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BP vs XOM
Which Stock Would AI Choose? BP (BP) vs. Exxon Mobil (XOM) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- BP and XOM are both major integrated oil and gas companies facing similar commodity price influences in recent market activity.
- XOM maintains a significantly larger market capitalization and broader global production scale compared to BP.
- Both stocks have shown positive year-to-date performance amid energy sector dynamics, with BP posting notable gains in recent weeks.
- Dividend yields differ, with BP offering a higher yield than XOM based on recent figures.
- XOM demonstrates stronger profitability metrics such as higher return on equity in trailing twelve months data.
- Relative momentum favors stability in XOM, while BP shows more pronounced short-term price swings.
Introduction
Investors and traders often compare BP p.l.c. and Exxon Mobil Corporation (XOM) as leading players in the integrated oil and gas sector. These stocks provide exposure to crude oil prices, refining margins, and global energy demand. The comparison appeals to those seeking diversified energy holdings or assessing relative value within the sector. Market participants evaluating large-cap energy names for portfolio balance or tactical positioning may find the analysis of their business models, recent performance trends, and risk profiles particularly relevant in the current environment.
BP Overview and Recent Performance
BP p.l.c. operates as a global integrated energy company with upstream exploration and production, downstream refining, and marketing activities. In recent market activity, the stock has traded in a range reflecting broader energy sector sentiment and oil price movements. Over recent weeks, BP has posted gains, contributing to a strong year-to-date advance of approximately 37 percent as of mid-September 2026. Factors influencing performance include operational updates and commodity price fluctuations, with the share price showing resilience amid volatility. The 52-week range spans roughly $32.72 to $48.27, indicating substantial recovery from earlier lows.
XOM Overview and Recent Performance
Exxon Mobil Corporation (XOM) is a major integrated oil and gas firm with extensive upstream, downstream, and chemical operations worldwide. Recent market activity has seen the stock advance amid energy sector tailwinds, with a year-to-date gain of about 40.7 percent as of mid-September 2026. The share price has fluctuated within a 52-week range of approximately $110.39 to $176.41. Influences on performance include production levels and refining margins, supporting steady momentum in recent weeks. XOM maintains a market capitalization exceeding $680 billion, underscoring its scale in the sector.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
BP and XOM share exposure to integrated oil and gas operations but differ in scale and emphasis. XOM benefits from greater production volume and a larger balance sheet, supporting more consistent free cash flow generation. In contrast, BP has pursued a transition strategy with investments in lower-carbon areas alongside traditional segments. Recent momentum has been positive for both, though BP has displayed sharper percentage moves in recent weeks. Risk factors include commodity price sensitivity for both, with XOM offering potentially lower relative volatility due to its size. Market sentiment remains tied to global supply dynamics, where XOM’s U.S. focus contrasts with BP’s international footprint.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as trend consistency, scale, and relative positioning in recent market activity, Tickeron’s AI would currently assign a higher probability of favorable risk-adjusted performance to XOM. Its larger market presence and steadier operational metrics provide a buffer compared to BP’s more variable short-term movements, though outcomes remain dependent on energy prices and sector conditions.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is BP is a StrongBuy and XOM is a StrongBuy.
BP | XOM | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 14 | 19 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 19 Undervalued | 62 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 17 | 7 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 74 | 63 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 44 | 42 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 99 | 19 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
BP's Valuation (19) in the Integrated Oil industry is somewhat better than the same rating for XOM (62). This means that BP’s stock grew somewhat faster than XOM’s over the last 12 months.
XOM's Profit vs Risk Rating (7) in the Integrated Oil industry is in the same range as BP (17). This means that XOM’s stock grew similarly to BP’s over the last 12 months.
XOM's SMR Rating (63) in the Integrated Oil industry is in the same range as BP (74). This means that XOM’s stock grew similarly to BP’s over the last 12 months.
XOM's Price Growth Rating (42) in the Integrated Oil industry is in the same range as BP (44). This means that XOM’s stock grew similarly to BP’s over the last 12 months.
XOM's P/E Growth Rating (19) in the Integrated Oil industry is significantly better than the same rating for BP (99). This means that XOM’s stock grew significantly faster than BP’s over the last 12 months.
| BP | XOM | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 68% | 3 days ago 63% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 50% | 3 days ago 73% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 46% | 3 days ago 53% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 51% | 3 days ago 44% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 52% | 3 days ago 44% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 55% | 3 days ago 45% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 13 days ago 60% | 13 days ago 63% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 52% | 7 days ago 43% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 64% | 6 days ago 48% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 69% | 3 days ago 62% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
BP’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green while XOM’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- BP’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- XOM’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
BP’s TA Score shows that 2 TA indicator(s) are bullish while XOM’s TA Score has 3 bullish TA indicator(s).
- BP’s TA Score: 2 bullish, 7 bearish.
- XOM’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
BP (@Integrated Oil) experienced а -6.03% price change this week, while XOM (@Integrated Oil) price change was -4.11% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Integrated Oil industry was -6.27%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -1.89%, and the average quarterly price growth was +4.01%.
Reported Earning Dates
BP is expected to report earnings on Nov 03, 2026.
XOM is expected to report earnings on Oct 23, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Integrated Oil (-6.27% weekly)Integrated oil companies are involved across nearly the entire oil value chain – from upstream operations like exploration and production, to downstream functions of refining and marketing. Exxon Mobil Corporation, Chevron Corporation and BP are major integrated oil companies. Their bottom lines’ response to crude oil prices could depend on the proportion of upstream vs. downstream businesses; for example, if a company has substantial downstream business, the adverse impact on their upstream business due to falling crude prices could be mitigated by benefits to its downstream business.
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XOM and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, XOM has been closely correlated with CVX. These tickers have moved in lockstep 83% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if XOM jumps, then CVX could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To XOM | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| XOM | 100% | -3.20% | ||
| CVX - XOM | 83% Closely correlated | -2.79% | ||
| EQNR - XOM | 73% Closely correlated | -3.63% | ||
| BP - XOM | 71% Closely correlated | -3.19% | ||
| CRGY - XOM | 69% Closely correlated | -4.60% | ||
| CVE - XOM | 69% Closely correlated | -3.22% | ||
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