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ASML vs LRCX
Which Stock Would AI Choose? ASML Holding N.V. (ASML) vs. Lam Research Corporation (LRCX) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- ASML Holding N.V. maintains a near-monopoly position in extreme ultraviolet (EUV) lithography systems critical for advanced chip production, while Lam Research Corporation specializes in etch and deposition equipment essential for semiconductor manufacturing.
- Both stocks have delivered strong long-term gains amid artificial intelligence (AI) demand, with ASML up approximately 50-60% year-to-date and Lam Research Corporation up 70-80% year-to-date as of mid-September 2026.
- Recent market activity shows pullbacks for both: ASML declined about 13-14% over the past month, and Lam Research Corporation fell around 10% in the same period, reflecting broader semiconductor sector volatility.
- Key catalysts for ASML include expanded collaborations on High Numerical Aperture (High NA) EUV technology with customers such as Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSMC) and Samsung Electronics.
- Lam Research Corporation has raised its 2026 wafer fabrication equipment (WFE) spending outlook and announced a 27% dividend increase alongside plans for over $3 billion in research and development (R&D) investments.
- Sector exposure overlaps significantly in the semiconductor equipment space, with both companies positioned as beneficiaries of sustained AI-driven capital expenditures, though differing in technological focus and geographic revenue concentration.
Introduction
ASML Holding N.V. and Lam Research Corporation represent two leading players in the semiconductor equipment industry, each supplying critical tools that enable advanced chip manufacturing for artificial intelligence (AI), high-performance computing, and consumer electronics. This comparison examines their business models, recent performance, and market positioning to assist institutional investors, active traders, and portfolio managers evaluating relative opportunities within the semiconductor supply chain. The analysis draws on observable metrics such as stock returns, analyst commentary, and corporate developments over recent weeks to highlight contrasts in growth drivers and risk profiles without endorsing specific investment decisions.
ASML Overview and Recent Performance
ASML Holding N.V. develops and manufactures lithography systems, including extreme ultraviolet (EUV) and High NA EUV tools that are indispensable for producing the most advanced semiconductors. In recent market activity, the stock has traded near €1,400 levels on Euronext Amsterdam, reflecting a year-to-date advance of roughly 50-60% alongside a one-year gain exceeding 90%. Performance has been supported by announcements of expanded partnerships with major foundries for High NA EUV adoption and construction of new manufacturing facilities in the Netherlands. Sentiment has remained constructive on long-term demand visibility through 2028, though near-term share price movements have incorporated volatility tied to broader technology sector rotations and analyst price target adjustments.
LRCX Overview and Recent Performance
Lam Research Corporation provides etch, deposition, and clean equipment used across logic and memory chip production. The stock has recently traded around $298 on Nasdaq, posting year-to-date gains of approximately 70-80% and one-year returns surpassing 150%. Recent developments include a 27% quarterly dividend increase, authorization of substantial share repurchases, and commitments exceeding $3 billion over five years to expand its global R&D lab network. Performance has benefited from an upward revision to the 2026 wafer fabrication equipment spending forecast driven by AI-related investments, though the shares have experienced a pullback of about 10% over the past month amid sector-wide fluctuations.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
ASML Holding N.V. and Lam Research Corporation both supply mission-critical equipment to semiconductor manufacturers, yet their core technologies differ: ASML dominates lithography while Lam Research Corporation leads in etch and deposition processes. Growth drivers for ASML center on the transition to High NA EUV systems and capacity expansions, whereas Lam Research Corporation benefits from increased utilization in advanced packaging and memory production tied to AI workloads. Recent momentum has favored Lam Research Corporation on a year-to-date basis, though ASML exhibits lower beta relative to broader market swings. Risk factors include ASML’s heavier exposure to geopolitical tensions affecting export controls and Lam Research Corporation’s sensitivity to memory capital expenditure cycles. Market sentiment for both remains supported by multi-year AI infrastructure buildouts, with analysts maintaining generally positive ratings amid elevated valuations.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors including trend consistency, relative stability, and positioning within AI-driven demand, Tickeron’s AI models currently assign a modest probabilistic preference to Lam Research Corporation (LRCX) due to stronger recent outperformance and upward revisions in industry spending forecasts. ASML Holding N.V. (ASML) demonstrates compelling long-term visibility through technology leadership, though near-term volatility has been more pronounced. This assessment reflects pattern recognition across historical data and does not constitute investment advice.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is ASML is a Buy and LRCX is a Buy.
ASML | LRCX | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 50 | 50 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 83 Overvalued | 84 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 21 | 31 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 20 | 18 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 40 | 38 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 9 | 9 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
ASML's Valuation (83) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry is in the same range as LRCX (84). This means that ASML’s stock grew similarly to LRCX’s over the last 12 months.
ASML's Profit vs Risk Rating (21) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry is in the same range as LRCX (31). This means that ASML’s stock grew similarly to LRCX’s over the last 12 months.
LRCX's SMR Rating (18) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry is in the same range as ASML (20). This means that LRCX’s stock grew similarly to ASML’s over the last 12 months.
LRCX's Price Growth Rating (38) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry is in the same range as ASML (40). This means that LRCX’s stock grew similarly to ASML’s over the last 12 months.
LRCX's P/E Growth Rating (9) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry is in the same range as ASML (9). This means that LRCX’s stock grew similarly to ASML’s over the last 12 months.
| ASML | LRCX | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | N/A | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 67% | 3 days ago 69% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 72% | 3 days ago 75% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 64% | 3 days ago 80% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 76% | 3 days ago 82% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 70% | 3 days ago 83% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 6 days ago 72% | 6 days ago 84% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 68% | 4 days ago 64% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 86% | 3 days ago 90% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 62% | 3 days ago 76% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
ASML’s FA Score shows that 3 FA rating(s) are green while LRCX’s FA Score has 3 green FA rating(s).
- ASML’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
- LRCX’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
ASML’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while LRCX’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- ASML’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
- LRCX’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 3 bearish.
Price Growth
ASML (@Electronic Production Equipment) experienced а +3.81% price change this week, while LRCX (@Electronic Production Equipment) price change was +9.52% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Electronic Production Equipment industry was +5.21%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +1.39%, and the average quarterly price growth was +28.33%.
Reported Earning Dates
ASML is expected to report earnings on Oct 14, 2026.
LRCX is expected to report earnings on Oct 21, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Electronic Production Equipment (+5.21% weekly)The electronic production equipment industry makes equipment used to produce semiconductors. Such equipment includes wafer fabrication, plasma etching and photo-resist processing equipment. The industry also makes chemical vapor deposition processing systems and photomasks, which are high-purity quartz plates that contain patterns to define integrated circuits layouts. Applied Materials, Inc., Lam Research Corporation, and KLA-Tencor Corporation are examples of electronic production equipment manufacturing companies.
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ASML and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, ASML has been closely correlated with LRCX. These tickers have moved in lockstep 85% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if ASML jumps, then LRCX could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To ASML | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ASML | 100% | +1.24% | ||
| LRCX - ASML | 85% Closely correlated | +2.62% | ||
| AMAT - ASML | 82% Closely correlated | +2.27% | ||
| KLAC - ASML | 81% Closely correlated | +0.43% | ||
| NVMI - ASML | 79% Closely correlated | +0.39% | ||
| ONTO - ASML | 73% Closely correlated | +2.83% | ||
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LRCX and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, LRCX has been closely correlated with AMAT. These tickers have moved in lockstep 91% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if LRCX jumps, then AMAT could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To LRCX | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LRCX | 100% | +2.62% | ||
| AMAT - LRCX | 91% Closely correlated | +2.27% | ||
| KLAC - LRCX | 87% Closely correlated | +0.43% | ||
| ASML - LRCX | 85% Closely correlated | +1.24% | ||
| NVMI - LRCX | 85% Closely correlated | +0.39% | ||
| ONTO - LRCX | 83% Closely correlated | +2.83% | ||
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