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CVLG vs KNX
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Covenant Logistics Group (CVLG) vs. Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings (KNX) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Both CVLG and KNX operate in the trucking and logistics sector, with strong year-to-date (YTD) gains of approximately 41% for CVLG and 26% for KNX.
- Recent market activity shows upward momentum, with CVLG up over 16% in the past month and KNX advancing around 19%, driven by sector recovery signals.
- CVLG, a smaller-cap player at $780 million market capitalization (market cap), trades at a high PE ratio (price-to-earnings) of 194, reflecting growth expectations, while KNX's $10.6 billion market cap and PE of 160 indicate scale advantages.
- KNX recently revised its Q1 earnings guidance downward amid cost pressures, yet shares have surged recently; CVLG approaches Q1 earnings with positive revenue trends from prior quarters.
- One-year returns are comparable at around 66% for both, highlighting relative strength in a cyclical industry.
Introduction
In the competitive trucking and logistics sector, CVLG and KNX stand out for their recent performance amid freight market fluctuations. This comparison analyzes their business models, recent stock behavior, and market positioning, aiding traders seeking momentum plays and investors evaluating sector exposure. With both stocks posting robust gains in recent weeks, understanding their contrasts in scale, services, and sentiment shifts is key for informed decisions on relative performance and stock comparison strategies.
CVLG Overview and Recent Performance
Covenant Logistics Group, Inc. (CVLG) provides truckload, dedicated, managed freight, and warehousing services across the U.S., focusing on expedited and high-service freight for manufacturers and retailers. In recent market activity, shares have climbed significantly, with YTD returns near 41% and a one-month gain of about 16%, pushing the price toward its 52-week high of $31.36. Sentiment has been bolstered by prior quarter revenue growth of 7.8% and a strategic shift to higher-margin segments, though high PE ratios signal elevated valuations. Upcoming Q1 earnings on April 23 may influence near-term trajectory amid broader freight demand recovery.
KNX Overview and Recent Performance
Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings Inc. (KNX), the largest full-truckload carrier in the U.S., offers truckload, less-than-truckload (LTL), logistics, and intermodal services, serving diverse industries like retail and manufacturing. Recent weeks have seen shares advance toward the 52-week high of $66, with YTD performance at 26% and monthly gains around 19%, despite a Q1 EPS guidance cut due to rising fuel and labor costs. Positive analyst notes and sector resilience have driven momentum, with one-year returns matching peers at 68%, though operational pressures temper optimism.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
While both CVLG and KNX thrive in trucking, CVLG emphasizes expedited truckload and dedicated contracts for agility, contrasting KNX's broader portfolio including LTL and intermodal for diversified revenue. Growth drivers differ: CVLG benefits from niche high-service freight amid capacity shifts, while KNX leverages scale but faces higher cost volatility. Recent momentum favors both, yet CVLG's superior YTD performance signals stronger relative upside in smaller-cap plays. Risk factors include freight cycles and fuel prices, with KNX's larger market cap offering stability versus CVLG's higher volatility. Market sentiment leans positive for sector recovery, positioning CVLG for outsized gains and KNX for steady compounding.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI tools, analyzing trend consistency and catalysts, would likely favor CVLG in the current environment due to its superior YTD momentum, recent surges, and positioning near 52-week highs amid freight upturns. KNX remains competitive with scale and diversification, but CVLG's relative performance suggests higher probability of near-term outperformance, though both warrant monitoring for earnings outcomes.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is CVLG is a Buy and KNX is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
CVLG’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green whileKNX’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- CVLG’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- KNX’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
CVLG’s TA Score shows that 3 TA indicator(s) are bullish while KNX’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- CVLG’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 5 bearish.
- KNX’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
CVLG (@Trucking) experienced а -3.30% price change this week, while KNX (@Trucking) price change was -4.86% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Trucking industry was -5.41%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +9.21%, and the average quarterly price growth was +45.26%.
Reported Earning Dates
CVLG is expected to report earnings on Jul 29, 2026.
KNX is expected to report earnings on Jul 22, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Trucking (-5.41% weekly)The trucking industry provides road transportation delivery and logistical services, including moving large quantities of raw materials, works in process, and finished goods —often from manufacturing plants to retail distribution centers. Trucks are also used in the construction industry, as they transport large amounts of rocks, concrete, and other building materials used in construction. Trucks in the U.S. are responsible for the majority of freight movement over land, and therefore play an important role in the manufacturing, transportation, and warehousing industries. The business could be affected by economic cycles, since it is closely linked with manufacturing, retail and construction. Some of the major trucking companies in the U.S. are Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc., J.B. Hunt Transport Services, Inc., and XPO Logistics, Inc.
| CVLG | KNX | CVLG / KNX | |
| Capitalization | 1.09B | 12.3B | 9% |
| EBITDA | 111M | 993M | 11% |
| Gain YTD | 97.395 | 45.067 | 216% |
| P/E Ratio | 481.44 | 359.05 | 134% |
| Revenue | 1.2B | 7.5B | 16% |
| Total Cash | 11.2M | N/A | - |
| Total Debt | 292M | 2.66B | 11% |
CVLG | KNX | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 91 | 86 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 94 Overvalued | 91 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 15 | 39 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 91 | 91 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 36 | 39 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 1 | 2 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 35 | n/a |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
KNX's Valuation (91) in the Trucking industry is in the same range as CVLG (94) in the null industry. This means that KNX’s stock grew similarly to CVLG’s over the last 12 months.
CVLG's Profit vs Risk Rating (15) in the null industry is in the same range as KNX (39) in the Trucking industry. This means that CVLG’s stock grew similarly to KNX’s over the last 12 months.
CVLG's SMR Rating (91) in the null industry is in the same range as KNX (91) in the Trucking industry. This means that CVLG’s stock grew similarly to KNX’s over the last 12 months.
CVLG's Price Growth Rating (36) in the null industry is in the same range as KNX (39) in the Trucking industry. This means that CVLG’s stock grew similarly to KNX’s over the last 12 months.
CVLG's P/E Growth Rating (1) in the null industry is in the same range as KNX (2) in the Trucking industry. This means that CVLG’s stock grew similarly to KNX’s over the last 12 months.
| CVLG | KNX | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 60% | 1 day ago 65% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 73% | 1 day ago 75% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 64% | 1 day ago 68% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 58% | 1 day ago 73% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 64% | 1 day ago 64% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 78% | 1 day ago 64% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 74% | 1 day ago 65% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 8 days ago 62% | 8 days ago 58% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 62% | 1 day ago 89% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 82% | 1 day ago 69% |
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CVLG and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, CVLG has been closely correlated with HTLD. These tickers have moved in lockstep 81% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if CVLG jumps, then HTLD could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To CVLG | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CVLG | 100% | +1.64% | ||
| HTLD - CVLG | 81% Closely correlated | +1.73% | ||
| ARCB - CVLG | 77% Closely correlated | +0.70% | ||
| MRTN - CVLG | 76% Closely correlated | +0.42% | ||
| SNDR - CVLG | 75% Closely correlated | -0.59% | ||
| ODFL - CVLG | 75% Closely correlated | -0.69% | ||
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KNX and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, KNX has been closely correlated with SNDR. These tickers have moved in lockstep 81% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if KNX jumps, then SNDR could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To KNX | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| KNX | 100% | +1.69% | ||
| SNDR - KNX | 81% Closely correlated | -0.59% | ||
| WERN - KNX | 79% Closely correlated | +0.42% | ||
| SAIA - KNX | 75% Closely correlated | +0.21% | ||
| CVLG - KNX | 75% Closely correlated | +1.64% | ||
| ODFL - KNX | 75% Closely correlated | -0.69% | ||
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