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SWK vs TKR
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Stanley Black & Decker (SWK) vs. Timken (TKR) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- TKR has delivered superior year-to-date returns of approximately 28%, outpacing SWK's 7% gain amid broader industrial sector dynamics.
- Both stocks operate in the industrial goods space, but SWK focuses on tools and fasteners while TKR specializes in bearings and motion systems, exposing them to distinct end-market demands.
- SWK offers a higher dividend yield of 4.33%, appealing to income-focused investors, compared to TKR's 1.31%.
- Recent capital return initiatives include SWK's new share repurchase authorization and quarterly dividend, alongside TKR's strategic acquisition to expand lubrication capabilities.
- TKR trades at a lower price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 26.08 versus SWK's 29.66, suggesting relatively cheaper valuation on earnings.
Introduction
Stanley Black & Decker (SWK) and Timken (TKR) represent key players in the industrial sector, with SWK emphasizing power tools and fasteners, and TKR focusing on engineered bearings and motion products. This stock comparison analyzes their recent market positioning, performance metrics, and growth drivers, aiding traders seeking momentum plays and investors evaluating relative value in cyclical industries. Amid shifting economic signals and sector rotations, understanding these contrasts helps inform portfolio decisions in the current environment.
SWK Overview and Recent Performance
Stanley Black & Decker (SWK), headquartered in New Britain, Connecticut, manufactures hand tools, power tools, outdoor equipment, and industrial fasteners sold under brands like DEWALT and CRAFTSMAN. In recent market activity, the stock has traded around $78, within a 52-week range of $58 to $93, reflecting resilience amid housing market softness. Year-to-date gains stand at about 7%, with one-year returns near 34%, supported by gross margin improvements to 30.7% in 2025. Sentiment has been influenced by a recent quarterly dividend declaration of $0.83 per share and a new share repurchase program, alongside analyst adjustments on channel checks. Upcoming earnings are anticipated to show beats, bolstering stability in a dynamic operating landscape.
TKR Overview and Recent Performance
The Timken Company (TKR), based in North Canton, Ohio, designs and sells engineered bearings, lubrication systems, and power transmission products for industries including aerospace, automotive, and renewable energy. Recently, shares have hovered near $107, in a 52-week band of $62 to $111, driven by robust demand in key end-markets. Year-to-date performance reaches 28%, with one-year gains exceeding 67%, fueled by Q4 2025 revenue growth of 3.5% to $1.11 billion and EPS beats. Positive momentum stems from the acquisition of Bijur Delimon to enhance automated lubrication offerings and recognition as one of the world's most ethical companies. Analysts have mixed targets, but strong returns have lifted sentiment in recent weeks.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Both SWK and TKR thrive in industrials but diverge in business models: SWK targets consumer and professional tools with retail distribution, while TKR serves B2B markets via bearings and motion components for heavy machinery. Growth drivers differ, with TKR benefiting from infrastructure and renewables, contrasting SWK's exposure to housing cycles. Recent momentum favors TKR's 28% YTD surge over SWK's 7%, though SWK provides higher dividend yields for income trade-offs. Risk factors include cyclical demand for both, with SWK facing softer channels and TKR navigating tariffs. Market sentiment leans positive for TKR on acquisitions, versus SWK's capital returns focus.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI models would currently lean toward TKR based on stronger trend consistency, superior YTD and one-year momentum, and strategic catalysts like recent acquisitions, positioning it favorably relative to SWK in the industrial landscape. However, SWK appeals for stability and yield in risk-averse scenarios.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is SWK is a Hold and TKR is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
SWK’s FA Score shows that 3 FA rating(s) are green whileTKR’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- SWK’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
- TKR’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
SWK’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while TKR’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- SWK’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
- TKR’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
SWK (@Tools & Hardware) experienced а +1.78% price change this week, while TKR (@Tools & Hardware) price change was +2.05% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Tools & Hardware industry was +1.81%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +8.69%, and the average quarterly price growth was +17.63%.
Reported Earning Dates
SWK is expected to report earnings on Aug 04, 2026.
TKR is expected to report earnings on Aug 05, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Tools & Hardware (+1.81% weekly)Tools & Hardware industry includes companies that manufacture security products, storage cabinets, steel rules and tapes, calipers, shoe hook fasteners, lumber, structural materials and other related supplies. Stanley Black & Decker, Inc., Snap-on Incorporated and L.S. Starrett Company are some of the largest, established players in this industry. The industry is also seeing rapid growth in online sales. The proliferation of do-it-yourself (DIY) projects has boosted industry demand. But oil price volatility poses potential risks to this industry, particularly to e-commerce companies which spend on services of shipping companies, which might alter charges based on oil price movements.
| SWK | TKR | SWK / TKR | |
| Capitalization | 13.4B | 9.87B | 136% |
| EBITDA | 1.38B | 783M | 176% |
| Gain YTD | 18.741 | 69.843 | 27% |
| P/E Ratio | 35.37 | 32.27 | 110% |
| Revenue | 15.2B | 4.67B | 325% |
| Total Cash | N/A | 345M | - |
| Total Debt | 6.5B | 2.2B | 295% |
SWK | TKR | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 26 | 27 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 5 Undervalued | 80 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 100 | 26 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 87 | 72 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 12 | 37 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 30 | 10 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 90 | 13 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
SWK's Valuation (5) in the Tools And Hardware industry is significantly better than the same rating for TKR (80) in the Metal Fabrication industry. This means that SWK’s stock grew significantly faster than TKR’s over the last 12 months.
TKR's Profit vs Risk Rating (26) in the Metal Fabrication industry is significantly better than the same rating for SWK (100) in the Tools And Hardware industry. This means that TKR’s stock grew significantly faster than SWK’s over the last 12 months.
TKR's SMR Rating (72) in the Metal Fabrication industry is in the same range as SWK (87) in the Tools And Hardware industry. This means that TKR’s stock grew similarly to SWK’s over the last 12 months.
SWK's Price Growth Rating (12) in the Tools And Hardware industry is in the same range as TKR (37) in the Metal Fabrication industry. This means that SWK’s stock grew similarly to TKR’s over the last 12 months.
TKR's P/E Growth Rating (10) in the Metal Fabrication industry is in the same range as SWK (30) in the Tools And Hardware industry. This means that TKR’s stock grew similarly to SWK’s over the last 12 months.
| SWK | TKR | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 73% | 2 days ago 71% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 73% | 2 days ago 64% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 62% | 2 days ago 71% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 67% | 2 days ago 67% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 63% | 2 days ago 65% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 68% | 2 days ago 66% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 9 days ago 63% | 8 days ago 64% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 7 days ago 73% | 27 days ago 63% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 78% | 2 days ago 64% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 65% | 2 days ago 58% |
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SWK and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, SWK has been closely correlated with TKR. These tickers have moved in lockstep 74% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if SWK jumps, then TKR could also see price increases.