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ASML vs LRCX
Which Stock Would AI Choose? ASML Holding (ASML) vs. Lam Research (LRCX) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- LRCX has shown stronger year-to-date (YTD) performance at approximately 47% gains compared to ASML's around 30%, driven by robust earnings beats and AI demand momentum.
- Both stocks experienced volatility in recent weeks due to semiconductor sector pressures, including U.S. export restrictions to China, but LRCX demonstrated greater resilience with 13% one-month gains versus ASML's mixed results.
- ASML maintains a near-monopoly in extreme ultraviolet (EUV) lithography essential for advanced chips, while LRCX excels in etching and deposition processes critical for AI chip production.
- Market caps stand at roughly $534 billion for ASML and $314 billion for LRCX, with similar price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios around 45-47, reflecting premium valuations in the chip equipment space.
- Recent analyst sentiment remains positive for both, with strong buy ratings, though LRCX benefits from fresher earnings momentum.
Introduction
ASML Holding and Lam Research Corporation (LRCX) are pivotal players in the semiconductor equipment sector, supplying critical tools for advanced chip manufacturing amid surging AI and data center demand. This comparison is particularly relevant for investors and traders navigating the volatile chip market, where geopolitical tensions and technological shifts influence performance. By examining recent trends, business models, and market positioning, readers can gauge relative strengths in this high-growth industry.
ASML Overview and Recent Performance
ASML Holding N.V., headquartered in the Netherlands, dominates the market for photolithography systems, particularly extreme ultraviolet (EUV) machines indispensable for producing cutting-edge semiconductors. In recent market activity, the stock has traded around $1,385 per share, reflecting a YTD gain of about 30% but with pullbacks in recent weeks. Sentiment has been shaped by a strong Q1 earnings beat with raised full-year guidance on AI-driven demand, offset by concerns over Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company's (TSMC) decision to limit high-end EUV purchases and U.S.-China export curbs. These factors contributed to short-term declines, though analysts maintain bullish outlooks with average price targets exceeding $1,650.
LRCX Overview and Recent Performance
Lam Research Corporation (LRCX) specializes in wafer fabrication equipment for etching, deposition, and cleaning processes, supporting high-volume chip production. Recently, shares have hovered near $251, delivering robust YTD returns of nearly 47% and 13% over the past month, outperforming peers amid sector rotations. Key influences include a Q1 revenue beat of $5.84 billion, fueled by AI infrastructure spending and memory chip recovery, alongside positive analyst upgrades. However, recent dips tied to broader chip sell-offs and U.S. restrictions on equipment sales to Chinese firms have introduced caution, yet momentum persists with strong buy recommendations.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
ASML’s business model centers on a near-monopoly in EUV lithography, providing high-margin exposure to advanced node transitions but vulnerability to customer concentration like TSMC. In contrast, LRCX’s diversified etch and deposition portfolio benefits from broader foundry and memory demand, yielding steadier revenue streams amid AI chip ramps. Growth drivers align on AI and high-bandwidth memory (HBM), yet LRCX shows superior recent momentum with higher YTD returns and earnings surprises. Risk factors include shared geopolitical headwinds from U.S. export controls, though ASML faces added scrutiny on EUV tech transfers. Sector exposure is concentrated in semiconductors for both, but LRCX’s lower market cap offers relative value. Market sentiment favors LRCX’s stability versus ASML’s higher volatility (beta ~1.74), trading at comparable P/E multiples.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI models currently lean toward LRCX with higher probability for near-term outperformance, citing consistent trend strength, recent earnings momentum, and favorable positioning in AI memory and deposition demand. ASML remains compelling for long-term EUV growth but trails on relative stability amid recent catalysts. This assessment reflects observable patterns rather than guarantees.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full Disclaimers and Limitations.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is ASML is a StrongBuy and LRCX is a Buy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
ASML’s FA Score shows that 3 FA rating(s) are green whileLRCX’s FA Score has 4 green FA rating(s).
- ASML’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
- LRCX’s FA Score: 4 green, 1 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
ASML’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while LRCX’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- ASML’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
- LRCX’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
ASML (@Electronic Production Equipment) experienced а +8.21% price change this week, while LRCX (@Electronic Production Equipment) price change was +20.95% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Electronic Production Equipment industry was +15.55%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +15.90%, and the average quarterly price growth was +164.05%.
Reported Earning Dates
ASML is expected to report earnings on Jul 15, 2026.
LRCX is expected to report earnings on Aug 05, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Electronic Production Equipment (+15.55% weekly)The electronic production equipment industry makes equipment used to produce semiconductors. Such equipment includes wafer fabrication, plasma etching and photo-resist processing equipment. The industry also makes chemical vapor deposition processing systems and photomasks, which are high-purity quartz plates that contain patterns to define integrated circuits layouts. Applied Materials, Inc., Lam Research Corporation, and KLA-Tencor Corporation are examples of electronic production equipment manufacturing companies.
| ASML | LRCX | ASML / LRCX | |
| Capitalization | 727B | 486B | 150% |
| EBITDA | 11.9B | 8.07B | 147% |
| Gain YTD | 77.764 | 127.472 | 61% |
| P/E Ratio | 63.27 | 73.52 | 86% |
| Revenue | 33.7B | 21.7B | 155% |
| Total Cash | 8.38B | 4.75B | 176% |
| Total Debt | 2.71B | 3.73B | 72% |
ASML | LRCX | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 35 | 36 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 84 Overvalued | 88 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 16 | 2 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 19 | 17 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 36 | 2 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 11 | 6 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 75 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
ASML's Valuation (84) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry is in the same range as LRCX (88). This means that ASML’s stock grew similarly to LRCX’s over the last 12 months.
LRCX's Profit vs Risk Rating (2) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry is in the same range as ASML (16). This means that LRCX’s stock grew similarly to ASML’s over the last 12 months.
LRCX's SMR Rating (17) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry is in the same range as ASML (19). This means that LRCX’s stock grew similarly to ASML’s over the last 12 months.
LRCX's Price Growth Rating (2) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry is somewhat better than the same rating for ASML (36). This means that LRCX’s stock grew somewhat faster than ASML’s over the last 12 months.
LRCX's P/E Growth Rating (6) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry is in the same range as ASML (11). This means that LRCX’s stock grew similarly to ASML’s over the last 12 months.
| ASML | LRCX | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 57% | 4 days ago 64% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 68% | 4 days ago 74% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 8 days ago 78% | 4 days ago 85% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 76% | 4 days ago 77% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 76% | 4 days ago 81% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 75% | 4 days ago 81% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 7 days ago 73% | 4 days ago 82% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 20 days ago 66% | 11 days ago 64% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 66% | 4 days ago 73% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 74% | 4 days ago 81% |
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ASML and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, ASML has been closely correlated with LRCX. These tickers have moved in lockstep 81% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if ASML jumps, then LRCX could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To ASML | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ASML | 100% | +1.56% | ||
| LRCX - ASML | 81% Closely correlated | +6.03% | ||
| KLAC - ASML | 79% Closely correlated | +0.74% | ||
| AMAT - ASML | 77% Closely correlated | +3.27% | ||
| NVMI - ASML | 71% Closely correlated | +3.88% | ||
| CAMT - ASML | 69% Closely correlated | +2.21% | ||
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LRCX and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, LRCX has been closely correlated with AMAT. These tickers have moved in lockstep 88% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if LRCX jumps, then AMAT could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To LRCX | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LRCX | 100% | +6.03% | ||
| AMAT - LRCX | 88% Closely correlated | +3.27% | ||
| KLAC - LRCX | 86% Closely correlated | +0.74% | ||
| NVMI - LRCX | 81% Closely correlated | +3.88% | ||
| ASML - LRCX | 81% Closely correlated | +1.56% | ||
| RMBS - LRCX | 80% Closely correlated | -2.29% | ||
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