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AXTA vs PPG
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Axalta Coating Systems (AXTA) vs. PPG Industries (PPG) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- AXTA and PPG operate in the coatings and materials sector, with PPG showing stronger year-to-date performance of approximately 14.6% compared to AXTA's 1.4%.
- AXTA is navigating a proposed merger with AkzoNobel, scheduled for a stockholder vote in early August 2026, which has influenced recent sentiment.
- PPG benefits from aerospace segment strength and recently increased its quarterly dividend, with second-quarter 2026 earnings expected imminently.
- Both companies exhibit moderate beta values, indicating sensitivity to broader market movements, though PPG trades at a higher absolute price level with a larger market capitalization.
- Recent market activity reflects sector-wide dynamics in industrial coatings, with relative performance varying based on earnings outlooks and corporate developments.
- Investor interest may center on contrasting growth drivers, including AXTA's consolidation potential versus PPG's operational diversification.
Introduction
This comparison examines AXTA and PPG, two established players in the global coatings industry. Investors and traders focused on materials sector exposure, relative valuation, and event-driven opportunities may find the analysis relevant. The review highlights observable differences in business scale, recent price behavior, and key catalysts within the current market environment, providing a factual basis for evaluating their positioning without forward-looking projections.
AXTA Overview and Recent Performance
Axalta Coating Systems Ltd. specializes in high-performance coatings for automotive, industrial, and refinish applications. In recent weeks, the stock has traded in a range influenced by broader materials sector trends and company-specific developments. Year-to-date returns stand at approximately 1.4%, with one-year performance near 11%. Recent market activity includes volatility tied to the proposed merger with AkzoNobel, alongside scheduled second-quarter 2026 earnings. Sentiment has reflected both operational metrics from prior periods, such as adjusted EBITDA margins, and macroeconomic factors affecting industrial demand. The company's net debt metrics have remained a point of focus in filings.
PPG Overview and Recent Performance
PPG Industries, Inc. provides coatings and specialty materials across architectural, automotive, aerospace, and industrial segments. In recent weeks, the stock has demonstrated resilience, posting year-to-date returns of approximately 14.6% and one-year gains around 16-17% in line with market benchmarks. Recent market activity has been shaped by a dividend increase, new product introductions in aviation, and anticipation surrounding second-quarter 2026 earnings. Analyst commentary has noted strength in aerospace contributions, while overall sentiment aligns with sector performance and operational execution in core businesses.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
AXTA operates with a more focused coatings portfolio and smaller market capitalization relative to PPG, which benefits from broader segment diversification including aerospace. Recent momentum has favored PPG on a year-to-date basis, while AXTA carries an event-driven element from its merger process. Risk factors differ, with AXTA exposed to integration outcomes and PPG to cyclical industrial demand. Sector exposure remains comparable, though PPG's scale supports greater geographic and product reach. Market sentiment for both reflects coatings industry fundamentals, with contrasts in earnings visibility and capital allocation priorities.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors including trend consistency and relative positioning in recent market activity, Tickeron’s AI models would likely assign a higher probabilistic preference to PPG at present. This assessment draws from stronger year-to-date performance metrics and diversified segment contributions compared with AXTA's merger-related variables. Outcomes remain subject to evolving data and market conditions.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is AXTA is a StrongBuy and PPG is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
AXTA’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whilePPG’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- AXTA’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- PPG’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
AXTA’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while PPG’s TA Score has 3 bullish TA indicator(s).
- AXTA’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
- PPG’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 6 bearish.
Price Growth
AXTA (@Chemicals: Specialty) experienced а +9.31% price change this week, while PPG (@Chemicals: Specialty) price change was -4.72% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Chemicals: Specialty industry was -0.32%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -2.98%, and the average quarterly price growth was +7.69%.
Reported Earning Dates
AXTA is expected to report earnings on Nov 04, 2026.
PPG is expected to report earnings on Oct 21, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Chemicals: Specialty (-0.32% weekly)The specialty chemicals sector includes companies that produce chemicals and industrial gases, which are of relatively high-value, often made to customer specifications. Examples of specialty chemicals are electronic chemicals, industrial gases, coatings, adhesives and sealants, industrial and institutional cleaning chemicals. The products are often valued on the basis of their purposes/performances rather than for their composition. Linde Plc, Ecolab Inc., Air Products and Chemicals, Inc., and Dow, Inc. are some of the largest companies making specialty chemicals.
| AXTA | PPG | AXTA / PPG | |
| Capitalization | 7.66B | 24.6B | 31% |
| EBITDA | 978M | 2.82B | 35% |
| Gain YTD | 10.833 | 9.194 | 118% |
| P/E Ratio | 21.97 | 15.86 | 139% |
| Revenue | 5.15B | 16.4B | 31% |
| Total Cash | 633M | 1.59B | 40% |
| Total Debt | 3.07B | 7.46B | 41% |
AXTA | PPG | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 13 | 16 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 80 Overvalued | 27 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 80 | 100 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 59 | 47 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 42 | 58 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 15 | 70 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 65 | 65 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
PPG's Valuation (27) in the Industrial Specialties industry is somewhat better than the same rating for AXTA (80). This means that PPG’s stock grew somewhat faster than AXTA’s over the last 12 months.
AXTA's Profit vs Risk Rating (80) in the Industrial Specialties industry is in the same range as PPG (100). This means that AXTA’s stock grew similarly to PPG’s over the last 12 months.
PPG's SMR Rating (47) in the Industrial Specialties industry is in the same range as AXTA (59). This means that PPG’s stock grew similarly to AXTA’s over the last 12 months.
AXTA's Price Growth Rating (42) in the Industrial Specialties industry is in the same range as PPG (58). This means that AXTA’s stock grew similarly to PPG’s over the last 12 months.
AXTA's P/E Growth Rating (15) in the Industrial Specialties industry is somewhat better than the same rating for PPG (70). This means that AXTA’s stock grew somewhat faster than PPG’s over the last 12 months.
| AXTA | PPG | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | N/A | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 74% | 3 days ago 55% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 64% | 3 days ago 68% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 65% | 3 days ago 54% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 67% | 3 days ago 62% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 63% | 3 days ago 55% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 6 days ago 65% | 6 days ago 52% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 14 days ago 59% | 14 days ago 60% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 70% | 3 days ago 52% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 49% | 3 days ago 50% |
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PPG and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, PPG has been closely correlated with RPM. These tickers have moved in lockstep 81% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if PPG jumps, then RPM could also see price increases.