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HD vs XLY
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is HD is a StrongBuy and XLY is a Hold.
HD in upward trend: 10-day moving average broke above 50-day moving average on October 26, 2026
The 10-day moving average for HD crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 26, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 12 of 15 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 80%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 12, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on HD as a result. In 41 of 71 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 58%.
HD moved above its 50-day moving average on October 20, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
Following a +3.70% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where HD advanced for three days, in 192 of 307 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 63%.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 135 of 245 cases where HD Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 55%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for HD moved out of overbought territory on November 06, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 36 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 21 of the 36 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 58%.
The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 34 of 61 cases where HD's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 56%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where HD declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 59%.
HD broke above its upper Bollinger Band on November 04, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 14 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 42 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. HD’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 50 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 79 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. HD’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 90, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 85 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 91 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: HD's P/B Ratio (20.622) is slightly higher than the industry average of (1.488). P/E Ratio (24.002) is within average values for comparable stocks, (15.136). HD's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.446) is slightly higher than the industry average of (1.177). Dividend Yield (0.027) settles around the average of (0.233) among similar stocks. HD's P/S Ratio (1.781) is slightly higher than the industry average of (0.937).
XLY in downward trend: price expected to drop as it breaks its higher Bollinger Band on November 04, 2026
XLY broke above its upper Bollinger Band on November 04, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 31 similar instances where the stock broke above the upper band. In 26 of the 31 cases the stock fell afterwards. This puts the odds of success at 84%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for XLY moved out of overbought territory on November 05, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 29 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 24 of the 29 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 83%.
The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 51 of 62 cases where XLY's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 82%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where XLY declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 83%.
Bullish Trend Analysis
XLY moved above its 50-day moving average on October 26, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
The 10-day moving average for XLY crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 22, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 16 of 16 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.
Following a +2.95% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where XLY advanced for three days, in 275 of 331 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 83%.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 228 of 272 cases where XLY Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 84%.
HD | ||
|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 33 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 91 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 79 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 14 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 42 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 50 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 85 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
| HD | XLY | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 58% | 1 day ago 83% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 56% | 1 day ago 82% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 58% | N/A |
| MACD ODDS (%) | N/A | N/A |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 59% | 1 day ago 84% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 59% | 1 day ago 83% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 13 days ago 63% | 5 days ago 83% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 9 days ago 59% | 1 day ago 83% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 55% | 1 day ago 84% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 55% | 1 day ago 84% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
HD’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green while .
- HD’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
HD’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish.
- HD’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
HD (@Home Improvement Chains) experienced а +1.52% price change this weekfor the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Home Improvement Chains industry was +0.30%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +7.16%, and the average quarterly price growth was +6.81%.
Reported Earning Dates
HD is expected to report earnings on Nov 17, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Home Improvement Chains (+0.30% weekly)The home improvement chains industry sells home improvement merchandise and do-it-yourself repair and building goods. Customers include individual contractors or construction managers on one hand; on the other hand, there are retail consumers who’d either buy raw materials/items from the store to do a project on their own, or pay extra for installation services. Products sold include fencing supplies, lumber materials, hardware, lighting fixtures, plumbing supplies, home decor items, bathroom remodel items, roofing materials, tools and wallboard to name a few. The Home Depot Inc., Lowe’s Companies, Inc. and Floor & Decor Holdings, Inc. are some of the biggest home improvement retailing companies in the U.S. Allowing all types of customers the flexibility to choose or buy products both offline and online and then having the products shipped to the respective sites/homes are some of the potential drivers of a home improvement chain’s popularity. Many big-box home improvement chains are looking to expand their overseas presence. Supply-chain efficiency and distribution management are some of the key ingredients to grow/make profit in this industry.
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HD and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, HD has been closely correlated with LOW. These tickers have moved in lockstep 88% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if HD jumps, then LOW could also see price increases.
XLY and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, XLY has been loosely correlated with CCL. These tickers have moved in lockstep 63% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if XLY jumps, then CCL could also see price increases.
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