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MIDD vs SWK
Which Stock Would AI Choose? The Middleby Corporation (MIDD) vs. Stanley Black & Decker (SWK) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Stanley Black & Decker (SWK) outperforms MIDD year-to-date with approximately 7% gains compared to MIDD's 4.5%, reflecting stronger recent momentum.
- SWK benefits from a completed $1.8 billion aerospace asset sale, bolstering its balance sheet, while MIDD pursues restructuring efforts including a planned business separation.
- SWK's larger market capitalization of over $12 billion provides greater stability versus MIDD's $6.6 billion.
- Both stocks trade within their 52-week ranges, with SWK near the middle and MIDD closer to the lower end amid recent market activity.
- Divergent sector exposures highlight trade-offs: MIDD in foodservice equipment versus SWK's tools and industrial products.
Introduction
This comparison examines MIDD and SWK, two industrial sector stocks with distinct focuses—MIDD on commercial foodservice equipment and SWK on power tools and hardware. Investors tracking manufacturing and consumer discretionary trends, or those evaluating relative performance in a volatile market, will find value in assessing their business models, recent trajectories, and positioning. Amid broader economic shifts, understanding these contrasts aids in portfolio diversification and sector rotation strategies.
MIDD Overview and Recent Performance
The Middleby Corporation (MIDD) is a global leader in designing, manufacturing, marketing, distributing, and servicing commercial foodservice and food processing equipment. In recent market activity, its shares have hovered around $140, reflecting a year-to-date gain of about 4.5% but showing limited upside since late 2025, with a modest 4.5% return in that period. Sentiment has been influenced by ongoing restructuring, including a $3.3 billion initiative and plans to sell a 51% stake in its residential kitchen business, alongside an upcoming Investor Day. These moves aim to streamline operations but have contributed to price consolidation within a 52-week range of $110.82 to $169.44.
SWK Overview and Recent Performance
Stanley Black & Decker, Inc. (SWK) produces hand tools, power tools, and related accessories for professional, industrial, and consumer markets. Recent weeks have seen its stock rise toward $78, supported by a year-to-date increase of nearly 7% and a one-year return exceeding 33%. Key drivers include the completion of a $1.8 billion sale of its aerospace manufacturing unit, enhancing liquidity, and affirmations that recent tariff changes won't materially affect 2026 guidance. A new share repurchase authorization and consistent dividend (yielding ~4.3%) have bolstered investor confidence, with shares trading mid-range in a 52-week span of $58.23 to $93.37.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
MIDD and SWK both operate in industrials but diverge in business models: MIDD specializes in niche foodservice equipment with exposure to hospitality recovery, while SWK's broader tools portfolio serves construction and DIY markets. Growth drivers contrast—MIDD relies on M&A (mergers and acquisitions) and restructuring for efficiency, versus SWK's focus on cost discipline post-asset sales and dividends. Recent momentum favors SWK amid its cash infusion, while MIDD faces restructuring risks. Volatility profiles show similar betas around 1.2-1.4, but SWK's larger scale and payout offer stability trade-offs against MIDD's higher forward P/E potential.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron's AI models would currently lean toward SWK due to its superior recent momentum, balance sheet strengthening from the aerospace divestiture, and consistent dividend support, positioning it better for near-term stability amid industrial sector rotations. MIDD's restructuring holds long-term promise but trails in trend consistency. This probabilistic edge reflects observable catalysts rather than guarantees.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full Disclaimers and Limitations.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is MIDD is a StrongBuy and SWK is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
MIDD’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileSWK’s FA Score has 3 green FA rating(s).
- MIDD’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- SWK’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
MIDD’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while SWK’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- MIDD’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
- SWK’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
MIDD (@Industrial Machinery) experienced а +1.86% price change this week, while SWK (@Tools & Hardware) price change was +1.78% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Industrial Machinery industry was +1.40%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +5.68%, and the average quarterly price growth was +9.97%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Tools & Hardware industry was +0.18%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +6.96%, and the average quarterly price growth was +15.78%.
Reported Earning Dates
MIDD is expected to report earnings on Jul 30, 2026.
SWK is expected to report earnings on Aug 04, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Industrial Machinery (+1.40% weekly)The industry makes and maintains machines for consumers, the industry, and most other companies. While it has traditionally been categorized as heavy industry, some smaller companies are also branching into the light category. The industry is pivotal in providing the equipment for production in businesses like agriculture, mining, industry and construction, gas, electricity and water utilities. It also supplies supporting equipment for almost all sectors of the economy, such as equipment for heating, and air conditioning of buildings. Illinois Tool Works Inc., Parker-Hannifin Corporation and Rockwell Automation Inc are some of the major U.S. companies operating in this industry.
@Tools & Hardware (+0.18% weekly)Tools & Hardware industry includes companies that manufacture security products, storage cabinets, steel rules and tapes, calipers, shoe hook fasteners, lumber, structural materials and other related supplies. Stanley Black & Decker, Inc., Snap-on Incorporated and L.S. Starrett Company are some of the largest, established players in this industry. The industry is also seeing rapid growth in online sales. The proliferation of do-it-yourself (DIY) projects has boosted industry demand. But oil price volatility poses potential risks to this industry, particularly to e-commerce companies which spend on services of shipping companies, which might alter charges based on oil price movements.
| MIDD | SWK | MIDD / SWK | |
| Capitalization | 7.41B | 13B | 57% |
| EBITDA | 689M | 1.38B | 50% |
| Gain YTD | 12.033 | 18.741 | 64% |
| P/E Ratio | 22.86 | 35.37 | 65% |
| Revenue | 3.31B | 15.2B | 22% |
| Total Cash | 177M | N/A | - |
| Total Debt | 1.9B | 6.5B | 29% |
MIDD | SWK | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 32 | 26 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 78 Overvalued | 5 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 96 | 100 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 95 | 87 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 41 | 12 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 30 | 30 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 90 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
SWK's Valuation (5) in the Tools And Hardware industry is significantly better than the same rating for MIDD (78) in the Industrial Machinery industry. This means that SWK’s stock grew significantly faster than MIDD’s over the last 12 months.
MIDD's Profit vs Risk Rating (96) in the Industrial Machinery industry is in the same range as SWK (100) in the Tools And Hardware industry. This means that MIDD’s stock grew similarly to SWK’s over the last 12 months.
SWK's SMR Rating (87) in the Tools And Hardware industry is in the same range as MIDD (95) in the Industrial Machinery industry. This means that SWK’s stock grew similarly to MIDD’s over the last 12 months.
SWK's Price Growth Rating (12) in the Tools And Hardware industry is in the same range as MIDD (41) in the Industrial Machinery industry. This means that SWK’s stock grew similarly to MIDD’s over the last 12 months.
SWK's P/E Growth Rating (30) in the Tools And Hardware industry is in the same range as MIDD (30) in the Industrial Machinery industry. This means that SWK’s stock grew similarly to MIDD’s over the last 12 months.
| MIDD | SWK | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 76% | 2 days ago 73% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 66% | 2 days ago 73% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 67% | 2 days ago 62% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 62% | 2 days ago 67% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 61% | 2 days ago 63% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 59% | 2 days ago 68% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 8 days ago 61% | 9 days ago 63% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 19 days ago 68% | 7 days ago 73% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 70% | 2 days ago 78% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 53% | 2 days ago 65% |
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MIDD and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, MIDD has been loosely correlated with JBTM. These tickers have moved in lockstep 64% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if MIDD jumps, then JBTM could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To MIDD | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIDD | 100% | -3.31% | ||
| JBTM - MIDD | 64% Loosely correlated | -1.09% | ||
| KMT - MIDD | 60% Loosely correlated | -2.42% | ||
| TKR - MIDD | 58% Loosely correlated | -0.27% | ||
| SWK - MIDD | 58% Loosely correlated | -0.51% | ||
| KAI - MIDD | 57% Loosely correlated | -1.06% | ||
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SWK and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, SWK has been closely correlated with TKR. These tickers have moved in lockstep 74% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if SWK jumps, then TKR could also see price increases.