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BAH vs FCN
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Booz Allen Hamilton (BAH) vs. FTI Consulting (FCN) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- BAH is a defense and government technology contractor whose National Security segment is growing while its Civil segment is contracting, compressing overall revenue.
- FCN is a diversified global advisory firm posting broad-based revenue growth, but rising costs are compressing its margins.
- Both stocks trade below their 52-week highs amid a softer market for professional and government services, though BAH has endured a larger year-to-date decline.
- BAH pays a growing dividend and is expanding margins, while FCN pays no dividend and relies on aggressive share buybacks for capital returns.
- Analyst consensus skews more favorable toward FCN (Buy), while BAH carries a more mixed, Hold-leaning view.
Introduction
Investors weighing exposure to expert-driven, high-stakes services often encounter two very different franchises: BAH (Booz Allen Hamilton), a defense and technology powerhouse serving U.S. government clients, and FCN (FTI Consulting), a global advisory firm for corporations facing crisis, disputes, and transformation. Though both are classified in the professional and business services universe, their revenue drivers, client bases, and risk profiles diverge sharply. This stock comparison examines their recent relative performance, market positioning, and momentum to help traders and long-term investors determine which profile better fits the current environment.
BAH Overview and Recent Performance
Booz Allen Hamilton is an advanced-technology company focused on defense, intelligence, cybersecurity, and civil-government missions, increasingly centered on artificial intelligence (AI) and cyber products. In recent quarters, its results have reflected a clear internal split: the National Security business has expanded, while the Civil portfolio has contracted on prior-year program reductions and softer new-award activity. In its latest reported quarter, revenue declined roughly 4% year over year even as adjusted earnings per share (EPS, or profit divided by shares outstanding) beat consensus by a wide margin.
A defining theme in recent weeks has been margin expansion. Adjusted EBITDA (Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation, and Amortization) margin rose about 130 basis points, helped by improved contract execution and a shift toward fixed-price, outcome-based work. The company has also secured notable defense wins, announced a partnership focused on edge mission software, and continued integrating acquisitions such as Ultra Mission Solutions. Despite these positives, the stock has traded well below its 52-week high, pressured by a cautious fiscal-year outlook and persistent Civil-segment weakness. A record backlog and a 14-year dividend growth streak provide a degree of fundamental support.
FCN Overview and Recent Performance
FTI Consulting is a leading global expert firm advising organizations on restructuring, disputes, investigations, economic analysis, and reputational matters, with more than 8,000 employees across dozens of countries. Unlike Booz Allen, FCN's recent growth has been broad-based: in its latest quarter, revenues rose in most segments, led by Technology and Corporate Finance, supported by rising AI-related litigation, regulatory, and data-driven demand.
That top-line strength, however, has not translated cleanly into profit. Adjusted EBITDA declined year over year as higher compensation and selling, general, and administrative expenses outweighed revenue gains, compressing margins. Management trimmed full-year EPS guidance, reflecting elevated costs and a softer restructuring backdrop in some regions. The stock has declined year to date but trades below its historical valuation multiple, with a forward price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio below its five-year median. FCN does not pay a dividend; instead, it has returned capital through substantial share repurchases, which have supported per-share earnings even as leverage has risen.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
The two companies occupy different corners of the professional services market. BAH is heavily concentrated in U.S. government and defense work, giving it a stable, contract-backed revenue base but exposing it to federal budget cycles and shifting procurement priorities. FCN is more diversified by geography and client type, which softens single-client risk but leaves it sensitive to corporate M&A (mergers and acquisitions) activity, restructuring cycles, and discretionary legal spending.
On growth, FCN currently shows more consistent revenue expansion, while BAH's top line is contracting overall even as its higher-margin defense franchise grows. On profitability, the story is reversed: BAH is expanding margins, whereas FCN is absorbing cost pressure. Capital allocation also differs—BAH combines a recurring dividend with buybacks, while FCN relies entirely on repurchases. From a sentiment standpoint, FCN enjoys a more bullish analyst consensus and a larger implied upside, though BAH's valuation sits at a meaningful discount to its own history. Risk factors include federal budget uncertainty and Civil-segment softness for BAH, versus margin execution and event-driven demand variability for FCN.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable trend consistency, relative positioning, and catalysts, Tickeron's AI would likely lean toward FCN in the current environment. FCN's broader, more durable revenue growth, more favorable analyst sentiment, and valuation below its historical norm suggest steadier underlying momentum, while BAH's contracting top line and cautious guidance introduce greater near-term trend uncertainty. That said, the contrast is not absolute: BAH's expanding margins, record backlog, and defensive government franchise offer a different form of stability. The AI framework would therefore frame FCN as the higher-probability relative performer on growth and sentiment, while acknowledging BAH's resilience as a potential counterbalance in a risk-off tape.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is BAH is a Hold and FCN is a StrongBuy.
BAH in downward trend: price expected to drop as it breaks its higher Bollinger Band on October 22, 2026
BAH broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 22, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 36 similar instances where the stock broke above the upper band. In 25 of the 36 cases the stock fell afterwards. This puts the odds of success at 69%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The RSI Oscillator demonstrated that the stock has entered the overbought zone. This may point to a price pull-back soon.
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 8 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
The 10-day moving average for BAH crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on September 30, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 6 of 16 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 38%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where BAH declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 58%.
The Aroon Indicator for BAH entered a downward trend on October 14, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 09, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on BAH as a result. In 50 of 84 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 60%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for BAH just turned positive on October 12, 2026. Looking at past instances where BAH's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 26 of 39 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 67%.
BAH moved above its 50-day moving average on October 20, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
Following a +4.80% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where BAH advanced for three days, in 180 of 315 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 57%.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 17 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 47 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 56 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. BAH’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 65 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (7.509) is normal, around the industry mean (12.684). P/E Ratio (11.762) is within average values for comparable stocks, (47.002). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.210) is also within normal values, averaging (2.814). Dividend Yield (0.031) settles around the average of (0.037) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.857) is also within normal values, averaging (25.562).
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 94 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. BAH’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 93, placing this stock worse than average.
FCN's MACD Histogram crosses above signal line
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for FCN turned positive on October 02, 2026. Looking at past instances where FCN's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 34 of 49 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 69%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 06, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on FCN as a result. In 51 of 95 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 54%.
FCN moved above its 50-day moving average on October 15, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
Following a +6.02% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where FCN advanced for three days, in 188 of 320 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 59%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator demonstrated that the stock has entered the overbought zone. This may point to a price pull-back soon.
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 4 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where FCN declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 47%.
FCN broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 22, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Aroon Indicator for FCN entered a downward trend on October 06, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 54 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 57 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. FCN’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 62 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 65 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (3.092) is normal, around the industry mean (12.684). P/E Ratio (17.889) is within average values for comparable stocks, (47.002). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.740) is also within normal values, averaging (2.814). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.037) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.126) is also within normal values, averaging (25.562).
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 83 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. FCN’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 93, placing this stock better than average.
BAH | FCN | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 78 | 9 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 65 Fair valued | 65 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 94 | 83 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 17 | 54 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 56 | 57 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 47 | 62 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
BAH's Valuation (65) in the Miscellaneous Commercial Services industry is in the same range as FCN (65). This means that BAH’s stock grew similarly to FCN’s over the last 12 months.
FCN's Profit vs Risk Rating (83) in the Miscellaneous Commercial Services industry is in the same range as BAH (94). This means that FCN’s stock grew similarly to BAH’s over the last 12 months.
BAH's SMR Rating (17) in the Miscellaneous Commercial Services industry is somewhat better than the same rating for FCN (54). This means that BAH’s stock grew somewhat faster than FCN’s over the last 12 months.
BAH's Price Growth Rating (56) in the Miscellaneous Commercial Services industry is in the same range as FCN (57). This means that BAH’s stock grew similarly to FCN’s over the last 12 months.
BAH's P/E Growth Rating (47) in the Miscellaneous Commercial Services industry is in the same range as FCN (62). This means that BAH’s stock grew similarly to FCN’s over the last 12 months.
| BAH | FCN | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 69% | 1 day ago 81% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 48% | 1 day ago 58% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 60% | 1 day ago 54% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 67% | 1 day ago 69% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 61% | 1 day ago 58% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 58% | 1 day ago 54% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 57% | 7 days ago 59% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 58% | 24 days ago 47% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 69% | 1 day ago 62% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 62% | 1 day ago 54% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
BAH’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green while FCN’s FA Score has 0 green FA rating(s).
- BAH’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- FCN’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
BAH’s TA Score shows that 6 TA indicator(s) are bullish while FCN’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- BAH’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
- FCN’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
BAH (@Data Processing Services) experienced а +4.41% price change this week, while FCN (@Data Processing Services) price change was +6.62% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Data Processing Services industry was +1.05%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -3.81%, and the average quarterly price growth was -2.18%.
Reported Earning Dates
BAH is expected to report earnings on Oct 23, 2026.
FCN is expected to report earnings on Oct 29, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Data Processing Services (+1.05% weekly)The industry involves capturing raw data from various sources, extracting meaningful information from it and presenting it in a more accessible digital format. Many people would agree that data is the new gold, which makes data processing services all the more relevant for businesses’ strategic decisions. PayPal Holdings Inc., Fidelity National Information Services, Inc. and Automatic Data Processing, Inc. some of the big players in his burgeoning industry.
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BAH and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, BAH has been loosely correlated with EXPO. These tickers have moved in lockstep 50% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if BAH jumps, then EXPO could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To BAH | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BAH | 100% | +4.70% | ||
| EXPO - BAH | 50% Loosely correlated | +5.41% | ||
| FCN - BAH | 42% Loosely correlated | +5.50% | ||
| MMS - BAH | 39% Loosely correlated | +2.11% | ||
| EFX - BAH | 35% Loosely correlated | +6.59% | ||
| CPRT - BAH | 33% Loosely correlated | +5.46% | ||
More | ||||
FCN and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, FCN has been loosely correlated with EFX. These tickers have moved in lockstep 44% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if FCN jumps, then EFX could also see price increases.
| 1 Day | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| ETFs / NAME | Price $ | Chg $ | Chg % |
| HAIL | 31.43 | N/A | N/A |
| State Street SPDR S&P Kensho Smart Mobility ETF (HAIL) | |||
| VGK | 86.80 | -0.78 | -0.89% |
| Vanguard FTSE Europe ETF (VGK) | |||
| LCF | 45.91 | -0.51 | -1.10% |
| Touchstone US Large Cap Focused ETF (LCF) | |||
| ECH | 36.31 | -0.85 | -2.29% |
| iShares MSCI Chile ETF (ECH) | |||
| AVL | 29.73 | -2.81 | -8.64% |
| Direxion Daily AVGO Bull 2X ETF (AVL) | |||