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LRCX vs NVDA
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Lam Research (LRCX) vs. NVIDIA (NVDA) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- LRCX (Lam Research) is a leading supplier of semiconductor wafer-fabrication equipment, dominant in etch and deposition, with strong recent ties to AI-driven memory demand.
- NVDA (NVIDIA) is the world's preeminent AI-accelerator and data-center infrastructure company, posting triple-digit revenue growth in recent quarters.
- Both stocks sold off sharply during a recent semiconductor rout tied to post-midterm policy uncertainty, but each retains strong underlying fundamentals and analyst support.
- NVIDIA trades at a notably lower forward earnings multiple than Lam Research, reflecting a more pronounced market repricing of near-term risk.
- Tickeron AI Verdict: NVDA — based on relative trend consistency, dominant market positioning, and more favorable valuation, Tickeron's AI would currently favor NVIDIA.
- For deeper context, explore LRCX Major News, LRCX Today's Price Move, NVDA Major News, and NVDA Today's Price Move.
- To see how automated systems are positioning across the market, explore the Trending AI Robots.
Introduction
Lam Research and NVIDIA sit at different layers of the semiconductor value chain, yet both are deeply exposed to the same powerful theme: the rapid build-out of artificial-intelligence infrastructure. LRCX supplies the machines that fabricate advanced chips, while NVDA designs the accelerators those chips power. Comparing them offers a useful lens on the AI trade for investors weighing equipment suppliers against the chipmakers themselves. This stock comparison examines business models, recent relative performance, growth drivers, and risk profiles, providing a factual framework for traders and long-term investors evaluating market positioning across the AI ecosystem.
LRCX Overview and Recent Performance
Lam Research is one of the world's largest makers of semiconductor wafer-fabrication equipment, holding the top market share in etch and a clear second position in deposition. Its tools are embedded across advanced logic and memory production, with particular exposure to memory chipmakers producing DRAM (dynamic random-access memory) and NAND flash.
In recent weeks, LRCX has combined strong operating results with heightened volatility. The company reported record revenue around $8.2 billion, up more than 50% year over year, alongside record profitability. Management also guided for continued growth and outlined an initial forecast of more than $200 billion in industry wafer-fabrication equipment spending in the next calendar year. Sentiment received an additional lift when the board authorized a $25 billion share-repurchase program, a sizable vote of confidence. At the same time, shares pulled back sharply during a broad semiconductor selloff, as investors reassessed the durability of AI-driven equipment spending and weighed supply-chain constraints and China-related exposure.
NVDA Overview and Recent Performance
NVIDIA is the dominant provider of AI accelerators (graphics processing units, or GPUs, optimized for AI workloads) and related data-center infrastructure. Its data-center segment now accounts for the overwhelming majority of revenue, driven by demand from cloud providers, enterprises, and emerging "neocloud" customers building AI capacity.
Recent market activity for NVDA has been defined by exceptional growth alongside a sharp repricing of near-term risk. The company reported quarterly revenue of roughly $96 billion, more than double the prior-year period, and guided toward approximately $108 billion for the following quarter. Demand remains supply-constrained, and the company has begun ramping its Vera Rubin platform, the successor to its Blackwell architecture. Nevertheless, shares fell markedly in recent weeks — breaking below a key long-term moving average — after post-midterm policy concerns raised questions about the pace of data-center construction and future hyperscaler spending. This left NVIDIA trading at a much lower forward earnings multiple despite largely intact fundamentals.
Trending AI Robots
Tickeron maintains a large library of AI-powered trading bots covering thousands of individual tickers, each built around distinct strategies, timeframes, trading styles, and risk profiles. Because market conditions shift continuously, only a curated subset earns a place on the Trending AI Robots page. This section highlights the bots whose recent performance and statistical characteristics align best with the current environment, helping users screen through hundreds of options rather than sifting through the full catalog manually. Traders and investors interested in how automation approaches names like LRCX and NVDA can review the available performance data and select bots that match their own objectives.
Head-to-Head Comparison
The clearest contrast between these companies is their position in the value chain. LRCX is an equipment supplier whose revenue depends on chipmakers' capital-spending decisions, making it more cyclical and sensitive to the timing of fab buildouts. NVDA sells the accelerators themselves and benefits more directly from sustained AI compute demand, though it too depends on customers' data-center budgets.
Growth profiles differ in scale. NVIDIA's revenue base is far larger and growing faster, while Lam Research's growth is strong but more tied to equipment cycles. Valuation has diverged as well: NVDA trades near a much lower forward earnings multiple, reflecting a sharper recent de-rating, whereas LRCX's multiple sits closer to historical norms. Risk factors also differ — LRCX faces memory-spending cyclicality and China demand uncertainty, while NVDA confronts margin compression from rising memory costs, regulatory scrutiny, and potential delays in data-center construction. On sentiment, both names saw analyst price targets remain well above market prices, though near-term momentum turned negative for the broader semiconductor complex.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors, Tickeron's AI would likely favor NVDA at present. The case rests on NVIDIA's dominant and defensible market position, stronger and more consistent underlying revenue growth, and a valuation that has reset to a comparatively attractive forward multiple. While both stocks face near-term volatility, NVIDIA's trend consistency and structural role in the AI buildout appear comparatively more resilient than Lam Research's more cyclical, equipment-spending-driven profile. This assessment is probabilistic rather than definitive, and relative positioning could shift as new catalysts — including upcoming earnings and policy developments — unfold.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is LRCX is a StrongBuy and NVDA is a Buy.
LRCX in upward trend: price expected to rise as it breaks its lower Bollinger Band on November 05, 2026
LRCX may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options. In 31 of 34 cases where LRCX's price broke its lower Bollinger Band, its price rose further in the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where LRCX's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, 17 of 19 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 89%.
The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 41 of 48 cases where LRCX's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 85%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for LRCX just turned positive on November 11, 2026. Looking at past instances where LRCX's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 46 of 58 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 79%.
Following a +6.58% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where LRCX advanced for three days, in 268 of 322 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 83%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 12, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on LRCX as a result. In 59 of 82 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 72%.
LRCX moved below its 50-day moving average on October 12, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for LRCX crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 16, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 8 of 12 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 67%.
The 50-day moving average for LRCX moved below the 200-day moving average on November 09, 2026. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where LRCX declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 65%.
The Aroon Indicator for LRCX entered a downward trend on November 11, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 18 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 47 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 53 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 75, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 64 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. LRCX’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 84 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: LRCX's P/B Ratio (20.114) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (5.670). P/E Ratio (34.618) is within average values for comparable stocks, (68.795). LRCX's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.463) is slightly higher than the industry average of (0.801). Dividend Yield (0.007) settles around the average of (0.009) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (14.620) is also within normal values, averaging (27.897).
NVDA's RSI Oscillator is sitting in oversold zone for 4 days
The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an uptrend is expected.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 8 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
Following a +3.31% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where NVDA advanced for three days, in 295 of 355 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 83%.
NVDA may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 14, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on NVDA as a result. In 56 of 82 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 68%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for NVDA turned negative on October 12, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 48 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 32 of the 48 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 67%.
NVDA moved below its 50-day moving average on October 14, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for NVDA crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 21, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 15 of 17 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 88%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where NVDA declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 69%.
The Aroon Indicator for NVDA entered a downward trend on November 11, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 13 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 16 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 78, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 65 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. NVDA’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 79 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: NVDA's P/B Ratio (19.682) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (5.443). P/E Ratio (23.477) is within average values for comparable stocks, (15.640). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.478) is also within normal values, averaging (3.803). Dividend Yield (0.005) settles around the average of (0.014) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (17.212) is also within normal values, averaging (46.468).
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 92 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
LRCX | NVDA | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 11 | 53 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 84 Overvalued | 79 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 53 | 16 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 18 | 13 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 64 | 65 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 47 | 92 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
NVDA's Valuation (79) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as LRCX (84) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry. This means that NVDA’s stock grew similarly to LRCX’s over the last 12 months.
NVDA's Profit vs Risk Rating (16) in the Semiconductors industry is somewhat better than the same rating for LRCX (53) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry. This means that NVDA’s stock grew somewhat faster than LRCX’s over the last 12 months.
NVDA's SMR Rating (13) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as LRCX (18) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry. This means that NVDA’s stock grew similarly to LRCX’s over the last 12 months.
LRCX's Price Growth Rating (64) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry is in the same range as NVDA (65) in the Semiconductors industry. This means that LRCX’s stock grew similarly to NVDA’s over the last 12 months.
LRCX's P/E Growth Rating (47) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry is somewhat better than the same rating for NVDA (92) in the Semiconductors industry. This means that LRCX’s stock grew somewhat faster than NVDA’s over the last 12 months.
| LRCX | NVDA | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 89% | 1 day ago 90% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 85% | 1 day ago 90% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 72% | 1 day ago 68% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 79% | 1 day ago 67% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 81% | 1 day ago 71% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 71% | 1 day ago 74% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 83% | 16 days ago 83% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 7 days ago 65% | 2 days ago 69% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 90% | 1 day ago 84% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 70% | 1 day ago 81% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
LRCX’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green while NVDA’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- LRCX’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- NVDA’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
LRCX’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while NVDA’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- LRCX’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 6 bearish.
- NVDA’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 6 bearish.
Price Growth
LRCX (@Electronic Production Equipment) experienced а +6.53% price change this week, while NVDA (@Semiconductors) price change was -18.33% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Electronic Production Equipment industry was +6.88%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -17.35%, and the average quarterly price growth was -31.42%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Semiconductors industry was +6.13%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -11.41%, and the average quarterly price growth was -25.58%.
Reported Earning Dates
LRCX is expected to report earnings on Jan 27, 2027.
NVDA is expected to report earnings on Nov 17, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Electronic Production Equipment (+6.88% weekly)The electronic production equipment industry makes equipment used to produce semiconductors. Such equipment includes wafer fabrication, plasma etching and photo-resist processing equipment. The industry also makes chemical vapor deposition processing systems and photomasks, which are high-purity quartz plates that contain patterns to define integrated circuits layouts. Applied Materials, Inc., Lam Research Corporation, and KLA-Tencor Corporation are examples of electronic production equipment manufacturing companies.
@Semiconductors (+6.13% weekly)The semiconductor industry manufacturers all chip-related products, including research and development. These chips are used in innumerable electronic devices, including computers, cell phones, smartphones, and GPSs. Intel Corporation, NVIDIA Corp., and Broadcomm are some of the prominent players in this industry. Semiconductor companies usually tend to do well during periods of healthy economic growth, thereby inducing further research and development in the industry – which in turn augurs well for productivity and growth in the economy. In the near future, demand for semiconductor products (and possibly innovation within the segment) should only expand further, with the proliferation of 5G, autonomous vehicles, IoT, and various AI-driven electronics set to herald a new, advanced chapter in the technology-driven world as we know it. With burgeoning prospects comes great competition. In 2015, SIA estimated that U.S. semiconductor industry ranks as the second most competitive U.S. industry out of 2882 U.S. industries designated manufacturers by the U.S. Census Bureau.
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LRCX and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, LRCX has been closely correlated with AMAT. These tickers have moved in lockstep 92% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if LRCX jumps, then AMAT could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To LRCX | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LRCX | 100% | +6.07% | ||
| AMAT - LRCX | 92% Closely correlated | +6.05% | ||
| KLAC - LRCX | 88% Closely correlated | +5.24% | ||
| ASML - LRCX | 85% Closely correlated | +1.76% | ||
| NVMI - LRCX | 84% Closely correlated | +4.58% | ||
| TER - LRCX | 81% Closely correlated | +8.30% | ||
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NVDA and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, NVDA has been closely correlated with LRCX. These tickers have moved in lockstep 70% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if NVDA jumps, then LRCX could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To NVDA | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NVDA | 100% | +2.92% | ||
| LRCX - NVDA | 70% Closely correlated | +6.07% | ||
| KLAC - NVDA | 69% Closely correlated | +5.24% | ||
| AMAT - NVDA | 66% Closely correlated | +6.05% | ||
| AMKR - NVDA | 63% Loosely correlated | +10.53% | ||
| CAMT - NVDA | 63% Loosely correlated | +4.76% | ||
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