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ASML vs LRCX
Which Stock Would AI Choose? ASML Holding N.V. (ASML) vs. Lam Research Corporation (LRCX) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Both ASML and LRCX operate in the semiconductor equipment sector, with exposure to artificial intelligence-driven demand for advanced chip manufacturing.
- Lam Research Corporation (LRCX) has delivered stronger year-to-date returns compared to ASML Holding N.V. (ASML) amid robust AI infrastructure spending.
- ASML maintains leadership in extreme ultraviolet (EUV) lithography systems, while LRCX specializes in etch and deposition equipment critical for advanced packaging.
- Recent market activity shows both stocks influenced by broader semiconductor sector volatility and upcoming earnings reports.
- Valuations for both remain elevated, reflecting premium growth expectations in the chip equipment space.
- Relative performance highlights trade-offs between ASML’s long-term technology positioning and LRCX’s near-term momentum in deposition and etch markets.
Introduction
This comparison examines ASML Holding N.V. (ASML) and Lam Research Corporation (LRCX), two leading providers of semiconductor manufacturing equipment. Both companies benefit from the ongoing expansion of artificial intelligence infrastructure and advanced chip production. The analysis focuses on business models, recent price behavior, and key market factors relevant to traders and investors seeking to understand relative positioning within the semiconductor equipment industry. Institutional and retail participants monitoring technology sector rotation or AI-related supply chain trends may find the side-by-side review useful for assessing portfolio allocation decisions.
ASML Overview and Recent Performance
ASML Holding N.V. (ASML) is the dominant supplier of lithography systems used in semiconductor fabrication, particularly its extreme ultraviolet (EUV) technology essential for producing advanced logic and memory chips. In recent weeks, the stock has experienced moderated gains relative to broader sector peers, influenced by supply chain dynamics and customer order patterns in the semiconductor capital equipment market. Market sentiment has reflected ongoing demand for next-generation nodes, though tempered by periodic sector-wide pullbacks. Performance in recent market activity shows resilience tied to long-term technology roadmaps, with investors monitoring order backlogs and global foundry expansions as primary drivers.
LRCX Overview and Recent Performance
Lam Research Corporation (LRCX) provides critical etch, deposition, and clean equipment used in semiconductor manufacturing, with significant exposure to artificial intelligence and high-bandwidth memory production. Recent market activity has featured stronger upward momentum for the stock, supported by robust demand in advanced packaging and memory segments. The company is scheduled to report quarterly results later in July 2026, with analyst expectations centered on continued revenue expansion. Sentiment in recent weeks has been shaped by AI infrastructure investments, contributing to outperformance relative to some peers amid fluctuating semiconductor valuations.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
ASML Holding N.V. (ASML) and Lam Research Corporation (LRCX) both serve the semiconductor capital equipment market but differ in core technology focus. ASML specializes in lithography, particularly EUV systems critical for leading-edge process nodes, while LRCX emphasizes etch and deposition tools vital for three-dimensional structures and advanced packaging. Growth drivers for ASML center on long-cycle EUV adoption, whereas LRCX benefits more directly from near-term AI memory and logic demand. Recent momentum has favored LRCX on relative returns, though both face risks from cyclical capital spending and geopolitical supply considerations. Sector exposure remains similar, yet market sentiment has shown divergence based on specific product cycles and earnings visibility.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors including trend consistency, earnings momentum, and relative positioning, Tickeron’s AI models currently assign a higher probability of near-term outperformance to Lam Research Corporation (LRCX). The assessment reflects stronger recent price behavior and alignment with AI-driven deposition demand. ASML Holding N.V. (ASML) retains appeal through its established EUV leadership, though it trails on shorter-term stability metrics in the current environment. This probabilistic evaluation draws from pattern analysis rather than forward guarantees.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is ASML is a Hold and LRCX is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
ASML’s FA Score shows that 3 FA rating(s) are green whileLRCX’s FA Score has 3 green FA rating(s).
- ASML’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
- LRCX’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
ASML’s TA Score shows that 3 TA indicator(s) are bullish while LRCX’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- ASML’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 5 bearish.
- LRCX’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
ASML (@Electronic Production Equipment) experienced а +1.62% price change this week, while LRCX (@Electronic Production Equipment) price change was +6.12% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Electronic Production Equipment industry was +1.73%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -16.94%, and the average quarterly price growth was +58.15%.
Reported Earning Dates
ASML is expected to report earnings on Jul 15, 2026.
LRCX is expected to report earnings on Jul 29, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Electronic Production Equipment (+1.73% weekly)The electronic production equipment industry makes equipment used to produce semiconductors. Such equipment includes wafer fabrication, plasma etching and photo-resist processing equipment. The industry also makes chemical vapor deposition processing systems and photomasks, which are high-purity quartz plates that contain patterns to define integrated circuits layouts. Applied Materials, Inc., Lam Research Corporation, and KLA-Tencor Corporation are examples of electronic production equipment manufacturing companies.
| ASML | LRCX | ASML / LRCX | |
| Capitalization | 681B | 419B | 163% |
| EBITDA | 11.9B | 8.07B | 147% |
| Gain YTD | 66.773 | 102.570 | 65% |
| P/E Ratio | 57.88 | 63.41 | 91% |
| Revenue | 33.7B | 21.7B | 155% |
| Total Cash | 8.38B | 1.68B | 500% |
| Total Debt | 2.71B | 3.73B | 72% |
ASML | LRCX | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 67 | 82 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 84 Overvalued | 88 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 19 | 13 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 19 | 17 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 39 | 36 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 10 | 7 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 75 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
ASML's Valuation (84) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry is in the same range as LRCX (88). This means that ASML’s stock grew similarly to LRCX’s over the last 12 months.
LRCX's Profit vs Risk Rating (13) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry is in the same range as ASML (19). This means that LRCX’s stock grew similarly to ASML’s over the last 12 months.
LRCX's SMR Rating (17) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry is in the same range as ASML (19). This means that LRCX’s stock grew similarly to ASML’s over the last 12 months.
LRCX's Price Growth Rating (36) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry is in the same range as ASML (39). This means that LRCX’s stock grew similarly to ASML’s over the last 12 months.
LRCX's P/E Growth Rating (7) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry is in the same range as ASML (10). This means that LRCX’s stock grew similarly to ASML’s over the last 12 months.
| ASML | LRCX | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 80% | 2 days ago 73% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 81% | 2 days ago 84% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 72% | 2 days ago 60% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 80% | 2 days ago 53% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 77% | 2 days ago 81% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 75% | 2 days ago 83% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 7 days ago 73% | 7 days ago 83% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 66% | 3 days ago 63% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 65% | 2 days ago 88% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 74% | 2 days ago 82% |
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ASML and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, ASML has been closely correlated with LRCX. These tickers have moved in lockstep 82% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if ASML jumps, then LRCX could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To ASML | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ASML | 100% | +2.87% | ||
| LRCX - ASML | 82% Closely correlated | +4.90% | ||
| AMAT - ASML | 79% Closely correlated | +3.53% | ||
| KLAC - ASML | 79% Closely correlated | +3.65% | ||
| NVMI - ASML | 76% Closely correlated | +4.60% | ||
| UCTT - ASML | 67% Closely correlated | +5.62% | ||
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LRCX and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, LRCX has been closely correlated with AMAT. These tickers have moved in lockstep 89% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if LRCX jumps, then AMAT could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To LRCX | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LRCX | 100% | +4.90% | ||
| AMAT - LRCX | 89% Closely correlated | +3.53% | ||
| KLAC - LRCX | 88% Closely correlated | +3.65% | ||
| NVMI - LRCX | 84% Closely correlated | +4.60% | ||
| ASML - LRCX | 83% Closely correlated | +2.87% | ||
| RMBS - LRCX | 80% Closely correlated | +2.20% | ||
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