Compare predictions MDC vs TPH
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To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is MDC is a StrongSell and TPH is a StrongBuy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
MDC’s FA Score shows that 3 FA rating(s) are green whileTPH’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- MDC’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
- TPH’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
MDC’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while TPH’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- MDC’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 6 bearish.
- TPH’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 6 bearish.
Price Growth
MDC (@Homebuilding) experienced а +0.27% price change this week, while TPH (@Homebuilding) price change was -0.51% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Homebuilding industry was -0.66%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +11.87%, and the average quarterly price growth was +2.19%.
Reported Earning Dates
MDC is expected to report earnings on Jan 30, 2024.
TPH is expected to report earnings on Feb 15, 2024.
Industries' Descriptions
@Homebuilding (-0.66% weekly)Homebuilding includes companies residential home construction companies, renovators and repair firms. The companies may be building single-family or multifamily homes, condominiums or mobile homes. Over the five years to 2019, the Home Builders industry is estimated to have grown at an annualized rate of 2.5% to reach $89.4 billion, (including expected growth of 2.6% in 2019), according to a study by IbisWorld. After having suffered one of its worst crises a decade ago during the last macroeconomic recession–which had much of its origins in U.S. real estate – the homebuilding industry has been recovering steadily so far. Higher disposable incomes and improving economic activity have bolstered consumers’ purchases of homes. While revenue of the Home Builders industry remains well below its prerecession high, demand growth estimates show promise.
| MDC | TPH | MDC / TPH | |
| Capitalization | 3.27B | 2.82B | 116% |
| EBITDA | 514M | 557M | 92% |
| Gain YTD | 46.953 | 56.966 | 82% |
| P/E Ratio | 9.10 | 7.10 | 128% |
| Revenue | 4.82B | 3.98B | 121% |
| Total Cash | 1.78B | 849M | 210% |
| Total Debt | 1.66B | 1.46B | 114% |
MDC | TPH | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 80 | 88 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 10 Undervalued | 67 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 31 | 19 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 65 | 58 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 40 | 41 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 7 | 10 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | n/a | n/a |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
MDC's Valuation (10) in the Homebuilding industry is somewhat better than the same rating for TPH (67). This means that MDC’s stock grew somewhat faster than TPH’s over the last 12 months.
TPH's Profit vs Risk Rating (19) in the Homebuilding industry is in the same range as MDC (31). This means that TPH’s stock grew similarly to MDC’s over the last 12 months.
TPH's SMR Rating (58) in the Homebuilding industry is in the same range as MDC (65). This means that TPH’s stock grew similarly to MDC’s over the last 12 months.
MDC's Price Growth Rating (40) in the Homebuilding industry is in the same range as TPH (41). This means that MDC’s stock grew similarly to TPH’s over the last 12 months.
MDC's P/E Growth Rating (7) in the Homebuilding industry is in the same range as TPH (10). This means that MDC’s stock grew similarly to TPH’s over the last 12 months.
| MDC | TPH | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 63% | 1 day ago 59% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 70% | 1 day ago 82% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 61% | 1 day ago 60% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 7 days ago 75% | 1 day ago 53% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 76% | 1 day ago 64% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 79% | 1 day ago 75% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 7 days ago 73% | 1 day ago 71% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 65% | 3 days ago 66% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 63% | 1 day ago 61% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 79% | 1 day ago 82% |
| 1 Day | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| ETFs / NAME | Price $ | Chg $ | Chg % |
| PXI | 43.47 | 0.53 | +1.24% |
| Invesco Dorsey Wright Energy MomentumETF | |||
| NUMV | 29.61 | 0.35 | +1.20% |
| Nuveen ESG Mid-Cap Value ETF | |||
| FCEF | 19.17 | 0.17 | +0.89% |
| First Trust Income Opportunity ETF | |||
| BCIM | 21.58 | -0.07 | -0.32% |
| abrdn Blmb Indstl Mtls Stgy K1 Fr ETF | |||
| XSD | 199.39 | -1.33 | -0.66% |
| SPDR® S&P Semiconductor ETF | |||
TPH and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, TPH has been closely correlated with TOL. These tickers have moved in lockstep 85% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if TPH jumps, then TOL could also see price increases.