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COIN vs SHOP
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Coinbase (COIN) vs. Shopify (SHOP) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Shopify (SHOP) shows stronger year-to-date gains at approximately 21%, outperforming Coinbase (COIN)'s 15% rise, amid software sector recovery.
- COIN exhibits higher volatility tied to cryptocurrency market swings and regulatory developments, with a 52-week range of $139 to $445.
- SHOP benefits from projected 30% quarterly revenue growth and e-commerce tailwinds, trading at a premium PE (price-to-earnings ratio) of 136 versus COIN's 43.
- Recent momentum favors both, with monthly gains around 6-7%, but SHOP's larger $166 billion market cap signals broader market positioning.
- COIN gains from crypto bill progress, including stablecoin provisions, boosting sentiment in recent weeks.
Introduction
This comparison pits Coinbase (COIN), a leading cryptocurrency exchange, against Shopify (SHOP), a dominant e-commerce platform. Both represent high-growth tech plays, with COIN exposed to digital assets and SHOP to online retail infrastructure. Traders seeking momentum in volatile markets or investors eyeing scalable SaaS (software-as-a-service) models will find value here, especially amid shifting sector sentiments and AI-driven opportunities. Understanding their relative performance aids decisions on growth exposure versus stability.
COIN Overview and Recent Performance
Coinbase Global (COIN) operates as a premier platform for cryptocurrency trading and custody, serving retail and institutional clients. In recent market activity, its stock has traded around $191, reflecting a market cap of about $50.5 billion. Year-to-date gains stand at 15%, with a one-month uptick of roughly 7%, though volatility persists due to its 52-week range spanning $139 to $445. Sentiment has lifted from progress on U.S. crypto legislation, including a stablecoin yield compromise that reduces regulatory hurdles. Bitcoin ETF inflows and tokenized asset expansions have supported trading volumes, yet earnings misses and crypto price sensitivity weigh on stability. Key metrics include a PE ratio of 43 and EPS (earnings per share) of $4.46 TTM (trailing twelve months).
SHOP Overview and Recent Performance
Shopify (SHOP) provides cloud-based tools for merchants to build online stores, powering millions of businesses worldwide. Recently, shares hover near $128, with a substantial $166 billion market cap. Year-to-date performance approximates 21%, including a monthly gain of about 7%, amid a 52-week range of $88 to $182. Positive software sector sentiment and AI commerce integrations have driven recovery, with analysts forecasting 30% revenue growth in the next quarter. Influences include e-commerce demand and capital strength, evidenced by $5.6 billion in net cash. Metrics feature a PE ratio of 136 and EPS of $0.94 TTM, highlighting growth premium over profitability.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
COIN and SHOP diverge in business models: COIN's transaction fees from crypto trading contrast SHOP's recurring SaaS subscriptions. Growth drivers include crypto adoption and regulatory clarity for COIN, versus e-commerce expansion and AI tools for SHOP. Recent momentum is comparable at 6-7% monthly, but SHOP offers steadier YTD trajectory. Risk factors tilt higher for COIN due to crypto cycles and regs, while SHOP faces competition. Sector exposure positions COIN in fintech/crypto and SHOP in consumer tech; sentiment favors SHOP's scale amid broader market rotations.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron's AI leans toward SHOP in the current environment, citing superior YTD consistency, lower relative volatility, and robust e-commerce catalysts like AI integrations. While COIN holds upside from regulatory tailwinds, SHOP's market positioning suggests higher probability of sustained outperformance absent major crypto surges.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is COIN is a Hold and SHOP is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
COIN’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileSHOP’s FA Score has 0 green FA rating(s).
- COIN’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- SHOP’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
COIN’s TA Score shows that 6 TA indicator(s) are bullish while SHOP’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- COIN’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
- SHOP’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 6 bearish.
Price Growth
COIN (@Financial Publishing/Services) experienced а -2.85% price change this week, while SHOP (@Packaged Software) price change was -9.17% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Financial Publishing/Services industry was -3.15%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -1.49%, and the average quarterly price growth was +4.66%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Packaged Software industry was -4.73%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -0.94%, and the average quarterly price growth was +43.76%.
Reported Earning Dates
COIN is expected to report earnings on Jul 30, 2026.
SHOP is expected to report earnings on Jul 29, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Financial Publishing/Services (-3.15% weekly)The financial publishing /services sector includes companies that provide informational products and services that are of value to investors, financial/analytics professionals and other interested readers. The products include real-time stock quotes, financial news and analyses. Think S&P Global, Inc., Moody`s Corporation, Thomson-Reuters Corp and IHS Markit Ltd. Information is critical in making financial or investment decisions, and what makes this industry’s output relevant at all times, across various economic conditions.
@Packaged Software (-4.73% weekly)Packaged software comprises multiple software programs bundled together and sold as a group. For example, Microsoft Office includes multiple applications such as Excel, Word, and PowerPoint. In some cases, buying a bundled product is cheaper than purchasing each item individually[s20] . Microsoft Corporation, Oracle Corp. and Adobe are some major American packaged software makers.
| COIN | SHOP | COIN / SHOP | |
| Capitalization | 51.5B | 130B | 40% |
| EBITDA | 1.29B | 2.14B | 60% |
| Gain YTD | -13.580 | -37.703 | 36% |
| P/E Ratio | 71.85 | 98.31 | 73% |
| Revenue | 6.56B | 12.4B | 53% |
| Total Cash | 10.7B | 5.74B | 186% |
| Total Debt | 7.96B | 179M | 4,449% |
SHOP | ||
|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 55 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 86 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 100 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 66 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 85 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 37 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
| COIN | SHOP | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 90% | 3 days ago 89% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 89% | 3 days ago 84% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 83% | 3 days ago 75% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 76% | 3 days ago 82% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 85% | 3 days ago 75% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 86% | 3 days ago 77% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 7 days ago 85% | 3 days ago 80% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 5 days ago 84% | 5 days ago 74% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 77% | 3 days ago 82% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 79% | 3 days ago 86% |
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COIN and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, COIN has been closely correlated with AFRM. These tickers have moved in lockstep 81% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if COIN jumps, then AFRM could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To COIN | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| COIN | 100% | -7.82% | ||
| AFRM - COIN | 81% Closely correlated | -2.59% | ||
| MSTR - COIN | 81% Closely correlated | -5.11% | ||
| RIOT - COIN | 77% Closely correlated | -4.59% | ||
| U - COIN | 74% Closely correlated | -0.44% | ||
| HOOD - COIN | 73% Closely correlated | -4.41% | ||
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SHOP and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, SHOP has been closely correlated with COIN. These tickers have moved in lockstep 67% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if SHOP jumps, then COIN could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To SHOP | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SHOP | 100% | +2.94% | ||
| COIN - SHOP | 67% Closely correlated | -7.82% | ||
| CLSK - SHOP | 64% Loosely correlated | -6.22% | ||
| RNG - SHOP | 64% Loosely correlated | +4.32% | ||
| RIOT - SHOP | 62% Loosely correlated | -4.59% | ||
| FTNT - SHOP | 62% Loosely correlated | +0.75% | ||
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