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DELL vs HPQ
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Dell Technologies (DELL) vs. HP Inc. (HPQ) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- DELL has shown stronger recent relative performance, driven largely by demand for AI-optimized servers and enterprise infrastructure.
- HPQ is positioned as a value and income story centered on personal computers and printing, with a more cautious analyst consensus.
- The two companies differ sharply in growth drivers: DELL leans on data-center and AI hardware, while HPQ depends on the PC refresh cycle and print supplies.
- HPQ carries a higher dividend yield and returns significant free cash flow to shareholders, whereas DELL emphasizes growth reinvestment and a rising dividend.
- Market positioning has diverged in recent months, with DELL trading near multi-year highs and HPQ facing a slower recovery in sentiment.
Introduction
Dell Technologies and HP Inc. are two of the most recognizable names in personal computing, yet their investment profiles have grown increasingly distinct. This stock comparison is relevant for traders and investors weighing high-growth exposure to artificial-intelligence infrastructure against a more defensive, income-oriented hardware business. Both companies compete directly in PCs, but their growth paths, margin structures, and market narratives differ meaningfully. Understanding the relative performance and market positioning of DELL and HPQ can help clarify which aligns with a given risk profile and time horizon.
DELL Overview and Recent Performance
Dell Technologies is a diversified technology provider spanning PCs, enterprise servers, storage, and networking. In recent weeks, the company has been one of the market's more visible beneficiaries of the AI spending cycle. Dell raised its long-term revenue growth outlook to a 7%–9% compound annual growth rate (CAGR), up from a prior 3%–4%, and lifted its adjusted earnings-per-share growth target to at least 15% annually. Management attributed the revision to strong demand for AI servers and related infrastructure, citing a large and growing AI order backlog.
This momentum has translated into notable share-price strength, with the stock reaching fresh 52-week highs during recent market activity. Fitch Ratings upgraded Dell's credit rating to BBB+, reflecting the strength of its AI server business and improved leverage. Analyst price targets have moved higher alongside the stock. The primary trade-off is margin pressure: AI server revenue carries lower operating margins than Dell's traditional business, a factor that has tempered some investor enthusiasm even as top-line growth accelerates.
HPQ Overview and Recent Performance
HP Inc. focuses on two core segments: Personal Systems (PCs, workstations, and peripherals) and Printing (hardware and supplies). The company operates a capital-light model, outsourcing manufacturing and returning a large share of free cash flow to shareholders through dividends and buybacks. In recent months, HP's narrative has centered on the Windows 10 end-of-support transition, which analysts expect to drive a PC refresh cycle.
Sentiment around HPQ has been mixed. HSBC upgraded the stock to Buy, citing better-than-expected PC shipments and resilient printer pricing, while JPMorgan moved to a Neutral rating with an unchanged price target. The broader analyst consensus sits near a Hold, with a modest average target. HP's recent full-year results showed low-single-digit revenue growth but a decline in operating profit, reflecting cost headwinds and a softer printing segment. The stock has underperformed year to date relative to DELL, though its higher dividend yield continues to attract income-focused investors.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
The clearest contrast between the two names is their growth orientation. DELL is increasingly an AI-infrastructure play, with its Infrastructure Solutions Group (ISG) driving outsized revenue growth even as it pressures margins. HPQ is a consumer and commercial hardware franchise where growth hinges on cyclical PC demand and the defensiveness of its printing supplies business.
On risk factors, DELL carries exposure to competitive AI-server pricing and margin compression, while HPQ faces structural pressure in printing volumes and sensitivity to consumer spending. Sector exposure also differs: DELL's fortunes are tied to data-center and cloud capital expenditure, whereas HPQ's are linked to enterprise and consumer device cycles. In terms of market sentiment, DELL has benefited from a positive AI narrative and rising targets, while HPQ's valuation reflects caution, trading at a low earnings multiple with a comparatively higher dividend yield. These trade-offs make the choice largely one of growth-versus-value and momentum-versus-income.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable trend consistency, catalyst strength, and relative positioning, Tickeron's AI would likely favor DELL in the current environment. The stock's upward momentum is supported by accelerating AI-related demand, a raised long-term growth outlook, and a credit upgrade, all of which signal durable positive catalysts. HPQ, by contrast, presents a more value-oriented profile with a higher yield but a softer growth and sentiment backdrop. This assessment is probabilistic rather than definitive and reflects current market conditions, which can shift as new earnings data and macro signals emerge.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is DELL is a StrongBuy and HPQ is a StrongBuy.
DELL's RSI Oscillator ascends from oversold territory
The RSI Oscillator for DELL moved out of oversold territory on October 20, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from a downward trend to an upward trend. Traders may want to buy the stock or call options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 25 similar instances when the indicator left oversold territory. In 24 of the 25 cases the stock moved higher. This puts the odds of a move higher at 90%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 5 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
Following a +6.68% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where DELL advanced for three days, in 257 of 317 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 81%.
DELL may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 14, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on DELL as a result. In 49 of 88 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 56%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for DELL turned negative on September 24, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 52 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 34 of the 52 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 65%.
DELL moved below its 50-day moving average on October 14, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for DELL crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 22, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 8 of 12 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 67%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where DELL declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 64%.
The Aroon Indicator for DELL entered a downward trend on October 23, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 2 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: DELL's P/B Ratio (-203.371) is very low in comparison to the industry average of (-7.861). P/E Ratio (26.262) is within average values for comparable stocks, (-3.305). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.638) is also within normal values, averaging (23.994). Dividend Yield (0.006) settles around the average of (0.011) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (2.474) is also within normal values, averaging (51.774).
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 9 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 88, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 17 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 23 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 35 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. DELL’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
HPQ's MACD Histogram crosses above signal line
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for HPQ turned positive on October 22, 2026. Looking at past instances where HPQ's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 34 of 44 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 77%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 22, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on HPQ as a result. In 68 of 96 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 71%.
HPQ moved above its 50-day moving average on October 20, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
Following a +8.17% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where HPQ advanced for three days, in 200 of 309 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 65%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator has been in the overbought zone for 1 day. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.
The 10-day moving average for HPQ crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 16, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 12 of 18 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 67%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where HPQ declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 59%.
HPQ broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 22, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Aroon Indicator for HPQ entered a downward trend on October 21, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 2 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: HPQ's P/B Ratio (-329.742) is very low in comparison to the industry average of (-7.861). P/E Ratio (12.742) is within average values for comparable stocks, (-3.305). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (3.344) is also within normal values, averaging (23.994). HPQ has a moderately high Dividend Yield (0.036) as compared to the industry average of (0.011). P/S Ratio (0.515) is also within normal values, averaging (51.774).
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 6 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating outstanding price growth. HPQ’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 18 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 46 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 65 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 88, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 85 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
DELL | HPQ | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 50 | 50 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 2 Undervalued | 2 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 9 | 65 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 17 | 46 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 35 | 6 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 23 | 18 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | n/a | 85 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
DELL's Valuation (2) in the Computer Processing Hardware industry is in the same range as HPQ (2). This means that DELL’s stock grew similarly to HPQ’s over the last 12 months.
DELL's Profit vs Risk Rating (9) in the Computer Processing Hardware industry is somewhat better than the same rating for HPQ (65). This means that DELL’s stock grew somewhat faster than HPQ’s over the last 12 months.
DELL's SMR Rating (17) in the Computer Processing Hardware industry is in the same range as HPQ (46). This means that DELL’s stock grew similarly to HPQ’s over the last 12 months.
HPQ's Price Growth Rating (6) in the Computer Processing Hardware industry is in the same range as DELL (35). This means that HPQ’s stock grew similarly to DELL’s over the last 12 months.
HPQ's P/E Growth Rating (18) in the Computer Processing Hardware industry is in the same range as DELL (23). This means that HPQ’s stock grew similarly to DELL’s over the last 12 months.
| DELL | HPQ | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 90% | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 90% | 4 days ago 62% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 56% | 4 days ago 71% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 65% | 4 days ago 77% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 81% | 4 days ago 68% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 68% | 4 days ago 61% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 6 days ago 81% | 5 days ago 65% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 11 days ago 64% | 15 days ago 59% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 83% | 4 days ago 67% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 64% | 4 days ago 53% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
DELL’s FA Score shows that 4 FA rating(s) are green while HPQ’s FA Score has 3 green FA rating(s).
- DELL’s FA Score: 4 green, 1 red.
- HPQ’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
DELL’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while HPQ’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- DELL’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 6 bearish.
- HPQ’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
DELL (@Computer Processing Hardware) experienced а +1.19% price change this week, while HPQ (@Computer Processing Hardware) price change was +12.10% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Computer Processing Hardware industry was -2.47%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -18.93%, and the average quarterly price growth was +1.12%.
Reported Earning Dates
DELL is expected to report earnings on Nov 24, 2026.
HPQ is expected to report earnings on Nov 24, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Computer Processing Hardware (-2.47% weekly)Computer Processing Hardware industry produces central processing unit, monitor, keyboard, computer data storage devices, and graphics card. Business activity and economic growth are potential drivers of this industry – if more businesses are growing or flourishing, so would their investments in computer equipment. Dell Technologies, Inc, Hewlett Packard Enterprise Co., NCR Corporation are key producers of computer processing hardware.
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DELL and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, DELL has been loosely correlated with NTAP. These tickers have moved in lockstep 60% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if DELL jumps, then NTAP could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To DELL | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DELL | 100% | +0.77% | ||
| NTAP - DELL | 60% Loosely correlated | +1.40% | ||
| SMCI - DELL | 49% Loosely correlated | -2.31% | ||
| LOGI - DELL | 46% Loosely correlated | -2.54% | ||
| P - DELL | 45% Loosely correlated | +1.76% | ||
| HPQ - DELL | 44% Loosely correlated | -0.36% | ||
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