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CMS vs WEC
Which Stock Would AI Choose? CMS Energy (CMS) vs. WEC Energy Group (WEC) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- CMS and WEC are both regulated electric and gas utilities operating in the Midwest, offering defensive exposure to the utilities sector amid broader market volatility.
- Year-to-date through late July 2026, WEC posted an 11.65% total return compared to CMS at 8.46%, both modestly outperforming the S&P 500's 8.28% gain.
- WEC has highlighted data center-driven demand as a key growth driver in recent updates, while CMS continues to focus on rate-base investments and operational reliability in Michigan.
- Both companies maintain strong dividend records, with WEC declaring its 336th consecutive quarterly dividend and CMS affirming its payout policy.
- Upcoming second-quarter earnings releases—CMS on July 28 and WEC on July 29—will provide fresh visibility into 2026 guidance and regulatory outcomes.
- Relative valuation and risk profiles remain comparable, with both stocks exhibiting low beta and serving income-oriented investors seeking sector stability.
Introduction
Investors often compare CMS Energy Corporation and WEC Energy Group, Inc. as representative names in the regulated utilities space. Both companies deliver essential electric and natural gas services across Midwestern markets, generating predictable cash flows supported by rate regulation. This comparison appeals to income-focused investors, portfolio managers seeking defensive equity exposure, and traders monitoring relative performance within the utilities sector during periods of economic uncertainty or shifting interest-rate expectations. The analysis examines recent market behavior, business fundamentals, and positioning without projecting future outcomes.
CMS Overview and Recent Performance
CMS Energy Corporation operates primarily through its Consumers Energy subsidiary, serving electric and gas customers in Michigan. The company focuses on infrastructure modernization, renewable integration, and regulatory rate cases to support long-term earnings stability. In recent market activity, the stock has traded in a range reflecting broader sector sentiment, closing at 74.70 on July 24, 2026, with an 8.46% year-to-date return. Performance has been influenced by steady operational execution and dividend continuity, alongside typical utilities-sector sensitivity to interest-rate movements and weather-related demand patterns.
WEC Overview and Recent Performance
WEC Energy Group, Inc. provides electric and natural gas services across Wisconsin, Illinois, and other states, emphasizing capital investment in grid reliability and emerging demand sources. Recent updates have underscored opportunities tied to data center expansion. As of July 24, 2026, the stock closed at 115.77, delivering an 11.65% year-to-date return. Market activity has reflected investor attention to earnings visibility and dividend growth, with the company reaffirming its 2026 earnings guidance range following first-quarter results.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
CMS and WEC share similar regulated business models centered on rate-base growth and customer service, yet differ in geographic focus and highlighted catalysts. WEC has drawn attention for data center-related load growth potential, while CMS emphasizes Michigan-specific infrastructure and reliability initiatives. On recent momentum, WEC has outperformed on a year-to-date basis amid sector rotation. Risk factors remain low for both, with betas below 0.5 indicating defensive characteristics, though regulatory outcomes and interest-rate sensitivity present common trade-offs. Market sentiment has been constructive for the pair, supported by dividend histories and earnings visibility ahead of second-quarter reports.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as stronger year-to-date price consistency, explicit data center demand exposure, and a longer streak of consecutive dividend increases, Tickeron’s AI would currently assign a modestly higher probabilistic preference to WEC relative to CMS within the utilities peer set. This assessment rests on trend stability and catalyst visibility rather than forecasts, with both names retaining defensive appeal depending on individual portfolio objectives and risk parameters.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is CMS is a Buy and WEC is a Buy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
CMS’s FA Score shows that 0 FA rating(s) are green whileWEC’s FA Score has 0 green FA rating(s).
- CMS’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- WEC’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
CMS’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while WEC’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- CMS’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
- WEC’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
CMS (@Electric Utilities) experienced а +0.11% price change this week, while WEC (@Electric Utilities) price change was +3.58% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Electric Utilities industry was +0.04%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -1.94%, and the average quarterly price growth was -2.82%.
Reported Earning Dates
CMS is expected to report earnings on Oct 22, 2026.
WEC is expected to report earnings on Nov 03, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Electric Utilities (+0.04% weekly)Electric utilities companies generate, transmit and distribute electricity to businesses/offices and residences. Companies may be owned by the government or investors or public shareholders, or a combination thereof. The industry also includes firms that buy and sell electricity. Companies in this industry typically require significant investments in infrastructure. Many firms in this industry pay substantial and regular dividends to shareholders. However, changes in interest rates (and their impact on debt burdens), natural disasters and changing commodity prices could be factors affecting energy utilities’ profit margins. NextEra Energy, Inc., Duke Energy Corporation, Dominion Energy Inc. and Southern Company are among U.S. electric utilities companies with the largest market capitalizations.
| CMS | WEC | CMS / WEC | |
| Capitalization | 22.3B | 36B | 62% |
| EBITDA | 3.3B | 4.24B | 78% |
| Gain YTD | 4.077 | 7.514 | 54% |
| P/E Ratio | 21.39 | 21.46 | 100% |
| Revenue | 8.81B | 10.1B | 87% |
| Total Cash | N/A | N/A | - |
| Total Debt | 19.3B | 22.3B | 87% |
CMS | WEC | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 76 | 64 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 54 Fair valued | 34 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 48 | 40 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 66 | 95 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 59 | 56 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 50 | 46 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
WEC's Valuation (34) in the Electric Utilities industry is in the same range as CMS (54). This means that WEC’s stock grew similarly to CMS’s over the last 12 months.
WEC's Profit vs Risk Rating (40) in the Electric Utilities industry is in the same range as CMS (48). This means that WEC’s stock grew similarly to CMS’s over the last 12 months.
CMS's SMR Rating (66) in the Electric Utilities industry is in the same range as WEC (95). This means that CMS’s stock grew similarly to WEC’s over the last 12 months.
WEC's Price Growth Rating (56) in the Electric Utilities industry is in the same range as CMS (59). This means that WEC’s stock grew similarly to CMS’s over the last 12 months.
WEC's P/E Growth Rating (46) in the Electric Utilities industry is in the same range as CMS (50). This means that WEC’s stock grew similarly to CMS’s over the last 12 months.
| CMS | WEC | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 65% | 3 days ago 57% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 56% | 3 days ago 51% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 37% | 3 days ago 46% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | N/A | 3 days ago 45% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 47% | 3 days ago 49% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 38% | 3 days ago 37% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 48% | 3 days ago 47% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 12 days ago 42% | 10 days ago 41% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 70% | 3 days ago 66% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 28% | 3 days ago 25% |
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CMS and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, CMS has been closely correlated with DTE. These tickers have moved in lockstep 86% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if CMS jumps, then DTE could also see price increases.
WEC and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, WEC has been closely correlated with AEE. These tickers have moved in lockstep 86% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if WEC jumps, then AEE could also see price increases.