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LRCX vs NVDA
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Lam Research (LRCX) vs. NVIDIA (NVDA) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- LRCX has surged over 50% year-to-date (YTD), dramatically outpacing NVDA's modest 1% YTD gain amid strong AI chip equipment demand.
- Recent weeks show LRCX up around 25% monthly, fueled by etch and deposition tools for advanced AI semiconductors, while NVDA trades flat amid post-earnings volatility.
- Both stocks benefit from AI growth, but LRCX exhibits stronger short-term momentum and relative outperformance versus the S&P 500.
- Tickeron's AI tools rate LRCX a Strong Buy over NVDA's Buy in comparative analysis, citing superior recent trend strength.
- NVDA maintains unmatched long-term dominance with 1,100% five-year returns, driven by data center AI leadership.
- Semiconductor sector risks like geopolitical tensions and supply chain issues impact both, but LRCX's equipment focus offers diversification from direct chip competition.
Introduction
Lam Research (LRCX) and NVIDIA (NVDA) represent pivotal players in the semiconductor ecosystem fueling the AI revolution. LRCX, a leader in wafer fabrication equipment like etch and deposition tools, supports chip production for advanced nodes essential to AI accelerators. NVDA dominates with GPUs powering data centers, gaming, and autonomous systems. This stock comparison analyzes their recent market positioning, relative performance, and growth drivers in the current environment of surging AI infrastructure demand. Traders seeking momentum plays and investors eyeing long-term AI exposure will find insights into contrasts in volatility, catalysts, and sector dynamics.
LRCX Overview and Recent Performance
Lam Research Corporation (LRCX) is a global leader in semiconductor wafer fabrication equipment, specializing in deposition, etch, and clean processes critical for producing advanced integrated circuits (ICs). Its tools enable the creation of smaller, more efficient chips used in AI, memory, and logic applications by major foundries like TSMC and Samsung. In recent market activity, LRCX shares have rallied sharply, gaining over 50% YTD and approximately 25% in the past month, outpacing the broader semiconductor sector. This momentum stems from robust demand for AI-related chip production equipment, strong fiscal Q2 results with 22% revenue growth, and analyst upgrades citing unprecedented wafer fabrication equipment (WFE) spending projected at $135 billion for FY26. Sentiment has shifted positively on diversification away from China amid U.S. export controls, bolstering stability.
NVDA Overview and Recent Performance
NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) operates as a data center-scale AI infrastructure provider, excelling in accelerated computing via GPUs for AI training, inference, gaming, and automotive applications. Its Compute & Networking and Graphics segments drive dominance in data center platforms, with products like Blackwell chips addressing hyperscaler needs. Recent performance shows stability rather than surges, with shares up about 70% over the past year but flat YTD at around 1% gain and minimal monthly movement. Influences include post-earnings resilience with 73% revenue growth in recent quarters, yet tempered by AI spending scrutiny, competition from custom chips, and sector rotation. Positive catalysts persist from sovereign AI initiatives and Blackwell ramp-up, maintaining strong market sentiment despite short-term consolidation.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
LRCX and NVDA both thrive on AI tailwinds but differ in business models: LRCX supplies essential equipment for chip manufacturing (e.g., etch/deposition), tying it to foundry capex cycles, while NVDA designs and sells end GPUs, capturing direct data center demand. Growth drivers contrast with LRCX's exposure to memory/logic WFE boom versus NVDA's hyperscaler reliance. Recent momentum favors LRCX (54% YTD vs. 1%), reflecting equipment orders surge, while NVDA shows steadier long-term compounding. Risk factors include shared geopolitical tensions (e.g., U.S.-China trade) but NVDA faces higher customer concentration and competition; LRCX offers cyclical stability. Sector exposure aligns in semis, yet market sentiment tilts toward LRCX's relative strength amid rotation from mega-caps.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently favors LRCX over NVDA based on superior recent trend consistency, YTD outperformance, and momentum in AI equipment demand. Observable factors like analyst upgrades, strong earnings visibility, and relative stability position LRCX probabilistically ahead in the near term, though NVDA's unmatched scale and catalysts warrant monitoring.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is LRCX is a Hold and NVDA is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
LRCX’s FA Score shows that 4 FA rating(s) are green whileNVDA’s FA Score has 3 green FA rating(s).
- LRCX’s FA Score: 4 green, 1 red.
- NVDA’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
LRCX’s TA Score shows that 6 TA indicator(s) are bullish while NVDA’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- LRCX’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
- NVDA’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
LRCX (@Electronic Production Equipment) experienced а +1.49% price change this week, while NVDA (@Semiconductors) price change was +6.92% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Electronic Production Equipment industry was +10.31%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +23.36%, and the average quarterly price growth was +116.53%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Semiconductors industry was +11.63%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +20.79%, and the average quarterly price growth was +24.53%.
Reported Earning Dates
LRCX is expected to report earnings on Apr 22, 2026.
NVDA is expected to report earnings on May 20, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Electronic Production Equipment (+10.31% weekly)The electronic production equipment industry makes equipment used to produce semiconductors. Such equipment includes wafer fabrication, plasma etching and photo-resist processing equipment. The industry also makes chemical vapor deposition processing systems and photomasks, which are high-purity quartz plates that contain patterns to define integrated circuits layouts. Applied Materials, Inc., Lam Research Corporation, and KLA-Tencor Corporation are examples of electronic production equipment manufacturing companies.
@Semiconductors (+11.63% weekly)The semiconductor industry manufacturers all chip-related products, including research and development. These chips are used in innumerable electronic devices, including computers, cell phones, smartphones, and GPSs. Intel Corporation, NVIDIA Corp., and Broadcomm are some of the prominent players in this industry. Semiconductor companies usually tend to do well during periods of healthy economic growth, thereby inducing further research and development in the industry – which in turn augurs well for productivity and growth in the economy. In the near future, demand for semiconductor products (and possibly innovation within the segment) should only expand further, with the proliferation of 5G, autonomous vehicles, IoT, and various AI-driven electronics set to herald a new, advanced chapter in the technology-driven world as we know it. With burgeoning prospects comes great competition. In 2015, SIA estimated that U.S. semiconductor industry ranks as the second most competitive U.S. industry out of 2882 U.S. industries designated manufacturers by the U.S. Census Bureau.
| LRCX | NVDA | LRCX / NVDA | |
| Capitalization | 334B | 4.9T | 7% |
| EBITDA | 7.58B | 145B | 5% |
| Gain YTD | 56.514 | 8.145 | 694% |
| P/E Ratio | 54.95 | 41.16 | 134% |
| Revenue | 20.6B | 216B | 10% |
| Total Cash | 6.18B | 62.6B | 10% |
| Total Debt | 4.48B | 11B | 41% |
LRCX | NVDA | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 50 | 50 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 80 Overvalued | 78 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 5 | 8 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 17 | 13 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 2 | 13 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 8 | 43 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
NVDA's Valuation (78) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as LRCX (80) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry. This means that NVDA’s stock grew similarly to LRCX’s over the last 12 months.
LRCX's Profit vs Risk Rating (5) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry is in the same range as NVDA (8) in the Semiconductors industry. This means that LRCX’s stock grew similarly to NVDA’s over the last 12 months.
NVDA's SMR Rating (13) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as LRCX (17) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry. This means that NVDA’s stock grew similarly to LRCX’s over the last 12 months.
LRCX's Price Growth Rating (2) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry is in the same range as NVDA (13) in the Semiconductors industry. This means that LRCX’s stock grew similarly to NVDA’s over the last 12 months.
LRCX's P/E Growth Rating (8) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry is somewhat better than the same rating for NVDA (43) in the Semiconductors industry. This means that LRCX’s stock grew somewhat faster than NVDA’s over the last 12 months.
| LRCX | NVDA | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 55% | 4 days ago 54% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 61% | 4 days ago 69% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 68% | 4 days ago 77% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 73% | 4 days ago 74% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 79% | 4 days ago 81% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 79% | 4 days ago 78% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 7 days ago 81% | 6 days ago 82% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 5 days ago 65% | 22 days ago 68% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 70% | 4 days ago 63% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 80% | 4 days ago 68% |
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LRCX and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, LRCX has been closely correlated with AMAT. These tickers have moved in lockstep 87% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if LRCX jumps, then AMAT could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To LRCX | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LRCX | 100% | +2.54% | ||
| AMAT - LRCX | 87% Closely correlated | +1.81% | ||
| KLAC - LRCX | 87% Closely correlated | +3.26% | ||
| RMBS - LRCX | 80% Closely correlated | +5.75% | ||
| ASML - LRCX | 80% Closely correlated | +3.47% | ||
| NVMI - LRCX | 79% Closely correlated | +2.83% | ||
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