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ARES vs BX
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Ares Management (ARES) vs. Blackstone (BX) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Ares Management (ARES) and Blackstone (BX) are leading alternative asset managers with overlapping exposure to private credit, real estate, and private equity, though Blackstone maintains significantly larger scale with over $1.3 trillion in assets under management (AUM).
- Both stocks have experienced notable declines in recent market activity, with ARES down approximately 20% year-to-date and BX down about 16% through mid-September 2026, reflecting broader pressures on the sector.
- Ares recently announced a $2.4 billion U.S. logistics real estate joint venture, highlighting its focus on expanding specialized credit and real assets platforms.
- Blackstone offers greater diversification across investment strategies and benefits from its position as the largest player in the space, potentially providing more stability in volatile conditions.
- Relative performance shows similar 1-year declines near 30-32% for both, with momentum influenced by interest rate sensitivity and fundraising trends in alternatives.
- Market sentiment remains cautious for the pair amid sector-wide valuation debates, though analyst targets suggest potential upside from current levels around $124 for both.
Introduction
Alternative asset managers Ares Management (ARES) and Blackstone (BX) represent two prominent names in the financial sector, attracting attention from investors seeking exposure to private markets, credit strategies, and real assets. This comparison examines their business models, recent stock behavior, and relative positioning in the current environment of fluctuating interest rates and evolving capital allocation trends. Professional traders and institutional investors monitoring asset management peers may find this analysis relevant for assessing diversification opportunities or sector rotation strategies within alternatives.
ARES Overview and Recent Performance
Ares Management operates as a global alternative asset manager with core activities in credit, direct lending, private equity, and real estate. The firm has built a credit-focused platform that emphasizes origination and middle-market lending. In recent weeks, ARES shares have traded in a range reflecting sector headwinds, closing near $123.80 as of September 18, 2026, after a year-to-date decline of roughly 20%. A notable development included the formation of a $2.4 billion U.S. logistics real estate joint venture with PSP Investments, underscoring efforts to scale specialized real assets exposure. Sentiment has been shaped by broader alternative asset fundraising dynamics and sensitivity to economic growth indicators.
BX Overview and Recent Performance
Blackstone stands as the world’s largest alternative asset manager, overseeing more than $1.3 trillion in total AUM across private equity, real estate, credit, and insurance strategies. Its diversified model spans multiple product lines and benefits from substantial scale in fee-earning assets. Through recent market activity, BX shares closed at $124.96 on September 18, 2026, with a year-to-date decline of approximately 16%. Performance has been influenced by ongoing capital deployment across its platforms and periodic insider transactions. Market positioning reflects its leadership in large-scale fundraising and investment activity within the alternatives space.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Ares Management and Blackstone share exposure to private credit and real assets but differ markedly in scale and diversification. Blackstone’s broader platform, including substantial private equity and insurance segments, contrasts with Ares’ more concentrated emphasis on credit origination. Recent momentum for both has been pressured by similar macroeconomic factors, though Blackstone’s larger AUM base may confer advantages in accessing institutional capital. Risk factors include interest rate volatility for credit-heavy portfolios, with Ares potentially more exposed due to its focus areas. Market sentiment appears balanced, with neither showing clear outperformance in the past month amid sector-wide adjustments. Trade-offs center on Blackstone’s stability through diversification versus Ares’ potentially higher growth potential in targeted credit niches.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as trend consistency, relative stability from scale, and ongoing catalysts like asset deployment, Tickeron’s AI would currently assign a probabilistic edge to Blackstone (BX). Its diversified model and larger AUM position may support more consistent positioning amid recent volatility compared to Ares’ more specialized profile. This assessment remains probabilistic and tied to prevailing market conditions rather than a definitive outlook.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is ARES is a Hold and BX is a Hold.
| ARES | BX | ARES / BX | |
| Capitalization | 28.2B | 99.7B | 28% |
| EBITDA | 2.29B | N/A | - |
| Gain YTD | -20.752 | -16.384 | 127% |
| P/E Ratio | 56.79 | 27.96 | 203% |
| Revenue | 5.99B | 13.6B | 44% |
| Total Cash | 1.85B | 2.58B | 72% |
| Total Debt | 14.9B | 14B | 106% |
ARES | BX | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 50 | 50 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 11 Undervalued | 12 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 60 | 77 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 95 | 32 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 61 | 60 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 89 | 89 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 90 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
ARES's Valuation (11) in the Investment Managers industry is in the same range as BX (12). This means that ARES’s stock grew similarly to BX’s over the last 12 months.
ARES's Profit vs Risk Rating (60) in the Investment Managers industry is in the same range as BX (77). This means that ARES’s stock grew similarly to BX’s over the last 12 months.
BX's SMR Rating (32) in the Investment Managers industry is somewhat better than the same rating for ARES (95). This means that BX’s stock grew somewhat faster than ARES’s over the last 12 months.
BX's Price Growth Rating (60) in the Investment Managers industry is in the same range as ARES (61). This means that BX’s stock grew similarly to ARES’s over the last 12 months.
BX's P/E Growth Rating (89) in the Investment Managers industry is in the same range as ARES (89). This means that BX’s stock grew similarly to ARES’s over the last 12 months.
| ARES | BX | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 81% | 4 days ago 67% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 78% | 4 days ago 77% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 61% | 4 days ago 73% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 57% | 4 days ago 59% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 62% | 4 days ago 65% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 66% | 4 days ago 67% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 22 days ago 77% | 19 days ago 70% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 6 days ago 65% | 6 days ago 68% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 79% | 4 days ago 73% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 63% | 4 days ago 71% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
ARES’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green while BX’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- ARES’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- BX’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
ARES’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while BX’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- ARES’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 6 bearish.
- BX’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 6 bearish.
Price Growth
ARES (@Investment Managers) experienced а -4.96% price change this week, while BX (@Investment Managers) price change was -2.76% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Investment Managers industry was +1.31%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +1.00%, and the average quarterly price growth was +8.63%.
Reported Earning Dates
ARES is expected to report earnings on Oct 22, 2026.
BX is expected to report earnings on Oct 15, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Investment Managers (+1.31% weekly)Investment Managers manage financial assets and other investments of clients. Management includes designing a short- or long-term strategy for buying/holding and selling of portfolio holdings. It can also include tax services and other aspects of financial planning as well. While it is perceived that the industry is faced with growing competition from robo-advisors/digital platforms and passive/ index-tracking funds, many investors still find value in actively managed in-person services that investment management companies often emphasize on. At the same time, many wealth managers are also incorporating digital initiatives/low cost options in addition to their in-person customized services. Their main sources of revenues are fees as a percentage of assets under management, in addition to a certain portion of clients’ gains from asset appreciation. BlackRock, Inc., Blackstone Group Inc and Brookfield Asset Management are some of the major investment management companies.
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ARES and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, ARES has been closely correlated with KKR. These tickers have moved in lockstep 83% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if ARES jumps, then KKR could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To ARES | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARES | 100% | -1.21% | ||
| KKR - ARES | 83% Closely correlated | +0.63% | ||
| BX - ARES | 80% Closely correlated | -0.36% | ||
| APO - ARES | 78% Closely correlated | -0.07% | ||
| OWL - ARES | 78% Closely correlated | -1.20% | ||
| TPG - ARES | 77% Closely correlated | +0.54% | ||
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