Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings Inc. (KNX) is a leading freight transportation company operating primarily in the United States and Mexico. The company provides truckload and less-than-truckload services, including dry van, refrigerated, intermodal, and dedicated route offerings. Its core business model focuses on integrating acquisitions like Knight Transportation and Swift Transportation to create a diversified fleet exceeding 20,000 tractors.
In the competitive trucking industry within the Industrials sector, KNX holds a strong position as one of the largest providers by revenue, benefiting from scale efficiencies and an extensive network. These fundamentals, including operational leverage and exposure to freight volumes, underpin recent stock price resilience amid cyclical demand fluctuations and cost pressures.
Over the last 30 days, KNX stock rose from approximately $53.28 to $64.42, marking a +21% gain. The movement was volatile yet trend-driven, with sharp gains following news events amid elevated trading volumes exceeding 4 million shares on key days.
In the past quarter, shares advanced from around $55.07 to $64.42, delivering a +17% increase. Performance was steadily upward, supported by year-to-date momentum of over 23%, though punctuated by sector headwinds.
The +21% rally in KNX stock over the past 30 days was propelled by a mix of company-specific developments and favorable analyst sentiment. Despite a downward revision to Q1 earnings guidance—attributed to elevated fuel costs and winter weather disruptions—shares skyrocketed as investors focused on updated Q2 projections signaling stability.
Analyst actions played a pivotal role, with upgrades from firms like UBS and Evercore ISI highlighting undervaluation and recovery potential. Stifel reiterated a Buy rating post-guidance, targeting $63. Market sentiment shifted positively, viewing the guidance cut as temporary amid broader trucking sector resilience. These factors connected directly to buying pressure, pushing the stock through key resistance levels in a bullish flag pattern.
The +17% quarterly advance reflected sustained narratives in freight transportation, including moderating inflation and steady demand recovery. KNX benefited from its competitive scale and diversified operations, which cushioned impacts from macroeconomic pressures like interest rates and fuel volatility.
Institutional interest grew alongside a 66% one-year return, with analysts maintaining Overweight ratings and average price targets around $66. Sector developments, such as truck stocks holding ground despite challenges, amplified gains. Cumulative impacts from valuation discounts to intrinsic estimates and positive YTD trends outweighed short-term headwinds, fostering steady accumulation.
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Investors should monitor KNX's Q1 earnings release on April 22 for insights into freight volumes, margin pressures, and full-year guidance updates. Industry trends like truckload demand and capacity utilization remain key amid potential economic softening.
The macroeconomic environment, including fuel prices, interest rates, and inflation data, could sway sentiment. Strategic developments such as fleet efficiency initiatives or M&A (mergers and acquisitions) activity warrant attention. Risks include prolonged weather disruptions or regulatory changes, while catalysts like analyst revisions may drive volatility.
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KNX moved above its 50-day moving average on May 14, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend. In of 47 similar past instances, the stock price increased further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on May 14, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on KNX as a result. In of 80 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for KNX just turned positive on May 15, 2026. Looking at past instances where KNX's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 48 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where KNX advanced for three days, in of 265 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 224 cases where KNX Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
The RSI Indicator demonstrates that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 13 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 18 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where KNX declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
KNX broke above its upper Bollinger Band on May 14, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 69, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. KNX’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.878) is normal, around the industry mean (3.799). KNX has a moderately high P/E Ratio (388.286) as compared to the industry average of (166.863). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.680) is also within normal values, averaging (39.668). Dividend Yield (0.009) settles around the average of (0.010) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.771) is also within normal values, averaging (2.156).
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
a provider of trucking and freight management services
Industry Trucking