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EL vs IPAR
Which Stock Would AI Choose? The Estée Lauder Companies (EL) vs. Inter Parfums (IPAR) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- EL is executing a multi-year turnaround under its "Beauty Reimagined" strategy, while IPAR is navigating a more normalized, license-driven fragrance growth phase.
- Recent analyst sentiment leans more constructive on EL (consensus "Buy"), whereas IPAR carries a consensus "Hold" rating.
- IPAR offers a notably higher dividend yield and a steadier, asset-light business model, but faces margin pressure and flat recent sales.
- Tickeron AI Verdict: Based on trend consistency, catalysts, and relative positioning, Tickeron's AI would currently favor EL over IPAR.
- Explore more about each company's latest developments and daily activity by visiting EL Major News, EL Today's Price Move, IPAR Major News, and IPAR Today's Price Move.
- For a broader view of automated strategies currently favored in the market, explore Trending AI Robots.
Introduction
Both EL (The Estée Lauder Companies) and IPAR (Inter Parfums) operate in the global prestige beauty and fragrance market, yet they represent very different business profiles. Estée Lauder is a large-cap, diversified beauty conglomerate undergoing a high-profile restructuring, while Inter Parfums is a mid-cap, license-driven fragrance specialist with an asset-light model. This stock comparison is relevant for investors weighing a turnaround story against a steadier, income-oriented operator, and for traders evaluating relative performance, market positioning, and momentum across two names within the same consumer staples sector.
EL Overview and Recent Performance
EL, The Estée Lauder Companies, manufactures and markets skin care, makeup, fragrance, and hair care products under brands including La Mer, Clinique, Estée Lauder, and Tom Ford. In recent weeks, the stock has staged a notable recovery as investors have grown more constructive on CEO Stéphane de La Faverie's "Beauty Reimagined" plan, which prioritizes procurement, supply chain, a flatter organization, and a return to a solid double-digit operating margin. Recent fiscal quarterly results showed revenue growth in the mid-single digits and a sharp improvement in operating income, though the company still posted a narrowed net loss. Positive sentiment has been reinforced by a new strategic partnership with Microsoft focused on cloud, data, and artificial intelligence (AI) capabilities, as well as analyst price-target increases from several major firms. Still, a rich valuation relative to near-term earnings and ongoing softness in key regions remain considerations for shareholders.
IPAR Overview and Recent Performance
IPAR, Inter Parfums, produces and distributes prestige fragrances under license agreements with brand owners, including Coach, Montblanc, GUESS, Jimmy Choo, and Lacoste. The company operates through European and United States segments and employs a capital-light model that has historically supported strong free cash flow and an attractive dividend. In recent market activity, the company has delivered modest top-line growth, with strength in North America and Asia Pacific offsetting softness in Europe and the Middle East. However, higher royalty, logistics, and marketing costs have pressured operating margins, and recent quarterly sales were roughly flat. The company has reaffirmed its full-year guidance and continues to add licenses, including a new worldwide agreement with PUMA, while directing major product launches toward 2027. This creates a steadier, income-focused profile but with fewer near-term growth catalysts.
Trending AI Robots
Tickeron operates a marketplace of hundreds of AI Trading Bots that collectively trade thousands of different tickers, each with its own trading style, strategy, timeframe, performance record, statistics, and basket of securities. Because market conditions shift continuously, only the bots best suited to the current environment earn a place in Tickeron's curated Trending AI Robots section. This selection is designed to help traders identify automated strategies showing favorable alignment with prevailing momentum and volatility rather than relying on a one-size-fits-all approach. For investors and traders evaluating names like EL and IPAR, reviewing the Trending AI Robots page can offer a data-driven perspective on how automated systems are currently positioning across the market.
Head-to-Head Comparison
The two companies diverge most clearly in business model and risk profile. EL is a diversified, vertically integrated beauty leader with greater brand equity but also heavier exposure to a challenged travel retail and China channel that has historically driven volatility. IPAR is a focused, license-dependent fragrance operator whose asset-light model generates steadier cash flow and a higher dividend yield, but whose growth depends on renewing and expanding licenses and timing new launches. On recent momentum, EL has shown stronger relative performance, supported by an improving margin narrative and analyst upgrades, while IPAR has been more range-bound amid margin compression and flat sales. Valuation also differs: EL trades at a much higher earnings multiple as investors price in the recovery, whereas IPAR trades at a more moderate multiple but with a more cautious consensus outlook.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Weighing trend consistency, catalyst density, and relative positioning, Tickeron's AI would likely favor EL over IPAR in the current environment. The Estée Lauder Companies has demonstrated improving operational momentum, a clearer margin-recovery path, and a strengthening analyst consensus, all of which support a more consistent upward trend. Inter Parfums, by contrast, presents a steadier income profile but currently shows flatter growth, margin headwinds, and fewer immediate catalysts. This assessment reflects probabilistic, model-based observations of recent market behavior and positioning rather than a definitive prediction of future returns.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is EL is a Buy and IPAR is a Hold.
EL in upward trend: price rose above 50-day moving average on October 09, 2026
EL moved above its 50-day moving average on October 09, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend. In 26 of 33 similar past instances, the stock price increased further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 79%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on November 04, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on EL as a result. In 47 of 81 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 58%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for EL just turned positive on November 04, 2026. Looking at past instances where EL's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 31 of 48 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 65%.
The 10-day moving average for EL crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 14, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 10 of 15 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 67%.
Following a +6.94% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where EL advanced for three days, in 181 of 281 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 64%.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 139 of 214 cases where EL Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 65%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for EL moved out of overbought territory on October 16, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 28 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 24 of the 28 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 86%.
The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 41 of 56 cases where EL's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 73%.
EL broke above its upper Bollinger Band on November 04, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 12 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating outstanding price growth. EL’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 20 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 83 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 85 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 99 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (10.651) is normal, around the industry mean (21.072). EL's P/E Ratio (224.080) is considerably higher than the industry average of (16.552). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.121) is also within normal values, averaging (1.518). Dividend Yield (0.012) settles around the average of (0.033) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (2.317) is also within normal values, averaging (1.902).
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. EL’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 87, placing this stock worse than average.
IPAR in upward trend: 10-day moving average moved above 50-day moving average on October 22, 2026
The 10-day moving average for IPAR crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 22, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 12 of 15 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 80%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 29, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on IPAR as a result. In 53 of 79 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 67%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for IPAR just turned positive on October 14, 2026. Looking at past instances where IPAR's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 27 of 40 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 68%.
IPAR moved above its 50-day moving average on October 22, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
Following a +3.77% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where IPAR advanced for three days, in 235 of 334 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 70%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The RSI Oscillator demonstrated that the stock has entered the overbought zone. This may point to a price pull-back soon.
The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 41 of 61 cases where IPAR's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 67%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where IPAR declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 67%.
IPAR broke above its upper Bollinger Band on November 04, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 16 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 43 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. IPAR’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 48 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 52 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 87, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 65 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 70 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (4.546) is normal, around the industry mean (21.072). P/E Ratio (23.582) is within average values for comparable stocks, (16.552). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.220) is also within normal values, averaging (1.518). Dividend Yield (0.026) settles around the average of (0.033) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (2.406) is also within normal values, averaging (1.902).
EL | IPAR | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 38 | 37 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 99 Overvalued | 70 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 100 | 52 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 83 | 48 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 12 | 43 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 20 | 16 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 85 | 65 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
IPAR's Valuation (70) in the Household Or Personal Care industry is in the same range as EL (99). This means that IPAR’s stock grew similarly to EL’s over the last 12 months.
IPAR's Profit vs Risk Rating (52) in the Household Or Personal Care industry is somewhat better than the same rating for EL (100). This means that IPAR’s stock grew somewhat faster than EL’s over the last 12 months.
IPAR's SMR Rating (48) in the Household Or Personal Care industry is somewhat better than the same rating for EL (83). This means that IPAR’s stock grew somewhat faster than EL’s over the last 12 months.
EL's Price Growth Rating (12) in the Household Or Personal Care industry is in the same range as IPAR (43). This means that EL’s stock grew similarly to IPAR’s over the last 12 months.
IPAR's P/E Growth Rating (16) in the Household Or Personal Care industry is in the same range as EL (20). This means that IPAR’s stock grew similarly to EL’s over the last 12 months.
| EL | IPAR | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 86% | 1 day ago 57% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 73% | 1 day ago 67% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 58% | 1 day ago 67% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 65% | 1 day ago 68% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 66% | 1 day ago 71% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 66% | 1 day ago 68% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 64% | 4 days ago 70% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | N/A | 9 days ago 67% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 70% | 1 day ago 56% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 65% | N/A |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
EL’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green while IPAR’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- EL’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- IPAR’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
EL’s TA Score shows that 6 TA indicator(s) are bullish while IPAR’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- EL’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 3 bearish.
- IPAR’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
EL (@Household/Personal Care) experienced а +2.50% price change this week, while IPAR (@Household/Personal Care) price change was +8.17% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Household/Personal Care industry was +4.44%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +5.18%, and the average quarterly price growth was +13.59%.
Reported Earning Dates
EL is expected to report earnings on Feb 03, 2027.
IPAR is expected to report earnings on Mar 02, 2027.
Industries' Descriptions
@Household/Personal Care (+4.44% weekly)Household/Personal Care companies sell products for home cleaning and/or personal hygiene and grooming purposes. Products of this industry include detergents, shampoos, soaps, cosmetics, fabric conditioners and infant care fragrances. Procter & Gamble, Unilever, Estee Lauder and Colgate-Palmolive are some of the biggest names in the business. A lot of the products become a necessary part of people’s daily routine, and therefore the industry is relatively less vulnerable to macroeconomic downturns. At the same time, product quality, consumer safety, and ease of use are extremely critical factors for a company to survive competition and earn recognition in this industry.
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EL and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, EL has been loosely correlated with COTY. These tickers have moved in lockstep 48% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if EL jumps, then COTY could also see price increases.
IPAR and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, IPAR has been loosely correlated with PG. These tickers have moved in lockstep 45% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if IPAR jumps, then PG could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To IPAR | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| IPAR | 100% | +5.53% | ||
| PG - IPAR | 45% Loosely correlated | +3.25% | ||
| CLX - IPAR | 44% Loosely correlated | +5.71% | ||
| EL - IPAR | 40% Loosely correlated | +6.31% | ||
| SPB - IPAR | 39% Loosely correlated | +7.72% | ||
| HELE - IPAR | 39% Loosely correlated | +25.39% | ||
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