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LRCX vs NVDA
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Lam Research Corporation (LRCX) vs. NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- LRCX has delivered stronger year-to-date returns than NVDA, rising approximately 83% compared to more modest gains for the AI chip leader.
- Both companies benefit from AI-driven semiconductor demand, but LRCX operates as a wafer fabrication equipment provider while NVDA supplies the core AI accelerators.
- Recent earnings for LRCX showed sequential revenue growth to $6.72 billion with a beat-and-raise outlook, supporting positive sentiment in recent weeks.
- NVDA maintains a dominant position in AI GPUs with a multi-trillion-dollar market capitalization and an upcoming earnings report that could influence near-term momentum.
- LRCX announced a multi-year $3 billion R&D expansion plan, highlighting long-term investment in innovation amid AI infrastructure buildout.
- Relative performance has favored equipment stocks like LRCX in 2026 amid broad semiconductor sector volatility.
Introduction
This comparison examines LRCX and NVDA, two semiconductor-related equities central to artificial intelligence infrastructure. LRCX supplies equipment used in chip manufacturing, while NVDA designs the processors powering AI workloads. Investors and traders focused on AI supply-chain exposure, relative valuation, and momentum shifts may find the analysis useful for assessing positioning within the broader technology sector. The review draws on recent market activity and company developments to highlight observable differences in business models and performance trends.
LRCX Overview and Recent Performance
LRCX, or Lam Research Corporation, specializes in semiconductor manufacturing equipment, particularly etch and deposition tools essential for advanced chip production. In recent weeks, the stock has traded near $314 following volatility that included a sharp session decline mid-month and subsequent recovery. Fiscal fourth-quarter results showed revenue reaching $6.72 billion with earnings per share beating estimates, accompanied by an upward revision in outlook. The company also disclosed plans to invest more than $3 billion over five years to expand its global research and development network. These factors have contributed to positive sentiment around sustained demand for wafer fabrication equipment tied to AI-related capacity expansions.
NVDA Overview and Recent Performance
NVDA, or NVIDIA Corporation, leads in graphics processing units and artificial intelligence accelerators. The stock has traded in the $200–$225 range in recent market activity, reflecting gains year-to-date that remain below prior peaks. Data center revenue continues to drive results amid ongoing AI infrastructure spending by hyperscalers and enterprises. With earnings scheduled for late August, attention centers on guidance updates and demand indicators. Broader sector comparisons show NVDA maintaining a commanding share of the AI chip market, though price action has been more measured compared with some equipment peers during the same period.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
LRCX and NVDA occupy adjacent positions in the AI value chain: the former supplies production tools while the latter provides the processing hardware. Business models differ markedly, with LRCX exposed to capital expenditure cycles of chipmakers and NVDA directly tied to end-user AI adoption. Recent momentum has favored LRCX on a year-to-date basis amid equipment demand signals, whereas NVDA offers greater scale and market dominance but has experienced comparatively tempered price appreciation. Risk considerations include regulatory exposure for both, supply-chain dependencies for equipment makers, and competitive intensity plus valuation multiples for the chip designer. Sector sentiment remains constructive for AI-related names, though relative performance reflects distinct sensitivities to capex timing and product cycles.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable trend consistency and recent relative performance, Tickeron’s AI would currently assign a higher probabilistic weighting to LRCX. The stock has demonstrated steadier momentum and earnings-supported advances in recent market activity, alongside a concrete multi-year investment catalyst. NVDA retains structural advantages in AI leadership, yet the upcoming earnings release introduces greater near-term uncertainty. This assessment reflects measurable positioning rather than forward projections.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is LRCX is a Hold and NVDA is a StrongBuy.
| LRCX | NVDA | LRCX / NVDA | |
| Capitalization | 373B | 5.27T | 7% |
| EBITDA | 8.86B | 234B | 4% |
| Gain YTD | 74.546 | 17.325 | 430% |
| P/E Ratio | 51.77 | 27.60 | 188% |
| Revenue | 23.2B | 303B | 8% |
| Total Cash | 5.58B | N/A | - |
| Total Debt | 3.74B | 38.4B | 10% |
LRCX | NVDA | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 80 | 71 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 82 Overvalued | 71 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 34 | 6 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 18 | 13 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 38 | 32 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 8 | 89 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
NVDA's Valuation (71) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as LRCX (82) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry. This means that NVDA’s stock grew similarly to LRCX’s over the last 12 months.
NVDA's Profit vs Risk Rating (6) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as LRCX (34) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry. This means that NVDA’s stock grew similarly to LRCX’s over the last 12 months.
NVDA's SMR Rating (13) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as LRCX (18) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry. This means that NVDA’s stock grew similarly to LRCX’s over the last 12 months.
NVDA's Price Growth Rating (32) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as LRCX (38) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry. This means that NVDA’s stock grew similarly to LRCX’s over the last 12 months.
LRCX's P/E Growth Rating (8) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry is significantly better than the same rating for NVDA (89) in the Semiconductors industry. This means that LRCX’s stock grew significantly faster than NVDA’s over the last 12 months.
| LRCX | NVDA | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | N/A | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 67% | 2 days ago 63% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 67% | 2 days ago 77% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 66% | 2 days ago 60% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 82% | 2 days ago 72% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 70% | 2 days ago 80% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 5 days ago 84% | 9 days ago 83% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 64% | 2 days ago 69% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | N/A | 2 days ago 83% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 81% | 2 days ago 87% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
LRCX’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green while NVDA’s FA Score has 3 green FA rating(s).
- LRCX’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- NVDA’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
LRCX’s TA Score shows that 2 TA indicator(s) are bullish while NVDA’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- LRCX’s TA Score: 2 bullish, 5 bearish.
- NVDA’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
LRCX (@Electronic Production Equipment) experienced а -3.07% price change this week, while NVDA (@Semiconductors) price change was -5.13% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Electronic Production Equipment industry was +2.14%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -15.15%, and the average quarterly price growth was +25.24%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Semiconductors industry was +2.81%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -5.78%, and the average quarterly price growth was +47.41%.
Reported Earning Dates
LRCX is expected to report earnings on Oct 21, 2026.
NVDA is expected to report earnings on Nov 25, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Electronic Production Equipment (+2.14% weekly)The electronic production equipment industry makes equipment used to produce semiconductors. Such equipment includes wafer fabrication, plasma etching and photo-resist processing equipment. The industry also makes chemical vapor deposition processing systems and photomasks, which are high-purity quartz plates that contain patterns to define integrated circuits layouts. Applied Materials, Inc., Lam Research Corporation, and KLA-Tencor Corporation are examples of electronic production equipment manufacturing companies.
@Semiconductors (+2.81% weekly)The semiconductor industry manufacturers all chip-related products, including research and development. These chips are used in innumerable electronic devices, including computers, cell phones, smartphones, and GPSs. Intel Corporation, NVIDIA Corp., and Broadcomm are some of the prominent players in this industry. Semiconductor companies usually tend to do well during periods of healthy economic growth, thereby inducing further research and development in the industry – which in turn augurs well for productivity and growth in the economy. In the near future, demand for semiconductor products (and possibly innovation within the segment) should only expand further, with the proliferation of 5G, autonomous vehicles, IoT, and various AI-driven electronics set to herald a new, advanced chapter in the technology-driven world as we know it. With burgeoning prospects comes great competition. In 2015, SIA estimated that U.S. semiconductor industry ranks as the second most competitive U.S. industry out of 2882 U.S. industries designated manufacturers by the U.S. Census Bureau.
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LRCX and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, LRCX has been closely correlated with AMAT. These tickers have moved in lockstep 90% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if LRCX jumps, then AMAT could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To LRCX | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LRCX | 100% | +0.07% | ||
| AMAT - LRCX | 90% Closely correlated | +0.55% | ||
| KLAC - LRCX | 87% Closely correlated | +1.95% | ||
| NVMI - LRCX | 85% Closely correlated | +1.58% | ||
| ASML - LRCX | 84% Closely correlated | +0.64% | ||
| RMBS - LRCX | 80% Closely correlated | +1.90% | ||
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