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DINO vs PARR
Which Stock Would AI Choose? HF Sinclair Corporation (DINO) vs. Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. (PARR) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Par Pacific (PARR) has delivered stronger year-to-date returns of approximately 83% compared to HF Sinclair's (DINO) 35%, driven by robust refining margins.
- Both stocks operate in the oil refining sector, benefiting from elevated crack spreads above $40 per barrel in recent market activity.
- PARR trades at a lower trailing P/E ratio of 9 versus DINO's 20, suggesting relatively attractive valuation.
- DINO, with a larger market cap of $11B, offers greater scale and diversification into renewables and lubricants.
- Analyst consensus targets imply upside potential for both, with PARR at around $70 and DINO near $61.
- Upcoming Q1 2026 earnings for both companies could influence near-term sentiment amid favorable sector conditions.
Introduction
HF Sinclair Corporation (DINO) and Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. (PARR) are key players in the U.S. oil refining sector, processing crude into gasoline, diesel, and other fuels. This stock comparison is relevant for energy sector investors and traders seeking exposure to refining margins, which have expanded due to tight product supplies and volatile crude prices. With both companies reporting strong year-to-date gains amid favorable crack spreads (the difference between crude oil and refined product prices), traders can evaluate relative momentum, valuation, and risk profiles to inform position sizing or sector rotation strategies in the current market environment.
DINO Overview and Recent Performance
HF Sinclair Corporation (DINO) is an independent energy company operating refineries across the Midwest, Rockies, and Pacific Northwest. It produces gasoline, diesel, jet fuel, renewable diesel, and specialty lubricants, with segments in refining, renewables, marketing, and midstream. In recent market activity, DINO shares have traded around $62, reflecting year-to-date gains of about 35% and a one-year return exceeding 110%. Performance has been supported by elevated refining margins and operational efficiencies, though shares experienced volatility from earlier leadership changes and sector-wide pressures. Sentiment remains positive ahead of Q1 2026 earnings, with analysts highlighting value at a forward P/E of 7.75 and a beta of 0.69 indicating lower volatility relative to the market.
PARR Overview and Recent Performance
Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. (PARR) focuses on refining, retail, and logistics, operating facilities in Hawaii, the Pacific Northwest, and Wyoming. It converts crude into fuels and operates convenience stores under brands like Hele and 76. Recent weeks have seen PARR shares near $64, with year-to-date returns of roughly 83% and a one-year surge over 340%. Strong momentum stems from high crack spreads, logistics enhancements, and retail growth, despite temporary refinery maintenance. Trading at a trailing P/E of 9 and with a beta of 0.97, PARR reflects higher growth potential but increased sensitivity to energy price swings, bolstered by positive analyst upgrades and upcoming Q1 earnings.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Both DINO and PARR thrive on refining crack spreads but differ in scale and diversification. DINO ($11B market cap) leverages a broader footprint with renewables and lubricants exposure, yielding steadier ROE (6%) and lower debt-to-equity (36%). PARR ($3B cap) emphasizes Hawaii-centric refining and retail, driving higher ROE (27%) and ROA (8%) but with elevated debt (79%). Recent momentum favors PARR's explosive gains versus DINO's consistent climb, though DINO exhibits lower risk via beta. Sector risks like crude volatility impact both, but PARR's logistics edge provides trade-offs in growth versus DINO's stability. Market sentiment leans positive for refining peers amid supply dynamics.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI models currently lean toward PARR with higher probability due to superior recent momentum, attractive valuation (lower P/E), and stronger profitability metrics like ROE, positioning it better for continued refining tailwinds. DINO remains competitive for stability-focused strategies, but PARR's trend consistency edges it ahead in the near term.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is DINO is a Hold and PARR is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
DINO’s FA Score shows that 0 FA rating(s) are green whilePARR’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- DINO’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- PARR’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
DINO’s TA Score shows that 3 TA indicator(s) are bullish while PARR’s TA Score has 3 bullish TA indicator(s).
- DINO’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 5 bearish.
- PARR’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
DINO (@Oil Refining/Marketing) experienced а -7.73% price change this week, while PARR (@Oil Refining/Marketing) price change was -8.11% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Oil Refining/Marketing industry was -6.63%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -9.94%, and the average quarterly price growth was +17.04%.
Reported Earning Dates
DINO is expected to report earnings on Jul 30, 2026.
PARR is expected to report earnings on Aug 10, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Oil Refining/Marketing (-6.63% weekly)The Oil Refining/Marketing segment includes companies that refine crude oil into a number of petroleum products, including gasoline, jet fuel and diesel, and then sell the usable products to the end users. These companies are involved in what’s called downstream operations in the oil business. They also engage in the marketing and distribution of crude oil and natural gas products. In other words, the downstream oil and gas business is focused on post-production processes of crude oil and natural gas. When oil prices slump, downstream businesses are hurt less or in some cases even benefit, since their purchase cost of crude oil goes down. Some of the biggest U.S. oil refining/marketing companies include Phillips 66, Marathon Petroleum Corporation and Valero Energy Corp.
| DINO | PARR | DINO / PARR | |
| Capitalization | 11.6B | 2.55B | 455% |
| EBITDA | 2.69B | 792M | 340% |
| Gain YTD | 42.370 | 44.821 | 95% |
| P/E Ratio | 9.68 | 5.76 | 168% |
| Revenue | 27.6B | 7.54B | 366% |
| Total Cash | 1.15B | 172M | 667% |
| Total Debt | 3.25B | 1.35B | 240% |
DINO | PARR | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 73 | 77 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 34 Fair valued | 94 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 45 | 38 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 63 | 28 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 46 | 51 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 96 | 79 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 40 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
DINO's Valuation (34) in the null industry is somewhat better than the same rating for PARR (94) in the Oil And Gas Production industry. This means that DINO’s stock grew somewhat faster than PARR’s over the last 12 months.
PARR's Profit vs Risk Rating (38) in the Oil And Gas Production industry is in the same range as DINO (45) in the null industry. This means that PARR’s stock grew similarly to DINO’s over the last 12 months.
PARR's SMR Rating (28) in the Oil And Gas Production industry is somewhat better than the same rating for DINO (63) in the null industry. This means that PARR’s stock grew somewhat faster than DINO’s over the last 12 months.
DINO's Price Growth Rating (46) in the null industry is in the same range as PARR (51) in the Oil And Gas Production industry. This means that DINO’s stock grew similarly to PARR’s over the last 12 months.
PARR's P/E Growth Rating (79) in the Oil And Gas Production industry is in the same range as DINO (96) in the null industry. This means that PARR’s stock grew similarly to DINO’s over the last 12 months.
| DINO | PARR | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | N/A | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 74% | 2 days ago 78% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 75% | 2 days ago 74% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 63% | N/A |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 64% | 2 days ago 77% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 62% | 2 days ago 77% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 17 days ago 73% | 12 days ago 78% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 65% | 4 days ago 78% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 70% | 2 days ago 90% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 72% | 2 days ago 78% |
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DINO and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, DINO has been closely correlated with VLO. These tickers have moved in lockstep 78% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if DINO jumps, then VLO could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To DINO | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DINO | 100% | -2.14% | ||
| VLO - DINO | 78% Closely correlated | -1.45% | ||
| MPC - DINO | 78% Closely correlated | -0.69% | ||
| PSX - DINO | 75% Closely correlated | -0.62% | ||
| PBF - DINO | 73% Closely correlated | -1.27% | ||
| DK - DINO | 73% Closely correlated | -2.05% | ||
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PARR and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, PARR has been closely correlated with DK. These tickers have moved in lockstep 76% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if PARR jumps, then DK could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To PARR | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PARR | 100% | +0.08% | ||
| DK - PARR | 76% Closely correlated | -2.05% | ||
| VLO - PARR | 73% Closely correlated | -1.45% | ||
| DINO - PARR | 70% Closely correlated | -2.14% | ||
| PBF - PARR | 68% Closely correlated | -1.27% | ||
| MPC - PARR | 67% Closely correlated | -0.69% | ||
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