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COTY vs ELF
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is COTY is a Hold and ELF is a Hold.
COTY's MACD Histogram just turned positive
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for COTY turned positive on September 29, 2026. Looking at past instances where COTY's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 35 of 48 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 73%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 01, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on COTY as a result. In 51 of 84 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 61%.
COTY moved above its 50-day moving average on October 06, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
The 10-day moving average for COTY crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 12, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 11 of 18 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 61%.
Following a +3.51% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where COTY advanced for three days, in 195 of 280 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 70%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator demonstrates that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 3 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 8 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where COTY declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 77%.
COTY broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 15, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Aroon Indicator for COTY entered a downward trend on September 24, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 28 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 42 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. COTY’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 70 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.789) is normal, around the industry mean (18.044). P/E Ratio (37.145) is within average values for comparable stocks, (43.673). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.182) is also within normal values, averaging (1.518). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.024) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.397) is also within normal values, averaging (1.931).
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 85 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 95 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. COTY’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 89, placing this stock worse than average.
Momentum Indicator for ELF turns positive, indicating new upward trend
ELF saw its Momentum Indicator move above the 0 level on September 23, 2026. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new upward move. Traders may want to consider buying the stock or buying call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 85 similar instances where the indicator turned positive. In 72 of the 85 cases, the stock moved higher in the following days. The odds of a move higher are at 85%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for ELF just turned positive on October 01, 2026. Looking at past instances where ELF's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 37 of 47 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 79%.
Following a +3.76% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where ELF advanced for three days, in 263 of 327 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 80%.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 255 of 306 cases where ELF Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 83%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator demonstrated that the stock has entered the overbought zone. This may point to a price pull-back soon.
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 5 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where ELF declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 76%.
ELF broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 15, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 15 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 37 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. ELF’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 67 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. ELF’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 89, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 81 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 91 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (5.139) is normal, around the industry mean (18.044). ELF has a moderately high P/E Ratio (103.878) as compared to the industry average of (43.673). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.040) is also within normal values, averaging (1.518). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.024) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (3.174) is also within normal values, averaging (1.931).
COTY | ELF | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 29 | 33 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 70 Overvalued | 91 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 100 | 67 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 95 | 81 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 42 | 37 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 28 | 15 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 85 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
COTY's Valuation (70) in the Household Or Personal Care industry is in the same range as ELF (91). This means that COTY’s stock grew similarly to ELF’s over the last 12 months.
ELF's Profit vs Risk Rating (67) in the Household Or Personal Care industry is somewhat better than the same rating for COTY (100). This means that ELF’s stock grew somewhat faster than COTY’s over the last 12 months.
ELF's SMR Rating (81) in the Household Or Personal Care industry is in the same range as COTY (95). This means that ELF’s stock grew similarly to COTY’s over the last 12 months.
ELF's Price Growth Rating (37) in the Household Or Personal Care industry is in the same range as COTY (42). This means that ELF’s stock grew similarly to COTY’s over the last 12 months.
ELF's P/E Growth Rating (15) in the Household Or Personal Care industry is in the same range as COTY (28). This means that ELF’s stock grew similarly to COTY’s over the last 12 months.
| COTY | ELF | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 76% | 2 days ago 67% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 83% | 2 days ago 75% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 61% | 2 days ago 85% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 73% | 2 days ago 79% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 71% | 2 days ago 82% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 64% | 2 days ago 85% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 70% | 5 days ago 80% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 23 days ago 77% | 3 days ago 76% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 71% | 2 days ago 60% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 76% | 2 days ago 83% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
COTY’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green while ELF’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- COTY’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- ELF’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
COTY’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while ELF’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- COTY’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
- ELF’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
COTY (@Household/Personal Care) experienced а +14.34% price change this week, while ELF (@Household/Personal Care) price change was +9.58% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Household/Personal Care industry was -0.16%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +1.29%, and the average quarterly price growth was +7.57%.
Reported Earning Dates
COTY is expected to report earnings on Nov 10, 2026.
ELF is expected to report earnings on Nov 11, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Household/Personal Care (-0.16% weekly)Household/Personal Care companies sell products for home cleaning and/or personal hygiene and grooming purposes. Products of this industry include detergents, shampoos, soaps, cosmetics, fabric conditioners and infant care fragrances. Procter & Gamble, Unilever, Estee Lauder and Colgate-Palmolive are some of the biggest names in the business. A lot of the products become a necessary part of people’s daily routine, and therefore the industry is relatively less vulnerable to macroeconomic downturns. At the same time, product quality, consumer safety, and ease of use are extremely critical factors for a company to survive competition and earn recognition in this industry.
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COTY and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, COTY has been loosely correlated with EL. These tickers have moved in lockstep 49% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if COTY jumps, then EL could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To COTY | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| COTY | 100% | +8.50% | ||
| EL - COTY | 49% Loosely correlated | +5.51% | ||
| EPC - COTY | 36% Loosely correlated | -0.46% | ||
| ELF - COTY | 34% Loosely correlated | +7.38% | ||
| PG - COTY | 32% Poorly correlated | +0.35% | ||
| KMB - COTY | 31% Poorly correlated | +4.69% | ||
More | ||||
ELF and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, ELF has been loosely correlated with EL. These tickers have moved in lockstep 46% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if ELF jumps, then EL could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To ELF | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ELF | 100% | +7.38% | ||
| EL - ELF | 46% Loosely correlated | +5.51% | ||
| IPAR - ELF | 38% Loosely correlated | +0.56% | ||
| COTY - ELF | 34% Loosely correlated | +8.50% | ||
| NUS - ELF | 27% Poorly correlated | +1.96% | ||
| CLX - ELF | 25% Poorly correlated | +1.45% | ||
More | ||||