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SHEL vs XOM
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Shell plc (SHEL) vs. Exxon Mobil Corporation (XOM) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- SHEL and XOM both operate as integrated oil and gas majors with global upstream, downstream, and trading operations.
- In recent market activity, XOM delivered stronger year-to-date and trailing twelve-month total returns compared with SHEL.
- SHEL offers a higher trailing dividend yield while trading at a lower price-to-earnings multiple.
- XOM reports larger market capitalization, higher absolute earnings, and record production levels in key basins.
- Both stocks have benefited from energy sector stability, though relative performance has favored XOM over the past several weeks.
- Market sentiment reflects ongoing focus on production growth, cost discipline, and portfolio optimization for both companies.
Introduction
Shell plc (SHEL) and Exxon Mobil Corporation (XOM) represent two of the largest integrated energy companies, offering exposure to upstream exploration, refining, chemicals, and trading. Investors and traders seeking to understand relative performance within the energy sector often compare these names because of their scale, dividend profiles, and sensitivity to commodity prices and global demand. This comparison highlights recent price behavior, operational developments, and positioning that may interest those evaluating large-cap energy holdings for portfolio allocation or tactical trading decisions.
SHEL Overview and Recent Performance
Shell plc operates across upstream production, integrated gas, downstream refining, and renewables. In recent weeks the stock has shown steady gains, with year-to-date total return near 35 percent and trailing twelve-month performance around 39-40 percent. Recent market activity has been supported by portfolio adjustments, including consideration of asset sales in certain regions and expansion of power generation exposure. Strong second-quarter results and ongoing cost management have contributed to positive sentiment, though revenue growth has remained modest amid fluctuating energy prices.
XOM Overview and Recent Performance
Exxon Mobil Corporation focuses on upstream exploration and production, downstream refining, and chemicals, with significant positions in the Permian Basin and Guyana. The stock has posted robust recent performance, advancing to a year-to-date total return of approximately 41 percent and trailing twelve-month gains exceeding 52 percent. Recent market activity reflects record production levels, structural cost savings, and continued development of liquefied natural gas capacity. Earnings have remained resilient, supported by operational reliability and advantaged assets.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Shell plc and Exxon Mobil Corporation share integrated business models yet differ in scale and emphasis. XOM maintains a larger market capitalization and higher absolute earnings, while SHEL trades at a lower price-to-earnings ratio and provides a higher dividend yield. Growth drivers include XOM’s focus on Permian and Guyana production expansion versus SHEL’s portfolio optimization and power trading initiatives. Recent momentum has favored XOM on stronger total returns, although both face sector risks such as commodity price volatility and regulatory changes. Market sentiment remains constructive for energy majors, with investors weighing production reliability against capital allocation priorities.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors including stronger recent total returns, production records, and consistent upward price trajectory over multiple weeks, Tickeron’s AI would currently assign a higher probability of favorable near-term positioning to XOM. The assessment rests on relative trend consistency and operational catalysts rather than absolute predictions, acknowledging that market conditions can shift with energy prices and macroeconomic developments.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is SHEL is a StrongBuy and XOM is a StrongBuy.
SHEL | XOM | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 45 | 35 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 37 Fair valued | 63 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 4 | 6 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 58 | 62 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 40 | 42 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 83 | 21 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 85 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
SHEL's Valuation (37) in the null industry is in the same range as XOM (63) in the Integrated Oil industry. This means that SHEL’s stock grew similarly to XOM’s over the last 12 months.
SHEL's Profit vs Risk Rating (4) in the null industry is in the same range as XOM (6) in the Integrated Oil industry. This means that SHEL’s stock grew similarly to XOM’s over the last 12 months.
SHEL's SMR Rating (58) in the null industry is in the same range as XOM (62) in the Integrated Oil industry. This means that SHEL’s stock grew similarly to XOM’s over the last 12 months.
SHEL's Price Growth Rating (40) in the null industry is in the same range as XOM (42) in the Integrated Oil industry. This means that SHEL’s stock grew similarly to XOM’s over the last 12 months.
XOM's P/E Growth Rating (21) in the Integrated Oil industry is somewhat better than the same rating for SHEL (83) in the null industry. This means that XOM’s stock grew somewhat faster than SHEL’s over the last 12 months.
| SHEL | XOM | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 48% | 4 days ago 63% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 51% | 3 days ago 59% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 44% | 3 days ago 55% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 47% | 3 days ago 62% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 54% | 3 days ago 44% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 55% | 3 days ago 45% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 53% | 4 days ago 62% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 7 days ago 46% | 11 days ago 43% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 49% | N/A |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 55% | 3 days ago 66% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
SHEL’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green while XOM’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- SHEL’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- XOM’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
SHEL’s TA Score shows that 3 TA indicator(s) are bullish while XOM’s TA Score has 3 bullish TA indicator(s).
- SHEL’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 5 bearish.
- XOM’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
SHEL (@Integrated Oil) experienced а +1.31% price change this week, while XOM (@Integrated Oil) price change was -1.80% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Integrated Oil industry was -2.76%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +0.57%, and the average quarterly price growth was +0.82%.
Reported Earning Dates
SHEL is expected to report earnings on Oct 29, 2026.
XOM is expected to report earnings on Oct 23, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Integrated Oil (-2.76% weekly)Integrated oil companies are involved across nearly the entire oil value chain – from upstream operations like exploration and production, to downstream functions of refining and marketing. Exxon Mobil Corporation, Chevron Corporation and BP are major integrated oil companies. Their bottom lines’ response to crude oil prices could depend on the proportion of upstream vs. downstream businesses; for example, if a company has substantial downstream business, the adverse impact on their upstream business due to falling crude prices could be mitigated by benefits to its downstream business.
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SHEL and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, SHEL has been closely correlated with BP. These tickers have moved in lockstep 80% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if SHEL jumps, then BP could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To SHEL | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SHEL | 100% | +0.19% | ||
| BP - SHEL | 80% Closely correlated | -0.59% | ||
| E - SHEL | 73% Closely correlated | -0.60% | ||
| CRGY - SHEL | 71% Closely correlated | -2.01% | ||
| EQNR - SHEL | 71% Closely correlated | -2.27% | ||
| XOM - SHEL | 69% Closely correlated | -0.96% | ||
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XOM and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, XOM has been closely correlated with CVX. These tickers have moved in lockstep 83% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if XOM jumps, then CVX could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To XOM | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| XOM | 100% | -0.96% | ||
| CVX - XOM | 83% Closely correlated | -0.58% | ||
| EQNR - XOM | 74% Closely correlated | -2.27% | ||
| BP - XOM | 71% Closely correlated | -0.59% | ||
| CRGY - XOM | 69% Closely correlated | -2.01% | ||
| CVE - XOM | 69% Closely correlated | -1.12% | ||
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