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F vs TM
F vs TM Stock Comparison: Hybrids vs EVs in a Shifting Auto Landscape
Key Takeaways
- Ford Motor Company (F) trades around $14 with a market cap of $56B, showing YTD gains of about 8% amid earnings challenges and EV strategy resets.
- Toyota Motor Corporation (TM) commands $248 per share and a $324B market cap, with stronger YTD performance near 16% driven by hybrid strength and global sales.
- F reported Q4 2025 earnings miss but guides improved 2026 EBIT of $8-10B, pressured by tariffs, EV costs, and supply issues.
- TM benefits from electrified vehicle sales up 17.6% in U.S., maintaining profitability with positive EPS amid tariff headwinds.
- TM's lower beta (0.18) signals stability versus F's volatility (beta 1.67), with superior scale in revenue ($322B vs. F's $187B).
- Both face EV transition risks, but TM's hybrid focus contrasts F's pickup and Blue segment reliance.
Introduction
Ford Motor Company (F) and Toyota Motor Corporation (TM) represent contrasting approaches in the competitive automotive sector, with Ford emphasizing U.S. trucks and an evolving EV push, while Toyota leverages global scale and hybrid dominance. This F vs TM stock comparison examines their relative performance, business models, and market positioning amid tariff pressures, supply chain disruptions, and shifting consumer demand for electrified vehicles. Traders seeking volatility and value plays may eye F, while long-term investors favoring stability and growth could assess TM's broader portfolio. Understanding these dynamics aids decisions in the current auto market environment.
F Overview and Recent Performance
Ford Motor Company (NYSE: F), a Detroit-based icon, focuses on trucks, SUVs, and commercial vehicles through segments like Ford Blue (gas/hybrids), Model e (EVs), and Ford Pro. With 68% of revenue from the U.S., Ford holds about 13% domestic market share. Recent market activity saw shares rise to around $14, up 8% YTD and 52% over the past year, rebounding from a 52-week low of $8.44.
In recent weeks, Q4 2025 results showed revenue of $45.9B but the worst earnings miss in four years at $0.13 EPS, hit by EV investments, tariffs adding $900M costs, and supplier fires. Ford guides $8-10B adjusted EBIT for 2026 via cost cuts and product mix, boosting bonuses on quality gains. Sentiment reflects optimism on pickups like Maverick and regulatory EV tailwinds, tempered by writedowns exceeding $50B industry-wide and China partnerships for cost control.
TM Overview and Recent Performance
Toyota Motor Corporation (NYSE: TM), the world's top automaker by volume, sells over 11 million vehicles annually, with brands including Toyota, Lexus, and stakes in Subaru and Mazda. Excelling in hybrids, Toyota reported U.S. sales of 2.52M vehicles in 2025, up 8%, with electrified models surging 17.6%.
Shares trade near $248, up 16% YTD and 35% yearly, from a 52-week low of $155. Recent weeks featured leadership shifts, with CEO Koji Sato moving to Chief Industry Officer amid U.S. EV expansions like the 2027 Highlander BEV. Profitability faced tariff and currency pressures, yet TM sustains positive EPS and global dominance. Key influences include robotaxi pilots with Pony AI, Prius PHEV praise, and resilience in inflationary costs, underscoring hybrid strength over pure EV bets.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
F and TM diverge sharply in scale and stability: TM's $324B market cap dwarfs F's $56B, with revenue ~$322B versus $187B and positive net income against F's losses. TM's trailing P/E of 13x edges F's 16x (forward 10x), reflecting profitability (7% margin vs. -4%). Growth drivers contrast—F leans on U.S. pickups and EV resets amid $50B+ writedowns, while TM's hybrids fuel sales gains and global reach buffers tariffs.
Risk profiles differ: F's beta 1.67 signals volatility from domestic exposure and debt (460% debt/equity), versus TM's 0.18 beta and balanced leverage. Sector exposure favors TM's diversification beyond autos via finance and parts; market sentiment tilts to TM's consistency amid EV slowdowns, though F offers value at 0.3x sales multiple.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI models currently favor TM for its trend consistency, superior stability, and relative positioning in hybrids amid EV market hesitancy. Observable catalysts like electrified sales growth and lower volatility suggest higher probability of outperformance versus F's earnings volatility and restructuring risks, though F's valuation and 2026 guidance present opportunistic upside in a recovery scenario.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is F is a Hold and TM is a StrongBuy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
F’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green whileTM’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- F’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- TM’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
F’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while TM’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- F’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
- TM’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
F (@Motor Vehicles) experienced а -2.85% price change this week, while TM (@Motor Vehicles) price change was -6.15% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Motor Vehicles industry was -4.45%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -10.55%, and the average quarterly price growth was -19.62%.
Reported Earning Dates
F is expected to report earnings on Jul 29, 2026.
TM is expected to report earnings on Jul 30, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Motor Vehicles (-4.45% weekly)Automobiles continue to be arguably the most popular form of passenger travel in the U.S., and major automobile makers have revenues and market capitalizations running into multi-billions. In recent years, the industry has been experiencing some path-breaking innovations like electric vehicles and self-driving technology. While there are long-standing companies like General Motors, Ford, and Toyota Motors operating in this space, there are also emerging/rapidly growing players like Tesla – which has had a major role in the growing popularity of the electric vehicle market. With technological advancements taking steam in the auto space, we’ve also witnessed collaborations (or talks of potential partnerships) of carmakers with tech behemoths like Google’s subsidiary, Waymo.
| F | TM | F / TM | |
| Capitalization | 55.8B | 198B | 28% |
| EBITDA | 6.02B | 7.63T | 0% |
| Gain YTD | 9.223 | -21.877 | -42% |
| P/E Ratio | 11.84 | 9.27 | 128% |
| Revenue | 190B | 50.69T | 0% |
| Total Cash | 30.5B | 16.64T | 0% |
| Total Debt | 160B | 43.21T | 0% |
F | TM | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 89 | 5 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 75 Overvalued | 10 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 73 | 86 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 95 | 64 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 20 | 73 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 11 | 27 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 37 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
TM's Valuation (10) in the Motor Vehicles industry is somewhat better than the same rating for F (75). This means that TM’s stock grew somewhat faster than F’s over the last 12 months.
F's Profit vs Risk Rating (73) in the Motor Vehicles industry is in the same range as TM (86). This means that F’s stock grew similarly to TM’s over the last 12 months.
TM's SMR Rating (64) in the Motor Vehicles industry is in the same range as F (95). This means that TM’s stock grew similarly to F’s over the last 12 months.
F's Price Growth Rating (20) in the Motor Vehicles industry is somewhat better than the same rating for TM (73). This means that F’s stock grew somewhat faster than TM’s over the last 12 months.
F's P/E Growth Rating (11) in the Motor Vehicles industry is in the same range as TM (27). This means that F’s stock grew similarly to TM’s over the last 12 months.
| F | TM | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 68% | 2 days ago 67% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 74% | 2 days ago 61% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 68% | 2 days ago 54% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 60% | 2 days ago 55% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 61% | 2 days ago 51% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 68% | 2 days ago 50% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 69% | 27 days ago 55% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 8 days ago 65% | 7 days ago 52% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 65% | 2 days ago 66% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 57% | 2 days ago 49% |
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