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BAH vs ICFI
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Booz Allen Hamilton (BAH) vs. ICF International (ICFI) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Booz Allen Hamilton (BAH) and ICF International (ICFI) both operate in the professional services and government consulting sector, with exposure to federal contracts and national security initiatives.
- Over recent weeks, BAH has shown resilience with a year-to-date return of approximately 10.52%, outperforming the S&P 500 benchmark.
- ICFI delivered stronger year-to-date gains near 24.19% despite a first-quarter earnings miss on May 7, 2026, followed by reaffirmation of its full-year 2026 outlook.
- Both stocks experienced volatility in mid-May 2026, with ICFI posting a notable recovery after its earnings release while BAH prepares for its fiscal fourth-quarter results on May 22.
- Key contrasts include BAH’s larger scale in defense-related consulting versus ICFI’s broader commercial energy and digital modernization focus.
- Market sentiment remains tied to federal spending trends and contract awards for both companies.
Introduction
Investors and traders seeking exposure to the government services and consulting industry often evaluate Booz Allen Hamilton (BAH) and ICF International (ICFI) side by side. These companies provide technology, strategy, and operational support to federal agencies and commercial clients, making their performance sensitive to budget cycles, contract wins, and broader economic conditions. This comparison highlights recent price behavior, relative momentum, and positioning factors that matter to portfolio managers and active traders monitoring the sector.
BAH Overview and Recent Performance
Booz Allen Hamilton (BAH) delivers management and technology consulting primarily to U.S. government clients, with a strong emphasis on national security and defense programs. In recent market activity, the stock has traded with moderate volatility amid broader sector rotations. Year-to-date through mid-May 2026, BAH posted a return of about 10.52%, ahead of the S&P 500’s 8.14% gain. Recent trading sessions showed intraday swings tied to analyst commentary and pre-earnings positioning ahead of the May 22 fiscal fourth-quarter report. Sentiment has been supported by ongoing demand for cybersecurity and digital transformation services within federal portfolios.
ICFI Overview and Recent Performance
ICF International (ICFI) provides consulting, analytics, and digital services across government and commercial markets, including energy, environment, and infrastructure. Recent performance reflected resilience following its first-quarter 2026 earnings release on May 7, which featured an earnings-per-share miss of $1.50 versus the $1.55 consensus yet included a reaffirmed full-year outlook. Through mid-May 2026, ICFI recorded year-to-date gains near 24.19%, outpacing the broader market. Stock movement in recent weeks has been influenced by contract awards in digital modernization and a gradual shift toward commercial revenue streams that helped stabilize investor views.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Booz Allen Hamilton (BAH) operates at larger scale with deeper integration into defense and intelligence programs, while ICF International (ICFI) maintains a more diversified revenue base that includes growing commercial energy and sustainability work. Recent momentum favors ICFI on a year-to-date basis, though BAH exhibits steadier long-term total returns. Risk factors differ by contract concentration: BAH faces higher exposure to large defense budgets, whereas ICFI contends with federal headwinds offset by commercial expansion. Sector sentiment for both remains linked to government spending priorities and digital transformation initiatives, creating trade-offs between scale and diversification.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable trend consistency, earnings visibility, and relative positioning, Tickeron’s AI models currently assign a modestly higher probability of favorable near-term performance to Booz Allen Hamilton (BAH) due to its stronger historical stability and upcoming earnings catalyst. ICF International (ICFI) shows attractive recovery potential following its recent results but carries slightly elevated short-term uncertainty from the earnings miss. These assessments reflect probabilistic evaluations of available data rather than definitive outcomes.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is BAH is a StrongBuy and ICFI is a StrongBuy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
BAH’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green whileICFI’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- BAH’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- ICFI’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
BAH’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while ICFI’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- BAH’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 6 bearish.
- ICFI’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
BAH (@Data Processing Services) experienced а -15.05% price change this week, while ICFI (@Data Processing Services) price change was -10.55% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Data Processing Services industry was -1.38%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +0.46%, and the average quarterly price growth was -6.84%.
Reported Earning Dates
BAH is expected to report earnings on Jul 24, 2026.
ICFI is expected to report earnings on Jul 30, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Data Processing Services (-1.38% weekly)The industry involves capturing raw data from various sources, extracting meaningful information from it and presenting it in a more accessible digital format. Many people would agree that data is the new gold, which makes data processing services all the more relevant for businesses’ strategic decisions. PayPal Holdings Inc., Fidelity National Information Services, Inc. and Automatic Data Processing, Inc. some of the big players in his burgeoning industry.
| BAH | ICFI | BAH / ICFI | |
| Capitalization | 7.6B | 1.17B | 650% |
| EBITDA | 1.23B | 196M | 629% |
| Gain YTD | -23.787 | -24.022 | 99% |
| P/E Ratio | 9.18 | 13.94 | 66% |
| Revenue | 11.2B | 1.82B | 614% |
| Total Cash | N/A | 3.88M | - |
| Total Debt | 4.12B | 602M | 685% |
BAH | ICFI | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 58 | 12 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 7 Undervalued | 17 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 100 | 100 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 15 | 77 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 78 | 61 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 83 | 54 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 75 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
BAH's Valuation (7) in the Miscellaneous Commercial Services industry is in the same range as ICFI (17). This means that BAH’s stock grew similarly to ICFI’s over the last 12 months.
BAH's Profit vs Risk Rating (100) in the Miscellaneous Commercial Services industry is in the same range as ICFI (100). This means that BAH’s stock grew similarly to ICFI’s over the last 12 months.
BAH's SMR Rating (15) in the Miscellaneous Commercial Services industry is somewhat better than the same rating for ICFI (77). This means that BAH’s stock grew somewhat faster than ICFI’s over the last 12 months.
ICFI's Price Growth Rating (61) in the Miscellaneous Commercial Services industry is in the same range as BAH (78). This means that ICFI’s stock grew similarly to BAH’s over the last 12 months.
ICFI's P/E Growth Rating (54) in the Miscellaneous Commercial Services industry is in the same range as BAH (83). This means that ICFI’s stock grew similarly to BAH’s over the last 12 months.
| BAH | ICFI | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 76% | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 71% | 2 days ago 71% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 59% | 2 days ago 59% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 49% | 2 days ago 56% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 54% | 2 days ago 61% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 56% | 2 days ago 60% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 27 days ago 54% | 12 days ago 65% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 56% | 2 days ago 57% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 66% | 2 days ago 73% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 60% | 2 days ago 55% |
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BAH and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, BAH has been loosely correlated with ICFI. These tickers have moved in lockstep 53% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if BAH jumps, then ICFI could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To BAH | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BAH | 100% | -4.57% | ||
| ICFI - BAH | 53% Loosely correlated | -2.96% | ||
| EXPO - BAH | 50% Loosely correlated | -1.86% | ||
| MMS - BAH | 39% Loosely correlated | -3.05% | ||
| FCN - BAH | 38% Loosely correlated | -3.15% | ||
| EFX - BAH | 35% Loosely correlated | -0.29% | ||
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ICFI and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, ICFI has been loosely correlated with BAH. These tickers have moved in lockstep 51% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if ICFI jumps, then BAH could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To ICFI | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ICFI | 100% | -2.96% | ||
| BAH - ICFI | 51% Loosely correlated | -4.57% | ||
| EXPO - ICFI | 44% Loosely correlated | -1.86% | ||
| MMS - ICFI | 44% Loosely correlated | -3.05% | ||
| CRAI - ICFI | 42% Loosely correlated | +1.49% | ||
| HURN - ICFI | 41% Loosely correlated | -0.09% | ||
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