Analysis and predictions ARCH vs AREC
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To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is ARCH is a Hold and AREC is a StrongBuy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
ARCH’s FA Score shows that 4 FA rating(s) are green whileAREC’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- ARCH’s FA Score: 4 green, 1 red.
- AREC’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
ARCH’s TA Score shows that 6 TA indicator(s) are bullish while AREC’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- ARCH’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
- AREC’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
ARCH (@Coal) experienced а +1.77% price change this week, while AREC (@Coal) price change was +4.68% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Coal industry was +1.34%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +6.60%, and the average quarterly price growth was +29.03%.
Reported Earning Dates
ARCH is expected to report earnings on Feb 13, 2024.
AREC is expected to report earnings on Mar 27, 2024.
Industries' Descriptions
@Coal (+1.34% weekly)Companies that mine, process and distribute coal and lignite. Coal goes towards around 30% of global energy production, and is heavily relied upon for electricity generation. Alliance Resource Partners, L.P., Peabody Energy Corporation and Arch Coal Inc. are major coal companies in the U.S.
| ARCH | AREC | ARCH / AREC | |
| Capitalization | 3.01B | 138M | 2,182% |
| EBITDA | 791M | 11.5M | 6,878% |
| Gain YTD | 23.189 | 35.606 | 65% |
| P/E Ratio | 4.00 | 13.97 | 29% |
| Revenue | 3.23B | 21.4M | 15,098% |
| Total Cash | N/A | 3.12M | - |
| Total Debt | 129M | 57.2M | 226% |
ARCH | AREC | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 8 | 17 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 26 Undervalued | 81 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 13 | 100 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 18 | 10 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 38 | 37 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 23 | 99 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 25 | n/a |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
ARCH's Valuation (26) in the Coal industry is somewhat better than the same rating for AREC (81) in the Financial Conglomerates industry. This means that ARCH’s stock grew somewhat faster than AREC’s over the last 12 months.
ARCH's Profit vs Risk Rating (13) in the Coal industry is significantly better than the same rating for AREC (100) in the Financial Conglomerates industry. This means that ARCH’s stock grew significantly faster than AREC’s over the last 12 months.
AREC's SMR Rating (10) in the Financial Conglomerates industry is in the same range as ARCH (18) in the Coal industry. This means that AREC’s stock grew similarly to ARCH’s over the last 12 months.
AREC's Price Growth Rating (37) in the Financial Conglomerates industry is in the same range as ARCH (38) in the Coal industry. This means that AREC’s stock grew similarly to ARCH’s over the last 12 months.
ARCH's P/E Growth Rating (23) in the Coal industry is significantly better than the same rating for AREC (99) in the Financial Conglomerates industry. This means that ARCH’s stock grew significantly faster than AREC’s over the last 12 months.
| ARCH | AREC | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 85% | 2 days ago 88% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 80% | 2 days ago 90% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 81% | 2 days ago 80% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 68% | 2 days ago 76% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 79% | 2 days ago 83% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 79% | 2 days ago 85% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 80% | 3 days ago 80% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 74% | 22 days ago 90% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 71% | 2 days ago 90% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 75% | 2 days ago 85% |
AREC and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor tells us that AREC and AMR have been poorly correlated (+30% of the time) for the last year. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is low statistical probability that AREC and AMR's prices will move in lockstep.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To AREC | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AREC | 100% | -2.72% | ||
| AMR - AREC | 30% Poorly correlated | -0.33% | ||
| BTU - AREC | 28% Poorly correlated | -0.71% | ||
| CEIX - AREC | 27% Poorly correlated | -0.14% | ||
| ARCH - AREC | 27% Poorly correlated | -0.29% | ||
| SXC - AREC | 26% Poorly correlated | +1.33% | ||
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