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F vs TM
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Ford Motor Company (F) vs. Toyota Motor Corporation (TM) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- F beat third-quarter earnings estimates and raised the low end of its full-year profit outlook, yet management guided 2027 profitability roughly flat, keeping investor sentiment measured.
- TM posted strong profit growth, raised its annual earnings forecast, and announced a substantial share buyback, supported by robust hybrid sales and a weaker yen.
- Ford offers a higher dividend yield and a deep-value valuation, while Toyota brings greater geographic diversification, stronger margins, and a more defensive balance sheet.
- Tickeron AI Verdict: Toyota Motor Corporation (TM) is the favored ticker, based on trend consistency, profitability, and relative stability.
- Explore deeper market context on these dedicated pages: F Major News, F Today's Price Move, TM Major News, and TM Today's Price Move.
- For AI-driven trading signals across thousands of tickers, explore Trending AI Robots.
Introduction
Ford Motor Company (F) and Toyota Motor Corporation (TM) are two of the world's largest and most recognizable automakers, yet they embody contrasting business models, market exposures, and investment profiles. This stock comparison is relevant for investors and traders evaluating relative performance within the automotive sector, as both companies navigate the transition toward electrification, shifting consumer demand, and evolving trade policy. Whether the focus is on dividend income, value positioning, or momentum, comparing these two tickers helps clarify how different strategic paths are translating into market behavior and sentiment in the current environment.
F Overview and Recent Performance
Ford Motor Company, headquartered in Dearborn, Michigan, operates through its Ford Blue (internal combustion and hybrid), Ford Model e (electric vehicles), Ford Pro (commercial and fleet), and Ford Credit segments. In recent weeks, the stock has traded near the lower end of its 52-week range, reflecting persistent cost pressures and lingering caution around its electric-vehicle strategy.
Ford's most recent quarterly report showed adjusted earnings per share (EPS) ahead of consensus, while revenue came in slightly below expectations. Management raised the low end of its full-year adjusted operating-profit guidance and reported strong adjusted free cash flow, supported by improving operations and cost discipline. However, the company also signaled that 2027 profitability is expected to be roughly in line with the current year, citing commodity, memory, and logistics costs. The Model e unit continues to post losses, and several analysts trimmed price targets following the report. Sentiment has been further shaped by CEO Jim Farley's target of selling five million vehicles annually by 2032 and Ford's push into battery storage through Ford Energy.
TM Overview and Recent Performance
Toyota Motor Corporation, based in Toyota City, Japan, is one of the world's largest automakers by volume, with a diversified global footprint spanning automotive, financial services, and other businesses. In recent market activity, Toyota shares have pulled back from their 52-week high, weighed down by a stronger yen at times, vehicle recalls, and competitive pressures, particularly from Chinese electric-vehicle makers.
Fundamentally, Toyota has delivered comparatively resilient results. Its latest quarterly earnings showed a sharp year-over-year increase in net profit and EPS, even as revenue and operating income declined. The company raised its annual earnings outlook, citing robust hybrid sales and currency effects, and announced a significant share buyback. Toyota's multi-pathway strategy, which emphasizes hybrids alongside battery-electric and other technologies, has supported profitability and consumer demand. Recent developments include an expanded autonomous-driving partnership with Waymo and continued investment in electrification and software platforms.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
The clearest contrast between these two automakers lies in their strategic focus and geographic exposure. Ford is heavily concentrated in the North American market, where its F-Series trucks and commercial Ford Pro business generate the bulk of profitability. This concentration makes Ford sensitive to U.S. interest rates, vehicle affordability, and commodity costs. Toyota, by contrast, operates across North America, Asia, Europe, and emerging markets, providing diversification that can buffer regional downturns.
On growth drivers, Ford is investing heavily in software, fleet services, and battery storage while still absorbing losses in its electric-vehicle division. Toyota's growth has been anchored by hybrid demand, which remains a strong and profitable segment, alongside gradual electrification. From a risk perspective, Ford carries a higher beta (a measure of volatility relative to the broader market) and faces ongoing EV margin pressure, while Toyota contends with currency fluctuations, recalls, and intensifying competition in China. Market sentiment has rewarded Toyota's profitability and balance-sheet strength, whereas Ford trades at a notably cheaper valuation with a higher dividend yield.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as trend consistency, profitability, catalysts, and relative positioning, Tickeron's AI would currently favor Toyota Motor Corporation (TM) over Ford Motor Company (F). Toyota's combination of expanding net income, raised forward guidance, an active share buyback, and a more diversified revenue base points to steadier underlying momentum. While Ford offers a higher dividend yield, deep-value valuation, and improving free cash flow, its flat near-term profit outlook and ongoing electric-vehicle losses introduce greater uncertainty. This assessment is probabilistic rather than definitive, reflecting the balance of current evidence between the two names.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is F is a Buy and TM is a Buy.
F in upward trend: price expected to rise as it breaks its lower Bollinger Band on October 23, 2026
F may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options. In 33 of 40 cases where F's price broke its lower Bollinger Band, its price rose further in the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 82%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where F's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, 23 of 28 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 82%.
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on November 02, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on F as a result. In 63 of 83 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 76%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for F just turned positive on October 27, 2026. Looking at past instances where F's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 31 of 47 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 66%.
Following a +5.55% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where F advanced for three days, in 224 of 324 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 69%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 41 of 61 cases where F's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 67%.
The 50-day moving average for F moved below the 200-day moving average on October 19, 2026. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where F declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 68%.
The Aroon Indicator for F entered a downward trend on October 30, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 58 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. F’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 93 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. F’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 92, placing this stock worse than average.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 94 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.389) is normal, around the industry mean (1.980). P/E Ratio (-6.688) is within average values for comparable stocks, (13.300). F's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (8.543) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (2.450). Dividend Yield (0.048) settles around the average of (0.149) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.284) is also within normal values, averaging (2.648).
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 95 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 98 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
TM in upward trend: 10-day moving average crossed above 50-day moving average on October 22, 2026
The 10-day moving average for TM crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 22, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 11 of 16 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 69%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on November 04, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on TM as a result. In 55 of 90 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 61%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for TM just turned positive on October 13, 2026. Looking at past instances where TM's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 27 of 46 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 59%.
TM moved above its 50-day moving average on October 15, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
Following a +13.01% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where TM advanced for three days, in 165 of 308 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 54%.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 89 of 194 cases where TM Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 46%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator demonstrates that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 3 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
The Stochastic Oscillator has been in the overbought zone for 2 days. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where TM declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 52%.
TM broke above its upper Bollinger Band on November 04, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 40 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. TM’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 58 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 66 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 92, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 77 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.007) is normal, around the industry mean (1.980). P/E Ratio (0.062) is within average values for comparable stocks, (13.300). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.556) is also within normal values, averaging (2.450). Dividend Yield (0.037) settles around the average of (0.149) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.733) is also within normal values, averaging (2.648).
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 97 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
F | TM | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 21 | 32 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 94 Overvalued | 77 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 93 | 66 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 95 | 58 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 58 | 40 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 98 | 97 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | n/a | n/a |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
TM's Valuation (77) in the Motor Vehicles industry is in the same range as F (94). This means that TM’s stock grew similarly to F’s over the last 12 months.
TM's Profit vs Risk Rating (66) in the Motor Vehicles industry is in the same range as F (93). This means that TM’s stock grew similarly to F’s over the last 12 months.
TM's SMR Rating (58) in the Motor Vehicles industry is somewhat better than the same rating for F (95). This means that TM’s stock grew somewhat faster than F’s over the last 12 months.
TM's Price Growth Rating (40) in the Motor Vehicles industry is in the same range as F (58). This means that TM’s stock grew similarly to F’s over the last 12 months.
TM's P/E Growth Rating (97) in the Motor Vehicles industry is in the same range as F (98). This means that TM’s stock grew similarly to F’s over the last 12 months.
| F | TM | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 82% | 2 days ago 61% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 67% | 2 days ago 51% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 76% | 2 days ago 61% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 66% | 2 days ago 59% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 69% | 2 days ago 56% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 65% | 2 days ago 55% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 14 days ago 69% | 7 days ago 54% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 6 days ago 68% | 15 days ago 52% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 82% | 2 days ago 53% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 59% | 2 days ago 46% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
F’s FA Score shows that 0 FA rating(s) are green while TM’s FA Score has 0 green FA rating(s).
- F’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- TM’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
F’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while TM’s TA Score has 6 bullish TA indicator(s).
- F’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
- TM’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
F (@Motor Vehicles) experienced а +0.97% price change this week, while TM (@Motor Vehicles) price change was +11.28% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Motor Vehicles industry was -4.69%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -11.89%, and the average quarterly price growth was -31.48%.
Reported Earning Dates
F is expected to report earnings on Feb 04, 2027.
TM is expected to report earnings on Feb 10, 2027.
Industries' Descriptions
@Motor Vehicles (-4.69% weekly)Automobiles continue to be arguably the most popular form of passenger travel in the U.S., and major automobile makers have revenues and market capitalizations running into multi-billions. In recent years, the industry has been experiencing some path-breaking innovations like electric vehicles and self-driving technology. While there are long-standing companies like General Motors, Ford, and Toyota Motors operating in this space, there are also emerging/rapidly growing players like Tesla – which has had a major role in the growing popularity of the electric vehicle market. With technological advancements taking steam in the auto space, we’ve also witnessed collaborations (or talks of potential partnerships) of carmakers with tech behemoths like Google’s subsidiary, Waymo.
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F and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, F has been loosely correlated with GM. These tickers have moved in lockstep 59% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if F jumps, then GM could also see price increases.
TM and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, TM has been closely correlated with HMC. These tickers have moved in lockstep 74% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if TM jumps, then HMC could also see price increases.