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BBDO vs ITUB
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Banco Bradesco (BBDO) vs. Itaú Unibanco (ITUB) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- BBDO and ITUB are both Brazilian banking giants traded as American Depositary Receipts (ADRs, which are U.S.-listed securities representing shares in a foreign company) on the NYSE, giving them shared exposure to Brazil's macroeconomy and interest-rate cycle.
- ITUB is the larger, more diversified franchise with a materially higher return on equity (ROE, a measure of how efficiently a bank generates profit from shareholder capital) and broader Latin American operations.
- BBDO trades at a lower valuation and offers a higher dividend yield, reflecting a turnaround profile that remains a work in progress.
- Recent market activity has favored both names, but ITUB has shown more consistent relative performance, while BBDO has been more volatile.
- Both stocks face shared risks tied to Brazil's interest rates, credit quality, and currency fluctuations.
Introduction
Investors weighing Brazilian banking exposure often find themselves choosing between two of the country's most established lenders: Banco Bradesco and Itaú Unibanco. This stock comparison examines how BBDO and ITUB differ in business model, growth drivers, relative performance, and market positioning. The comparison is particularly relevant for international investors seeking emerging-market financial exposure, income-oriented investors drawn to Brazilian dividend payouts, and traders monitoring momentum in Latin American equities. While both banks compete in the same market, their divergent efficiency, scale, and sentiment profiles create meaningfully different risk-reward characteristics.
BBDO Overview and Recent Performance
Banco Bradesco S.A., headquartered in Osasco, Brazil, is one of the country's largest financial institutions, operating across banking and insurance segments. It provides retail, corporate, investment, and private banking services alongside insurance, pension plans, and asset management. BBDO represents the company's common-share ADR, a more thinly traded instrument than its preferred-share sibling (BBD), which can amplify short-term price swings.
In recent weeks, the stock has been notably volatile. After a sharp rally that carried the shares toward a 52-week high, BBDO gave back a portion of those gains amid profit-taking, limited liquidity in the common ADR, and a modest supply increase following a fully subscribed capital raise. Sentiment has also been shaped by mixed analyst actions, with at least one major bank downgrading the stock while another upgraded it. Fundamentally, the bank has reported rising revenue and net income with an improving return on equity, though efficiency and digital competitiveness remain areas of scrutiny relative to peers.
ITUB Overview and Recent Performance
Itaú Unibanco Holding S.A., based in São Paulo, is the largest privately held bank in Brazil and a diversified Latin American financial group. Beyond its dominant Brazilian franchise, it maintains operations across Chile, Colombia, Argentina, Uruguay, and Paraguay. The company also runs the country's fifth-largest insurer and second-largest asset manager, and its ITUB ADR is among the most liquid Brazilian listings on the NYSE.
Recent market activity has reflected constructive sentiment. The shares have traded near the upper end of their 52-week range, supported by strong profitability metrics including a return on equity well above most banking peers. In recent weeks, Itaú's Brazilian preferred shares retook the top weighting in the Ibovespa index for the first time in more than six years, underscoring renewed investor confidence. Analyst commentary has leaned positive, with some firms raising price targets, though others have shifted to a neutral stance after the stock's appreciation. Earnings growth has remained steady, reinforcing the bank's reputation for consistent execution.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
The two banks diverge most sharply on scale and efficiency. ITUB commands a substantially larger market capitalization and consistently posts a higher return on equity, a signal of superior operational efficiency and stronger competitive moat. BBDO counters with a lower price-to-earnings ratio and a notably higher dividend yield, characteristics that appeal to value- and income-focused investors but also reflect the market's discounting of its slower recovery.
On growth drivers, ITUB benefits from geographic diversification across Latin America and leadership in asset management and insurance. BBDO is more domestically concentrated, with growth tied to its ongoing turnaround in credit quality and digital capabilities. Recent momentum has favored ITUB, which has traded with greater consistency, while BBDO has experienced sharper two-way moves. Both face shared sector risks: Brazil's elevated interest-rate environment, non-performing loan trends, currency depreciation, and competition from fast-growing fintech players.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors, Tickeron's AI would likely lean toward ITUB in the current environment. Its combination of trend consistency, superior return on equity, diversified revenue base, and steadier relative performance provides a more stable foundation than BBDO, whose recent volatility and thinner trading liquidity introduce greater noise. That said, BBDO's lower valuation and higher yield could appear comparatively attractive under a mean-reversion scenario. The AI's preference is probabilistic rather than definitive, reflecting ITUB's stronger positioning on trend quality and stability while acknowledging that each stock serves a different investor profile.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is BBDO is a Hold and ITUB is a Buy.
BBDO in upward trend: price expected to rise as it breaks its lower Bollinger Band on October 26, 2026
BBDO may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options. In 25 of 31 cases where BBDO's price broke its lower Bollinger Band, its price rose further in the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 81%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator demonstrates that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 2 days, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 2 days, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.
The 10-day moving average for BBDO crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 05, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 8 of 13 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 62%.
The 50-day moving average for BBDO moved above the 200-day moving average on October 08, 2026. This could be a long-term bullish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an upward trend.
Following a +5.32% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where BBDO advanced for three days, in 196 of 273 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 72%.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 170 of 243 cases where BBDO Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 70%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 19, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on BBDO as a result. In 72 of 103 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 70%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for BBDO turned negative on October 19, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 50 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 29 of the 50 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 58%.
BBDO moved below its 50-day moving average on October 26, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where BBDO declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 67%.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 1 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 13 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: BBDO's P/B Ratio (0.150) is slightly lower than the industry average of (1.268). P/E Ratio (1.169) is within average values for comparable stocks, (13.299). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.472) is also within normal values, averaging (1.190). BBDO has a moderately high Dividend Yield (0.084) as compared to the industry average of (0.035). BBDO's P/S Ratio (1.385) is slightly lower than the industry average of (3.738).
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 62 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. BBDO’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 75 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. BBDO’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 56, placing this stock worse than average.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 95 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
ITUB sees its 50-day moving average cross bullishly above its 200-day moving average
The 50-day moving average for ITUB moved above the 200-day moving average on October 14, 2026. This could be a long-term bullish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an upward trend.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator demonstrates that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 2 days, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 2 days, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.
Following a +4.31% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where ITUB advanced for three days, in 219 of 304 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 72%.
ITUB may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 213 of 292 cases where ITUB Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 73%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 19, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on ITUB as a result. In 46 of 74 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 62%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for ITUB turned negative on October 19, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 42 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 26 of the 42 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 62%.
ITUB moved below its 50-day moving average on October 26, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where ITUB declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 59%.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 2 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 21 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 56, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 22 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: ITUB's P/B Ratio (0.375) is slightly lower than the industry average of (1.268). P/E Ratio (1.745) is within average values for comparable stocks, (13.299). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.274) is also within normal values, averaging (1.190). Dividend Yield (0.002) settles around the average of (0.035) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (2.806) is also within normal values, averaging (3.738).
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 56 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. ITUB’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 95 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
BBDO | ITUB | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 84 | 78 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 13 Undervalued | 22 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 75 | 21 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 1 | 2 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 62 | 56 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 95 | 95 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | n/a | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
BBDO's Valuation (13) in the Major Banks industry is in the same range as ITUB (22). This means that BBDO’s stock grew similarly to ITUB’s over the last 12 months.
ITUB's Profit vs Risk Rating (21) in the Major Banks industry is somewhat better than the same rating for BBDO (75). This means that ITUB’s stock grew somewhat faster than BBDO’s over the last 12 months.
BBDO's SMR Rating (1) in the Major Banks industry is in the same range as ITUB (2). This means that BBDO’s stock grew similarly to ITUB’s over the last 12 months.
ITUB's Price Growth Rating (56) in the Major Banks industry is in the same range as BBDO (62). This means that ITUB’s stock grew similarly to BBDO’s over the last 12 months.
ITUB's P/E Growth Rating (95) in the Major Banks industry is in the same range as BBDO (95). This means that ITUB’s stock grew similarly to BBDO’s over the last 12 months.
| BBDO | ITUB | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 77% | 2 days ago 75% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 66% | 2 days ago 75% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 70% | 2 days ago 62% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 58% | 2 days ago 62% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 69% | 2 days ago 60% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 62% | 2 days ago 54% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 9 days ago 72% | 21 days ago 72% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 14 days ago 67% | 2 days ago 59% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 81% | 2 days ago 71% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 70% | 2 days ago 73% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
BBDO’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green while ITUB’s FA Score has 3 green FA rating(s).
- BBDO’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- ITUB’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
BBDO’s TA Score shows that 7 TA indicator(s) are bullish while ITUB’s TA Score has 6 bullish TA indicator(s).
- BBDO’s TA Score: 7 bullish, 4 bearish.
- ITUB’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
BBDO (@Regional Banks) experienced а -31.91% price change this week, while ITUB (@Regional Banks) price change was -23.71% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Regional Banks industry was -0.26%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +1.92%, and the average quarterly price growth was +8.49%.
Reported Earning Dates
ITUB is expected to report earnings on Nov 03, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Regional Banks (-0.26% weekly)Regional banks have a smaller reach than major banks, and cater mostly to one region of a country, such as a state or within a group of states. They offer services often similar – albeit with some limitations/smaller scale – compared to major banks. Taking deposits, making loans, mortgages, leases, credit cards , fund management, insurance and investment banking. SunTrust Banks, State Street Corp., M&T Bank Corp. are some examples of U.S. regional banks.
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BBDO and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, BBDO has been closely correlated with BBD. These tickers have moved in lockstep 84% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if BBDO jumps, then BBD could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To BBDO | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BBDO | 100% | -7.25% | ||
| BBD - BBDO | 84% Closely correlated | -6.19% | ||
| BSBR - BBDO | 70% Closely correlated | -6.20% | ||
| ITUB - BBDO | 57% Loosely correlated | -3.52% | ||
| INTR - BBDO | 52% Loosely correlated | -7.22% | ||
| NU - BBDO | 51% Loosely correlated | -3.47% | ||
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ITUB and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, ITUB has been loosely correlated with INTR. These tickers have moved in lockstep 64% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if ITUB jumps, then INTR could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To ITUB | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ITUB | 100% | -3.52% | ||
| INTR - ITUB | 64% Loosely correlated | -7.22% | ||
| BBDO - ITUB | 58% Loosely correlated | -7.25% | ||
| LYG - ITUB | 47% Loosely correlated | +1.85% | ||
| SHG - ITUB | 44% Loosely correlated | +1.99% | ||
| AVAL - ITUB | 43% Loosely correlated | -1.07% | ||
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