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ARRY vs NXT
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Array Technologies (ARRY) vs. Nextpower (NXT) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Both ARRY and NXT operate in the solar tracker sector, benefiting from renewable energy demand, but NXT shows stronger year-to-date gains of over 44% compared to ARRY's decline of about 11%.
- ARRY reported a record $2.4 billion orderbook in Q1 2026 despite a GAAP loss, reaffirming full-year revenue guidance of $1.4–1.5 billion.
- NXT (formerly Nextracker) demonstrates superior scale with higher revenue, EBITDA, and market cap, alongside robust YTD performance.
- Recent market activity highlights volatility in solar stocks, with NXT outperforming on momentum while ARRY shows recovery potential from strong backlog.
- Relative performance favors NXT over three years, with annualized returns of 55% versus ARRY's negative territory.
Introduction
Array Technologies (ARRY) and Nextpower (NXT), formerly Nextracker, are leading providers of solar tracking systems essential for utility-scale solar projects. This comparison analyzes their business models, recent performance, and market positioning amid growing renewable energy adoption. Traders seeking momentum in the solar sector and investors eyeing long-term growth in clean energy infrastructure will find value in understanding their relative strengths, order backlogs, and responses to sector headwinds like supply chain dynamics and policy shifts.
ARRY Overview and Recent Performance
Array Technologies (ARRY), headquartered in Albuquerque, New Mexico, manufactures solar tracking systems including the DuraTrack HZ V3 single-axis tracker and software solutions like SmarTrack. The company operates globally, focusing on utility-scale and distributed solar.
In recent market activity, ARRY shares have shown volatility, with year-to-date declines around 11% but recent weekly gains exceeding 18%. Q1 2026 results highlighted revenue of $223.4 million, surpassing expectations, and a record $2.4 billion orderbook, reflecting a 2x book-to-bill ratio. Despite a GAAP net loss of $13.5 million, adjusted EBITDA reached $28.8 million. Management reaffirmed 2026 guidance for $1.4–1.5 billion in revenue and $200–230 million adjusted EBITDA, driven by margin resilience and investments in software/services. Sentiment has improved post-earnings, supported by analyst upgrades and new product launches like DuraTrack D2S for international markets.
NXT Overview and Recent Performance
Nextpower (NXT), rebranded from Nextracker in late 2025, designs and delivers solar tracker technologies, software, and services for utility-scale projects worldwide. It emphasizes integrated solutions to boost energy yield and reliability.
Recent weeks have seen NXT shares gain over 44% year-to-date, with strong momentum including 10%+ weekly advances. The company maintains a larger scale, with prior quarters showing revenue growth like 42% YoY to $905 million and record backlogs. Trading near multi-year highs around $126, NXT benefits from sector tailwinds and strategic deals, such as multi-year supply agreements. Performance reflects robust execution, with elevated EBITDA margins and positive analyst sentiment amid solar demand. Volatility persists, but relative strength outperforms peers.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Both ARRY and NXT focus on single-axis solar trackers, but NXT holds greater scale with higher revenue ($3.6B vs. $1.28B) and EBITDA ($784M vs. $45M), commanding a larger market cap (~$18.5B vs. $1.25B). Growth drivers differ: ARRY emphasizes software/services and international expansion via DuraTrack D2S, while NXT excels in integrated platforms and supply deals.
Recent momentum favors NXT (44% YTD vs. -11%), with three-year annualized returns of 55% over ARRY's -24%. Risk factors include sector volatility from policy and supply chains; NXT has lower debt ($145M vs. $766M) and cash ($953M vs. $244M), suggesting better stability. Market sentiment leans toward NXT's execution, though ARRY's backlog offers upside trade-offs in a consolidating solar market.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently favors NXT due to superior trend consistency, higher revenue scale, stronger relative performance, and lower debt positioning. Observable catalysts like robust backlogs and YTD momentum suggest a higher probability of outperformance in the near term, though ARRY's record orders provide rebound potential.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full Disclaimers and Limitations.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is ARRY is a Hold and NXT is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
ARRY’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileNXT’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- ARRY’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- NXT’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
ARRY’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while NXT’s TA Score has 3 bullish TA indicator(s).
- ARRY’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
- NXT’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 6 bearish.
Price Growth
ARRY (@Alternative Power Generation) experienced а -3.96% price change this week, while NXT (@Alternative Power Generation) price change was -7.36% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Alternative Power Generation industry was +2.29%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +0.98%, and the average quarterly price growth was +13.76%.
Reported Earning Dates
ARRY is expected to report earnings on Aug 11, 2026.
NXT is expected to report earnings on Aug 05, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Alternative Power Generation (+2.29% weekly)The alternative power generation industry consists of companies that operate power facilities converting non-conventional forms of energy into electricity. These energy forms are alternatives to fossil fuels, and many of them are derived from natural resources. Alternative energy forms include solar, wind, hydro, and geothermal steam. A major purpose behind using alternative energy – also called ‘clean’ energy - is to address concerns related to the more conventional fossil fuels, such as the latter’s high carbon dioxide emissions which is often considered a factor in global warming. Alternative power generation has been gaining traction in recent years, and could grow further in the future. Large organizations like Google have invested substantially in wind and solar energy-powered electricity. Some of the prominent U.S. companies operating in the alternative power generation industry includes Ormat Technologies, Inc., TerraForm Power, Inc. and NextEra Energy Partners LP.
| ARRY | NXT | ARRY / NXT | |
| Capitalization | 1.2B | 18.5B | 6% |
| EBITDA | 29.6M | 747M | 4% |
| Gain YTD | -15.727 | 39.915 | -39% |
| P/E Ratio | 56.91 | 31.74 | 179% |
| Revenue | 1.21B | 3.56B | 34% |
| Total Cash | 201M | 1.1B | 18% |
| Total Debt | 763M | 145M | 526% |
ARRY | ||
|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 78 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 98 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 100 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 100 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 59 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 32 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
| ARRY | NXT | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 90% | 3 days ago 90% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 77% | 3 days ago 84% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 88% | 3 days ago 81% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 90% | 3 days ago 87% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 86% | 3 days ago 75% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 82% | 3 days ago 69% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 80% | 3 days ago 85% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 5 days ago 87% | 5 days ago 71% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 89% | 3 days ago 74% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 82% | 3 days ago 79% |
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