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BLK vs NTRS
Which Stock Would AI Choose? BlackRock (BLK) vs. Northern Trust (NTRS) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- BLK reported robust Q1 2026 results with revenue up 27% to $6.7 billion and record $130 billion in net inflows, boosting assets under management (AUM, total value of assets managed) to nearly $14 trillion.
- NTRS has shown superior recent momentum, with year-to-date gains of about 17% compared to BLK's 1.5%, and a one-year return exceeding 80%.
- Both stocks benefit from financial sector tailwinds, but BLK offers greater scale with a $163 billion market cap versus NTRS's $30 billion.
- NTRS trades at a lower price-to-earnings (P/E, stock price divided by earnings per share) ratio of around 18 versus BLK's 26, suggesting relative value.
- Analyst sentiment is positive for both, with recent price target increases for BLK post-earnings and NTRS hitting all-time highs amid strong market positioning.
- Recent market activity highlights NTRS's outperformance in custody and wealth management amid rising interest rates.
Introduction
BlackRock (BLK) and Northern Trust (NTRS) are prominent players in asset management and financial services, making them compelling comparables for investors eyeing the sector. BLK, the world's largest asset manager, dominates with exchange-traded funds (ETFs) and institutional portfolios, while NTRS excels in custody banking, asset servicing, and wealth management. This comparison analyzes their recent performance, business drivers, and market dynamics in the current environment of elevated interest rates and equity volatility. Traders seeking momentum and long-term investors focused on fundamentals will find insights into relative strengths, risks, and positioning.
BLK Overview and Recent Performance
BlackRock (BLK) is a global investment manager renowned for its iShares ETF franchise and broad institutional offerings, overseeing nearly $14 trillion in AUM. In recent market activity, BLK delivered standout Q1 2026 earnings, with revenue surging 27% to $6.7 billion and adjusted EPS (earnings per share) of $12.53, surpassing estimates. Net inflows reached a quarterly record of $130 billion, fueled by active ETFs and private markets growth. The stock rose over 5% post-earnings, reflecting positive sentiment around fee expansion and share repurchases. Trading around $1,048 with a year-to-date gain of 1.5%, BLK has faced headwinds from broader market rotations but benefits from analyst upgrades, including targets up to $1,393.
NTRS Overview and Recent Performance
Northern Trust (NTRS) provides asset servicing, custody, and wealth management solutions to institutions and high-net-worth individuals, managing over $6 trillion in AUM. Recent weeks have seen NTRS hit all-time highs near $161, driven by strong year-to-date performance of 17% and one-year returns above 80%. Ahead of its Q1 2026 earnings, expectations call for EPS growth of 25% to $2.37 on higher net interest income (NII, revenue from interest-earning assets minus interest expenses). The stock's momentum stems from resilient custody fees and deposit growth in a high-rate environment, with a P/E of 18 offering value. Trading around $159, NTRS outperforms peers amid positive sector sentiment.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
BlackRock (BLK) and Northern Trust (NTRS) operate in complementary financial niches: BLK emphasizes investment management and ETFs, driving growth via scale and inflows, while NTRS focuses on custody and servicing, benefiting from sticky institutional relationships and NII sensitivity. Recent momentum favors NTRS, with superior YTD and one-year returns amid rate stability, versus BLK's steadier but lower gains. Risk profiles differ—BLK faces market rotation risks in equities, while NTRS contends with deposit outflows. Sector exposure aligns on finance, but BLK's vast AUM provides diversification; NTRS offers higher dividend yield around 2%. Sentiment tilts toward NTRS for value and upside potential.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI models currently lean toward NTRS due to its consistent trend strength, superior relative performance over recent months, and favorable positioning ahead of earnings catalysts. While BLK exhibits stability and inflow momentum, NTRS's lower valuation and outperformance in recent market activity suggest higher probability of near-term upside, though both remain viable in a strong financial sector.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is BLK is a StrongBuy and NTRS is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
BLK’s FA Score shows that 0 FA rating(s) are green whileNTRS’s FA Score has 3 green FA rating(s).
- BLK’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- NTRS’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
BLK’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while NTRS’s TA Score has 3 bullish TA indicator(s).
- BLK’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
- NTRS’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
BLK (@Investment Managers) experienced а -0.02% price change this week, while NTRS (@Investment Managers) price change was -0.88% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Investment Managers industry was +1.75%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -0.80%, and the average quarterly price growth was -7.34%.
Reported Earning Dates
BLK is expected to report earnings on Jul 21, 2026.
NTRS is expected to report earnings on Jul 22, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Investment Managers (+1.75% weekly)Investment Managers manage financial assets and other investments of clients. Management includes designing a short- or long-term strategy for buying/holding and selling of portfolio holdings. It can also include tax services and other aspects of financial planning as well. While it is perceived that the industry is faced with growing competition from robo-advisors/digital platforms and passive/ index-tracking funds, many investors still find value in actively managed in-person services that investment management companies often emphasize on. At the same time, many wealth managers are also incorporating digital initiatives/low cost options in addition to their in-person customized services. Their main sources of revenues are fees as a percentage of assets under management, in addition to a certain portion of clients’ gains from asset appreciation. BlackRock, Inc., Blackstone Group Inc and Brookfield Asset Management are some of the major investment management companies.
| BLK | NTRS | BLK / NTRS | |
| Capitalization | 160B | 32.3B | 495% |
| EBITDA | 10.6B | N/A | - |
| Gain YTD | -2.499 | 28.949 | -9% |
| P/E Ratio | 25.98 | 18.26 | 142% |
| Revenue | 25.6B | 8.35B | 307% |
| Total Cash | 13.1B | 5.82B | 225% |
| Total Debt | 15B | 14.1B | 106% |
BLK | NTRS | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 85 | 85 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 71 Overvalued | 71 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 60 | 42 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 66 | 14 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 56 | 17 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 47 | 13 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 90 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
BLK's Valuation (71) in the Investment Managers industry is in the same range as NTRS (71) in the Regional Banks industry. This means that BLK’s stock grew similarly to NTRS’s over the last 12 months.
NTRS's Profit vs Risk Rating (42) in the Regional Banks industry is in the same range as BLK (60) in the Investment Managers industry. This means that NTRS’s stock grew similarly to BLK’s over the last 12 months.
NTRS's SMR Rating (14) in the Regional Banks industry is somewhat better than the same rating for BLK (66) in the Investment Managers industry. This means that NTRS’s stock grew somewhat faster than BLK’s over the last 12 months.
NTRS's Price Growth Rating (17) in the Regional Banks industry is somewhat better than the same rating for BLK (56) in the Investment Managers industry. This means that NTRS’s stock grew somewhat faster than BLK’s over the last 12 months.
NTRS's P/E Growth Rating (13) in the Regional Banks industry is somewhat better than the same rating for BLK (47) in the Investment Managers industry. This means that NTRS’s stock grew somewhat faster than BLK’s over the last 12 months.
| BLK | NTRS | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 69% | 2 days ago 62% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 63% | 2 days ago 58% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 53% | 2 days ago 73% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 58% | 2 days ago 58% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 55% | 2 days ago 59% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 57% | 2 days ago 53% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 18 days ago 59% | 11 days ago 60% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 5 days ago 57% | 5 days ago 57% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 64% | 2 days ago 58% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 54% | 2 days ago 59% |
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BLK and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, BLK has been closely correlated with BX. These tickers have moved in lockstep 68% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if BLK jumps, then BX could also see price increases.
NTRS and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, NTRS has been closely correlated with STT. These tickers have moved in lockstep 72% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if NTRS jumps, then STT could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To NTRS | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NTRS | 100% | +2.10% | ||
| STT - NTRS | 72% Closely correlated | +1.69% | ||
| RJF - NTRS | 62% Loosely correlated | +2.65% | ||
| AMP - NTRS | 59% Loosely correlated | +1.94% | ||
| BLK - NTRS | 52% Loosely correlated | +1.52% | ||
| CG - NTRS | 51% Loosely correlated | +2.69% | ||
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