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Exxon Mobil Corporation (XOM) Stock Price, Chart, Fundamentals & AI Forecast

ExxonMobil is an integrated oil and gas company that explores for, produces, and refines oil worldwide... Show more

Industry: #Integrated Oil
XOM
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A.I.Advisor
published price charts
A.I.Advisor
Sep 14, 2026

Exxon Mobil (XOM) Stock Analysis: Integrated Energy Strength Amid a Modest Crude Rebound

Key Takeaways

  • Exxon Mobil (XOM) traded near $166, rising roughly 3.9% over the most recent 30-day period, a modest but positive move.
  • The company's integrated business model, spanning upstream, product solutions, and low-carbon initiatives, helps buffer commodity price swings.
  • Production growth in the Permian Basin and offshore Guyana remains a central long-term growth engine.
  • Consistent dividends and an active share-buyback program continue to anchor investor interest.
  • Crude oil price trends, global demand, and refining margins remain the most influential swing factors for the stock.

Current Market Snapshot

Exxon Mobil Corporation (XOM) has maintained a relatively steady trading range, with shares moving from about $159.75 to roughly $165.99 over the prior month, a gain of approximately 3.9%. This modest upward drift reflects a broader stabilization in energy markets rather than a sharp repricing of the stock. Investor sentiment around integrated energy majors has been supported by resilient crude prices, disciplined capital spending, and a continued emphasis on returning cash to shareholders.

Within the energy sector, Exxon Mobil remains one of the most closely watched names because of its scale, balance-sheet strength, and diversified earnings streams. While the stock can still react to short-term moves in oil and gas prices, its exposure to refining, chemicals, and low-carbon ventures provides a degree of insulation that pure-play producers generally lack.

Exxon Mobil (XOM) Business Overview and Competitive Position

Exxon Mobil is one of the world's largest publicly traded energy and petrochemical companies, headquartered in Spring, Texas. Its operations are organized around three core segments: Upstream, which explores for and produces crude oil and natural gas; Product Solutions, which encompasses refining, marketing, and chemicals; and Low Carbon Solutions, which focuses on carbon capture, hydrogen, and lower-emission fuels.

The company's competitive strengths include a vast global asset base, technological leadership in areas such as deepwater drilling and advanced refining, and one of the strongest balance sheets in the industry. Key growth drivers include its prolific Guyana developments, where production has expanded rapidly, and its leading position in the Permian Basin, reinforced by its acquisition of Pioneer Natural Resources. For income-focused investors, Exxon Mobil's long history of dividend payments and ongoing buybacks remain defining features of the investment case.

Recent Developments Driving XOM

Over the most recent 30-day period, Exxon Mobil's share price has been influenced primarily by the trajectory of crude oil prices and broader energy-demand expectations. As oil prices firmed, integrated producers such as Exxon Mobil benefited from improved upstream cash-flow visibility, while steady refining and chemical operations contributed to overall earnings resilience.

The company continues to highlight execution on its high-return growth projects, particularly in Guyana and the Permian, where efficiency gains and cost discipline support production targets. Shareholder returns remain a central theme, with Exxon Mobil maintaining both its dividend and a repurchase program as part of a broader capital-allocation framework. Investor attention has also focused on the durability of global fuel demand and the pace at which lower-carbon investments may begin contributing to results.

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2026 Outlook and What Investors Should Watch

Looking ahead, several factors are likely to shape Exxon Mobil's stock in 2026. Crude oil and natural gas prices will remain the most direct influence on upstream earnings, with global supply-and-demand balances, OPEC+ policy, and macroeconomic conditions all playing a role. Refining margins and chemicals demand provide additional earnings levers that can offset or amplify commodity-driven moves.

Investors should also monitor the company's progress in delivering on Guyana and Permian production growth, the integration of recent acquisitions, and its evolving low-carbon and carbon-capture initiatives. Capital-allocation decisions, including the pace of buybacks and any dividend adjustments, will be closely watched by income-oriented shareholders. Finally, broader themes such as global energy demand, regulatory developments, and the pace of the energy transition will continue to influence both fundamentals and sentiment.

Disclaimer

The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.

Disclaimers and Limitations

A.I.Advisor
a Summary for XOM with price predictions
Sep 18, 2026

XOM's RSI Oscillator leaves overbought zone

The 10-day RSI Oscillator for XOM moved out of overbought territory on August 24, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. Traders may want to look at selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 41 instances where the indicator moved out of the overbought zone. In 26 of the 41 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a move down at 63%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 36 of 68 cases where XOM's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 53%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for XOM turned negative on September 16, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 50 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 23 of the 50 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 46%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where XOM declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 43%.

XOM broke above its upper Bollinger Band on August 18, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on September 18, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on XOM as a result. In 56 of 91 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 62%.

Following a +1.07% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where XOM advanced for three days, in 234 of 374 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 63%.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 188 of 307 cases where XOM Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 61%.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 6 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 27, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 20 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 43 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. XOM’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 61 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: XOM's P/B Ratio (2.593) is slightly higher than the industry average of (1.948). P/E Ratio (21.048) is within average values for comparable stocks, (17.121). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.401) is also within normal values, averaging (1.099). Dividend Yield (0.025) settles around the average of (0.034) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.911) is also within normal values, averaging (3.764).

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 63 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly weaker than average sales and a marginally profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

A.I.Advisor
published Dividends

XOM paid dividends on September 10, 2026

ExxonMobil Holdings Corporation XOM Stock Dividends
А dividend of $1.03 per share was paid with a record date of September 10, 2026, and an ex-dividend date of August 17, 2026. Read more...
A.I.Advisor
published Highlights

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are ExxonMobil Holdings Corporation (NYSE:XOM), Chevron Corp (NYSE:CVX), Petroleo Brasileiro Sa-Petrobras ADS (REP 1 Common Share) (NYSE:PBR), BP plc (NYSE:BP), Suncor Energy (NYSE:SU), YPF Sociedad Anonima (NYSE:YPF).

Industry description

Integrated oil companies are involved across nearly the entire oil value chain – from upstream operations like exploration and production, to downstream functions of refining and marketing. Exxon Mobil Corporation, Chevron Corporation and BP are major integrated oil companies. Their bottom lines’ response to crude oil prices could depend on the proportion of upstream vs. downstream businesses; for example, if a company has substantial downstream business, the adverse impact on their upstream business due to falling crude prices could be mitigated by benefits to its downstream business.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Integrated Oil Industry is 126.14B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 63.2K to 672.46B. XOM holds the highest valuation in this group at 672.46B. The lowest valued company is CRRDF at 63.2K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Integrated Oil Industry was -2%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 2%, and the average quarterly price growth was 8%. SLNG experienced the highest price growth at 7%, while SKYQ experienced the biggest fall at -11%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Integrated Oil Industry was 99%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 84% and the average quarterly volume growth was -44%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 39
P/E Growth Rating: 50
Price Growth Rating: 42
SMR Rating: 55
Profit Risk Rating: 26
Seasonality Score: 27 (-100 ... +100)
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published General Information

General Information

a distributer of crude oil, natural gas and petroleum products

Industry IntegratedOil

Profile
Details
Industry
Integrated Oil
Address
22777 Springwoods Village Parkway
Phone
+1 972 940-6000
Employees
57900
Web
https://www.corporate.exxonmobil.com