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NTRS vs STT
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Northern Trust Corporation (NTRS) vs. State Street Corporation (STT) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Both NTRS and STT delivered strong Q1 2026 earnings beats, with revenue growth exceeding expectations amid market rallies.
- STT reported higher revenue at $3.8 billion (up 16% YoY) compared to NTRS's $2.21 billion (up 13.8% YoY), reflecting its larger scale.
- YTD performance is closely matched, with STT at +17.96% and NTRS at +17.05%, both outperforming broader markets in recent months.
- STT trades at a lower P/E ratio (15.25) versus NTRS (18.19), suggesting relatively better valuation, while offering a higher dividend yield (2.24% vs. 1.98%).
- STT's larger assets under custody (AUC) provide scale advantages, though NTRS shows strength in net interest income (NII, interest earned minus interest paid) margins and wealth management fees.
Introduction
Northern Trust Corporation (NTRS) and State Street Corporation (STT) are leading custody banks specializing in asset servicing, investment management, and wealth solutions for institutional and high-net-worth clients. This comparison is relevant for investors seeking exposure to the financial services sector, particularly those interested in stable fee-based revenues tied to assets under management (AUM, total value of client assets managed) and custody. In the current market environment, marked by volatility and interest rate shifts, both stocks have shown resilience, offering insights into relative performance, valuation, and growth potential for portfolio diversification or sector rotation strategies.
NTRS Overview and Recent Performance
Northern Trust Corporation (NTRS) operates as a global financial institution focused on asset servicing, wealth management, and investment management, with approximately $16 trillion in AUC. In recent market activity, NTRS shares have traded near their 52-week high of $161.13, reflecting a year-to-date gain of 17.05%. The stock's momentum stems from robust Q1 2026 results, including revenue of $2.21 billion (up 13.8% YoY) and EPS of $2.71, surpassing estimates by 16%. Key drivers include higher wealth and asset servicing fees, bolstered by market rallies, alongside stable NII. Sentiment has improved with analyst upgrades and positive fee growth projections, though shares remain sensitive to equity market fluctuations and rate changes.
STT Overview and Recent Performance
State Street Corporation (STT) provides institutional investors with investment servicing, management, and research solutions, overseeing over $45 trillion in AUC. Recently, STT stock has surged, closing around $150 with a YTD return of 17.96% and approaching its 52-week high of $150.28. This performance follows stellar Q1 2026 earnings, with revenue climbing 16% to $3.8 billion and net profit rising 19% to $764 million, driven by record fee income and NII expansion. Positive factors include market volatility boosting servicing fees and strategic investments in digital assets, enhancing investor confidence amid broader financial sector gains.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Both NTRS and STT operate in custody banking with fee-driven models reliant on AUM and AUC growth, but STT holds a scale edge with roughly 3x NTRS's AUC, translating to higher quarterly fee revenue ($2.86B vs. smaller base). Growth drivers differ: NTRS emphasizes wealth management fees and superior NII margins (1.81%), while STT benefits from broader institutional servicing and digital initiatives. Recent momentum favors STT with faster revenue growth, but NTRS shows steadier trend consistency. Risk factors include market downturns impacting fees and regulatory pressures on capital (e.g., CET1, common equity tier 1 capital ratios). Sector exposure is similar in financials, though STT has more global diversification. Market sentiment leans positive for both post-earnings, with STT's lower P/E indicating better value.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron's AI currently favors STT with higher probability due to its larger scale, superior recent revenue momentum (16% YoY growth), record fees, and attractive valuation metrics like a lower P/E ratio. While NTRS offers strong stability in NII and wealth fees, STT's catalysts in institutional servicing position it better for sustained trends in volatile markets.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is NTRS is a Hold and STT is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
NTRS’s FA Score shows that 3 FA rating(s) are green whileSTT’s FA Score has 5 green FA rating(s).
- NTRS’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
- STT’s FA Score: 5 green, 0 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
NTRS’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while STT’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- NTRS’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
- STT’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 3 bearish.
Price Growth
NTRS (@Investment Managers) experienced а +2.67% price change this week, while STT (@Investment Managers) price change was +3.35% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Investment Managers industry was -1.51%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +0.20%, and the average quarterly price growth was +6.05%.
Reported Earning Dates
NTRS is expected to report earnings on Jul 22, 2026.
STT is expected to report earnings on Jul 10, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Investment Managers (-1.51% weekly)Investment Managers manage financial assets and other investments of clients. Management includes designing a short- or long-term strategy for buying/holding and selling of portfolio holdings. It can also include tax services and other aspects of financial planning as well. While it is perceived that the industry is faced with growing competition from robo-advisors/digital platforms and passive/ index-tracking funds, many investors still find value in actively managed in-person services that investment management companies often emphasize on. At the same time, many wealth managers are also incorporating digital initiatives/low cost options in addition to their in-person customized services. Their main sources of revenues are fees as a percentage of assets under management, in addition to a certain portion of clients’ gains from asset appreciation. BlackRock, Inc., Blackstone Group Inc and Brookfield Asset Management are some of the major investment management companies.
| NTRS | STT | NTRS / STT | |
| Capitalization | 30.3B | 42.3B | 72% |
| EBITDA | N/A | N/A | - |
| Gain YTD | 20.961 | 20.767 | 101% |
| P/E Ratio | 17.15 | 15.52 | 111% |
| Revenue | 8.35B | 14.5B | 58% |
| Total Cash | 5.35B | 4.43B | 121% |
| Total Debt | 14.1B | 29.2B | 48% |
NTRS | STT | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 15 | 80 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 68 Overvalued | 23 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 41 | 20 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 10 | 9 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 18 | 15 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 13 | 19 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
STT's Valuation (23) in the Regional Banks industry is somewhat better than the same rating for NTRS (68). This means that STT’s stock grew somewhat faster than NTRS’s over the last 12 months.
STT's Profit vs Risk Rating (20) in the Regional Banks industry is in the same range as NTRS (41). This means that STT’s stock grew similarly to NTRS’s over the last 12 months.
STT's SMR Rating (9) in the Regional Banks industry is in the same range as NTRS (10). This means that STT’s stock grew similarly to NTRS’s over the last 12 months.
STT's Price Growth Rating (15) in the Regional Banks industry is in the same range as NTRS (18). This means that STT’s stock grew similarly to NTRS’s over the last 12 months.
NTRS's P/E Growth Rating (13) in the Regional Banks industry is in the same range as STT (19). This means that NTRS’s stock grew similarly to STT’s over the last 12 months.
| NTRS | STT | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 73% | 2 days ago 67% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 67% | 2 days ago 77% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 54% | 2 days ago 77% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 53% | 2 days ago 57% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 60% | 2 days ago 66% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 53% | 2 days ago 64% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 59% | 2 days ago 65% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 12 days ago 58% | 12 days ago 56% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 59% | N/A |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 58% | 2 days ago 58% |
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| NXG | 60.40 | 0.73 | +1.22% |
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| Global X Dorsey Wright Thematic ETF | |||
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| AdvisorShares STAR Global Buy-Write ETF | |||
| IBUF | 30.64 | N/A | N/A |
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| BSCQ | 19.56 | -0.01 | -0.03% |
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NTRS and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, NTRS has been closely correlated with STT. These tickers have moved in lockstep 72% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if NTRS jumps, then STT could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To NTRS | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NTRS | 100% | +0.82% | ||
| STT - NTRS | 72% Closely correlated | +1.44% | ||
| BK - NTRS | 66% Closely correlated | +0.73% | ||
| RJF - NTRS | 64% Loosely correlated | +1.05% | ||
| AMP - NTRS | 62% Loosely correlated | +0.61% | ||
| CG - NTRS | 59% Loosely correlated | +1.79% | ||
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