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XLY
ETF ticker: NYSE ARCA
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XLY stock forecast, quote, news & analysis

The investment seeks investment results that, before expenses, correspond to the price and yield performance of publicly traded equity securities of companies in the Consumer Discretionary Select Sector Index... Show more

XLY
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a Summary for XLY with price predictions
Sep 22, 2026

XLY in downward trend: 10-day moving average crossed below 50-day moving average on September 08, 2026

The 10-day moving average for XLY crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on September 08, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 14 of 17 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 82%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on August 17, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on XLY as a result. In 61 of 79 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 77%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for XLY turned negative on August 20, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 44 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 34 of the 44 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 77%.

XLY moved below its 50-day moving average on September 04, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where XLY declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 82%.

The Aroon Indicator for XLY entered a downward trend on September 22, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where XLY's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, 35 of 36 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.

The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 47 of 54 cases where XLY's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 87%.

Following a +1.17% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where XLY advanced for three days, in 286 of 340 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 84%.

XLY may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

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published Highlights

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Amazon.com (NASDAQ:AMZN), Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA), Home Depot (NYSE:HD), McDonald's Corp (NYSE:MCD), TJX Companies (NYSE:TJX), Booking Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ:BKNG), Lowe's Companies (NYSE:LOW), Starbucks Corp (NASDAQ:SBUX), Marriott International (NASDAQ:MAR), General Motors Company (NYSE:GM).

Industry description

The investment seeks investment results that, before expenses, correspond to the price and yield performance of publicly traded equity securities of companies in the Consumer Discretionary Select Sector Index. The Advisor employs a replication strategy. The fund generally invests substantially all, but at least 95%, of its total assets in the securities comprising the index. The index includes companies that have been identified as Consumer Discretionary companies by the Global Industry Classification Standard (GICS®). It is non-diversified.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the State Street Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLY) ETF is 166.64B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 6.53B to 2.79T. AMZN holds the highest valuation in this group at 2.79T. The lowest valued company is NCLH at 6.53B.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the State Street Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLY) ETF was 7%. For the same ETF, the average monthly price growth was 9%, and the average quarterly price growth was 48%. TSLA experienced the highest price growth at 6%, while CMG experienced the biggest fall at -6%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the State Street Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLY) ETF was 16%. For the same stocks of the ETF, the average monthly volume growth was 26% and the average quarterly volume growth was 4%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 62
P/E Growth Rating: 57
Price Growth Rating: 57
SMR Rating: 38
Profit Risk Rating: 70
Seasonality Score: -35 (-100 ... +100)
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published General Information

General Information

Category ConsumerDiscretionary

Category
Consumer Cyclical
Address
One Lincoln Street Cph0326Boston
Phone
N/A
Web
www.spdrs.com