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TPH
Stock ticker: NYSE
AS OF
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Price
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Capitalization
2.75B

TPH Price Prediction, Tri Pointe Homes AI Recommendations

Stock market charts, price targets, analyst ratings and a financial calendar

Technical Analysis# Of IndicatorsAvg. Odds
   
   
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A.I.Advisor
a Summary for TPH with price predictions
08:00 PM EDT Sep 28, 2023

TPH's RSI Oscillator climbs out of oversold territory

The RSI Oscillator for TPH moved out of oversold territory on September 27, 2023. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from a downward trend to an upward trend. Traders may want to buy the stock or call options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 20 similar instances when the indicator left oversold territory. In of the 20 cases the stock moved higher. This puts the odds of a move higher at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 13 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where TPH advanced for three days, in of 316 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

TPH may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on September 12, 2023. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on TPH as a result. In of 95 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for TPH turned negative on September 12, 2023. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 51 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 51 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where TPH declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator for TPH entered a downward trend on September 22, 2023. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Fear & Greed

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 62, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. TPH’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.951) is normal, around the industry mean (5.755). P/E Ratio (5.845) is within average values for comparable stocks, (83.036). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.556) is also within normal values, averaging (1.540). TPH has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.043). P/S Ratio (0.673) is also within normal values, averaging (71.799).

A.I. Advisor
published Earnings

TPH is expected to report earnings to fall 5.23% to 56 cents per share on October 19

Tri Pointe Homes TPH Stock Earnings Reports
Q3'23
Est.
$0.57
Q2'23
Beat
by $0.02
Q1'23
Beat
by $0.25
Q4'22
Beat
by $0.43
Q3'22
Beat
by $0.20
The last earnings report on July 27 showed earnings per share of 60 cents, beating the estimate of 57 cents. With 50.12K shares outstanding, the current market capitalization sits at 2.75B.
A.I.Advisor
published Highlights

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are DR Horton (NYSE:DHI), Lennar Corp (NYSE:LEN), Pultegroup (NYSE:PHM), KB Home (NYSE:KBH).

Industry description

Homebuilding includes companies residential home construction companies, renovators and repair firms. The companies may be building single-family or multifamily homes, condominiums or mobile homes. Over the five years to 2019, the Home Builders industry is estimated to have grown at an annualized rate of 2.5% to reach $89.4 billion, (including expected growth of 2.6% in 2019), according to a study by IbisWorld. After having suffered one of its worst crises a decade ago during the last macroeconomic recession–which had much of its origins in U.S. real estate – the homebuilding industry has been recovering steadily so far. Higher disposable incomes and improving economic activity have bolstered consumers’ purchases of homes. While revenue of the Home Builders industry remains well below its prerecession high, demand growth estimates show promise.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Homebuilding Industry is 5.12B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 66.68K to 36.85B. DHI holds the highest valuation in this group at 36.85B. The lowest valued company is ASCK at 66.68K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Homebuilding Industry was -1%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -7%, and the average quarterly price growth was 10%. NOBH experienced the highest price growth at 2%, while STHI experienced the biggest fall at -17%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Homebuilding Industry was -6%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -26% and the average quarterly volume growth was -34%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 36
P/E Growth Rating: 41
Price Growth Rating: 51
SMR Rating: 53
Profit Risk Rating: 61
Seasonality Score: -17 (-100 ... +100)
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A.I.Advisor
published price charts
A.I. Advisor
published General Information

General Information

a provider of homebuilding services

Industry Homebuilding

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Homebuilding
Address
940 Southwood Boulevard
Phone
+1 775 413-1030
Employees
1470
Web
https://www.tripointehomes.com
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TPH and

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, TPH has been closely correlated with MTH. These tickers have moved in lockstep 86% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if TPH jumps, then MTH could also see price increases.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To TPH
1D Price
Change %
TPH100%
-1.69%
MTH - TPH
86%
Closely correlated
-1.18%
TOL - TPH
85%
Closely correlated
-0.58%
TMHC - TPH
84%
Closely correlated
-1.43%
MDC - TPH
82%
Closely correlated
-1.43%
MHO - TPH
82%
Closely correlated
-1.90%
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