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CMS vs DTE
Which Stock Would AI Choose? CMS Energy (CMS) vs. DTE Energy (DTE) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Both CMS and DTE are Michigan-based utility holding companies offering stable dividends around 3%, appealing to income-focused investors.
- DTE has outperformed CMS year-to-date (YTD) with a 14.5% gain compared to CMS's 9.6% rise, reflecting stronger momentum in recent market activity.
- CMS recently reported Q1 2026 earnings per share (EPS) of $1.13, beating estimates and reaffirming full-year guidance of $3.83-$3.90.
- DTE is set for Q1 earnings on April 30, with growth tied to data center demand and a proposed $474 million rate hike for infrastructure.
- Comparable price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios near 21 suggest similar valuations, but DTE's larger market cap of $30.5 billion edges out CMS's $23.4 billion.
- Both stocks benefit from utility sector stability amid interest rate sensitivity, with renewable investments driving long-term positioning.
Introduction
CMS Energy and DTE Energy are prominent utility providers in Michigan, serving millions through electric and natural gas operations. This stock comparison analyzes their recent performance, financial metrics, and market positioning, helping income-oriented investors and traders evaluate relative strengths in a sector known for defensive qualities. With both companies navigating regulatory environments, renewable transitions, and infrastructure demands, understanding their momentum and catalysts aids in assessing portfolio fit amid fluctuating energy demands and interest rate dynamics. Traders may focus on short-term price action, while long-term holders prioritize dividend reliability and growth prospects.
CMS Overview and Recent Performance
CMS Energy, headquartered in Jackson, Michigan, operates primarily through its subsidiary Consumers Energy, delivering electricity and natural gas to over 6.8 million customers. The company emphasizes clean energy goals, targeting 90% carbon-free generation by 2040. In recent weeks, CMS shares have traded around $76, within a 52-week range of $67.71 to $80.36, reflecting steady utility sector resilience. Q1 2026 results showed EPS of $1.13, surpassing estimates by 2.71%, with revenue at $2.73 billion, supported by rate adjustments and operational efficiencies. Sentiment has been bolstered by reaffirmed 2026 EPS guidance of $3.83-$3.90 and a quarterly dividend declaration, underscoring commitment to shareholders. Broader market activity, including new weather stations for faster storm recovery, has enhanced operational reliability, contributing to positive investor views despite interest rate pressures typical for utilities.
DTE Overview and Recent Performance
DTE Energy, based in Detroit, provides electricity to 2.3 million and natural gas to 1.3 million Michigan customers via subsidiaries like DTE Electric and DTE Gas. It is advancing clean energy with plans for 900 MW annual renewable additions over five years. Shares recently hovered near $146.50, in a 52-week band of $126.23 to $154.63, showing robust YTD gains. Upcoming Q1 2026 earnings on April 30 anticipate EPS of $1.90 and revenue growth, fueled by data center contracts and infrastructure investments. A proposed $474 million electric rate hike aims to fund grid upgrades, with a commitment to pause future requests under certain conditions. Recent performance reflects optimism around these catalysts, dividend yield stability at 3.08%, and strategic positioning in high-demand growth areas, though regulatory approvals remain a key watchpoint.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Both CMS and DTE operate regulated utility models centered on electric and gas distribution in Michigan, exposing them to similar rate case dynamics and renewable mandates. Growth drivers differ slightly: DTE leverages data center electrification for accelerated demand, while CMS focuses on grid modernization and carbon reduction. Recent momentum favors DTE with superior YTD returns, though CMS demonstrates earnings beat consistency. Risk factors include interest rate sensitivity—higher rates pressure dividend stocks—and regulatory hurdles for rate recoveries. Sector exposure is nearly identical in multi-utilities, but DTE's larger scale offers diversification via gas infrastructure. Market sentiment tilts toward DTE for near-term catalysts, balancing CMS's steady execution.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI models currently lean toward DTE based on stronger trend consistency, higher YTD relative performance, and identifiable catalysts like data center growth and rate proposals. CMS offers comparable stability and recent earnings strength, but DTE's positioning suggests modestly higher probability of outperformance in the near term amid utility sector rotation.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full Disclaimers and Limitations.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is CMS is a StrongBuy and DTE is a StrongBuy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
CMS’s FA Score shows that 0 FA rating(s) are green whileDTE’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- CMS’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- DTE’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
CMS’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while DTE’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- CMS’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 3 bearish.
- DTE’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
CMS (@Electric Utilities) experienced а +2.12% price change this week, while DTE (@Electric Utilities) price change was +1.13% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Electric Utilities industry was +0.73%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +1.38%, and the average quarterly price growth was +8.66%.
Reported Earning Dates
CMS is expected to report earnings on Jul 23, 2026.
DTE is expected to report earnings on Jul 23, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Electric Utilities (+0.73% weekly)Electric utilities companies generate, transmit and distribute electricity to businesses/offices and residences. Companies may be owned by the government or investors or public shareholders, or a combination thereof. The industry also includes firms that buy and sell electricity. Companies in this industry typically require significant investments in infrastructure. Many firms in this industry pay substantial and regular dividends to shareholders. However, changes in interest rates (and their impact on debt burdens), natural disasters and changing commodity prices could be factors affecting energy utilities’ profit margins. NextEra Energy, Inc., Duke Energy Corporation, Dominion Energy Inc. and Southern Company are among U.S. electric utilities companies with the largest market capitalizations.
| CMS | DTE | CMS / DTE | |
| Capitalization | 22.7B | 30.7B | 74% |
| EBITDA | 3.4B | 4.28B | 79% |
| Gain YTD | 6.816 | 15.194 | 45% |
| P/E Ratio | 20.35 | 24.25 | 84% |
| Revenue | 8.82B | 16.5B | 53% |
| Total Cash | 175M | 238M | 74% |
| Total Debt | 19.1B | 27B | 71% |
CMS | DTE | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 16 | 16 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 71 Overvalued | 45 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 46 | 38 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 64 | 70 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 53 | 49 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 54 | 27 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
DTE's Valuation (45) in the Electric Utilities industry is in the same range as CMS (71). This means that DTE’s stock grew similarly to CMS’s over the last 12 months.
DTE's Profit vs Risk Rating (38) in the Electric Utilities industry is in the same range as CMS (46). This means that DTE’s stock grew similarly to CMS’s over the last 12 months.
CMS's SMR Rating (64) in the Electric Utilities industry is in the same range as DTE (70). This means that CMS’s stock grew similarly to DTE’s over the last 12 months.
DTE's Price Growth Rating (49) in the Electric Utilities industry is in the same range as CMS (53). This means that DTE’s stock grew similarly to CMS’s over the last 12 months.
DTE's P/E Growth Rating (27) in the Electric Utilities industry is in the same range as CMS (54). This means that DTE’s stock grew similarly to CMS’s over the last 12 months.
| CMS | DTE | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | N/A | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 42% | 3 days ago 44% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 51% | 3 days ago 53% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 37% | 3 days ago 61% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 47% | 3 days ago 47% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 45% | 3 days ago 43% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 5 days ago 49% | 5 days ago 50% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 14 days ago 39% | 14 days ago 39% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 58% | 3 days ago 47% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 21% | N/A |
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DTE and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, DTE has been closely correlated with CMS. These tickers have moved in lockstep 85% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if DTE jumps, then CMS could also see price increases.