CGBD (68). This means that ARCC’s stock grew somewhat faster than CGBD’s over the last 12 months.
ARCC's SMR Rating (11) in the null industry is somewhat better than the same rating for CGBD (46). This means that ARCC’s stock grew somewhat faster than CGBD’s over the last 12 months.
ARCC's Price Growth Rating (51) in the null industry is in the same range as CGBD (56). This means that ARCC’s stock grew similarly to CGBD’s over the last 12 months.
CGBD's P/E Growth Rating (7) in the null industry is in the same range as ARCC (13). This means that CGBD’s stock grew similarly to ARCC’s over the last 12 months.
| ARCC | CGBD | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 67% | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 51% | 1 day ago 66% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 28% | 1 day ago 42% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | N/A | N/A |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 40% | 1 day ago 47% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 44% | 1 day ago 45% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 38% | N/A |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 11 days ago 40% | 4 days ago 48% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 57% | 1 day ago 56% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 43% | 1 day ago 45% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
ARCC’s FA Score shows that 4 FA rating(s) are green while CGBD’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- ARCC’s FA Score: 4 green, 1 red.
- CGBD’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
ARCC’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while CGBD’s TA Score has 3 bullish TA indicator(s).
- ARCC’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
- CGBD’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
ARCC (@Investment Managers) experienced а +0.86% price change this week, while CGBD (@Investment Managers) price change was -0.29% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Investment Managers industry was -3.10%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -1.67%, and the average quarterly price growth was -4.06%.
Reported Earning Dates
ARCC is expected to report earnings on Oct 27, 2026.
CGBD is expected to report earnings on Nov 10, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Investment Managers (-3.10% weekly)Investment Managers manage financial assets and other investments of clients. Management includes designing a short- or long-term strategy for buying/holding and selling of portfolio holdings. It can also include tax services and other aspects of financial planning as well. While it is perceived that the industry is faced with growing competition from robo-advisors/digital platforms and passive/ index-tracking funds, many investors still find value in actively managed in-person services that investment management companies often emphasize on. At the same time, many wealth managers are also incorporating digital initiatives/low cost options in addition to their in-person customized services. Their main sources of revenues are fees as a percentage of assets under management, in addition to a certain portion of clients’ gains from asset appreciation. BlackRock, Inc., Blackstone Group Inc and Brookfield Asset Management are some of the major investment management companies.
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ARCC and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, ARCC has been closely correlated with OBDC. These tickers have moved in lockstep 80% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if ARCC jumps, then OBDC could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To ARCC | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARCC | 100% | -1.06% | ||
| OBDC - ARCC | 80% Closely correlated | -2.32% | ||
| GBDC - ARCC | 78% Closely correlated | -1.22% | ||
| BXSL - ARCC | 76% Closely correlated | -1.36% | ||
| CSWC - ARCC | 72% Closely correlated | -1.87% | ||
| MSDL - ARCC | 72% Closely correlated | -1.96% | ||
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CGBD and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, CGBD has been closely correlated with MSDL. These tickers have moved in lockstep 73% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if CGBD jumps, then MSDL could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To CGBD | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CGBD | 100% | -2.53% | ||
| MSDL - CGBD | 73% Closely correlated | -1.96% | ||
| NCDL - CGBD | 72% Closely correlated | -2.21% | ||
| GSBD - CGBD | 72% Closely correlated | -2.13% | ||
| BXSL - CGBD | 71% Closely correlated | -1.36% | ||
| ARCC - CGBD | 69% Closely correlated | -1.06% | ||
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