Advertisement
SHEL vs XOM
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Shell plc (SHEL) vs. ExxonMobil (XOM) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Both SHEL and XOM have surged to multi-year or all-time highs in recent weeks, driven by elevated crude prices and record refining margins.
- SHEL trades at a lower valuation multiple and leans heavily on liquefied natural gas (LNG) and an integrated trading platform, while XOM commands a premium multiple and emphasizes upstream scale and downstream refining leverage.
- Relative performance has been broadly similar year to date, though XOM has shown stronger recent momentum while SHEL offers a higher dividend yield.
- Both companies face concentrated exposure to geopolitical risk in the Middle East and to the durability of commodity prices and refining spreads.
- Quarterly earnings reports landing in the same week make near-term volatility and catalyst-driven moves a key consideration for traders.
- For deeper coverage of headline developments and intraday movement, explore the SHEL Major News and SHEL Today's Price Move pages, as well as the XOM Major News and XOM Today's Price Move pages.
- To see how automated strategies are positioning across the energy sector, explore the Trending AI Robots section.
Introduction
Shell plc (SHEL) and ExxonMobil (XOM) are two of the world's largest integrated oil and gas majors, and both have delivered exceptional returns during a period of elevated energy prices and tight fuel markets. Comparing them is useful for investors seeking to weigh contrasting approaches to the same commodity cycle: Shell's emphasis on LNG, trading, and shareholder returns versus ExxonMobil's upstream scale, refining depth, and capital-discipline narrative. Energy-focused traders and long-term investors monitoring relative performance, valuation, and sector positioning may find this comparison particularly relevant as both companies report quarterly results in close succession.
SHEL Overview and Recent Performance
Shell plc is a globally diversified integrated energy company spanning upstream production, refining and marketing, chemicals, and a market-leading LNG franchise. In recent weeks, SHEL has traded near record highs, supported by crude prices that have climbed on Middle East supply disruption and by refining margins that management flagged as a record for the period. The company's integrated gas and trading operations have reinforced earnings resilience, and the completed acquisition of natural-gas-liquids producer ARC Resources has expanded its North American gas and LNG exposure. Sentiment has also been shaped by a consistent buyback program and a dividend increase, alongside attention to how record share levels position the stock ahead of its quarterly results.
XOM Overview and Recent Performance
ExxonMobil is one of the world's largest integrated energy and chemical companies, with substantial upstream production concentrated in the Permian Basin and Guyana and one of the industry's largest refining footprints. In recent weeks, XOM has climbed to 52-week and all-time highs, reflecting stronger oil prices and outsized exposure to sharply higher refining margins. The company has maintained disciplined capital spending while guiding toward roughly $20 billion in annual share buybacks. Recent institutional accumulation and analyst target-price revisions have underscored constructive sentiment, though the stock's premium valuation relative to peers has drawn scrutiny as it approaches its earnings report.
Trending AI Robots
Tickeron operates hundreds of AI trading bots that collectively monitor and trade thousands of different tickers, each with its own trading style, strategy, timeframe, performance history, and statistical profile. Because not every bot is suited to every market environment, Tickeron curates only the strongest and most relevant strategies in its Trending AI Robots section. This selection highlights bots whose recent performance and consistency align with current conditions, offering traders a focused way to review automated approaches rather than sorting through the full catalog. Visitors exploring the page can compare key metrics across featured robots and identify strategies that match their own trading objectives and risk tolerance.
Head-to-Head Comparison
The two companies diverge in several important ways. SHEL trades at a lower price-to-earnings multiple and a higher dividend yield, reflecting a valuation discount that analysts often attribute to its European listing and heavier emphasis on lower-multiple LNG and trading businesses. Its growth story is increasingly tied to gas, with LNG capacity expansion and recent acquisitions central to the narrative. In contrast, XOM commands a premium multiple supported by its scale in the Permian and Guyana, its much larger refining capacity, and a reputation for capital discipline. On risk, both carry concentrated exposure to oil-price durability and Middle East geopolitics, but ExxonMobil's greater refining leverage makes it more sensitive to fuel spreads, while Shell's trading platform can offset some commodity volatility. Recent momentum has favored XOM, even as SHEL has posted comparable full-year gains.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as trend consistency, relative strength, catalyst timing, and market positioning, Tickeron's AI would likely lean toward XOM in the current environment. The stock's more sustained momentum, its greater exposure to record refining margins, and consistent institutional inflows suggest stronger near-term trend alignment. However, this reflects a probabilistic assessment rather than a definitive outcome: SHEL retains advantages in valuation and dividend yield, and both stocks remain sensitive to the same commodity and geopolitical risks. The verdict could shift quickly as quarterly results and oil-price moves unfold.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is SHEL is a StrongBuy and XOM is a Hold.
SHEL's Stochastic Oscillator stays in oversold zone for 4 days
The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an uptrend is expected.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
Following a +3.33% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where SHEL advanced for three days, in 196 of 368 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 53%.
SHEL may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 223 of 349 cases where SHEL Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 64%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for SHEL moved out of overbought territory on November 02, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 32 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 14 of the 32 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 44%.
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on November 03, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on SHEL as a result. In 42 of 100 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 42%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for SHEL turned negative on November 02, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 46 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 20 of the 46 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 43%.
SHEL moved below its 50-day moving average on November 09, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where SHEL declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 44%.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 5 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 31, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 44 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. SHEL’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 58 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly weaker than average sales and a marginally profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 63 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.563) is normal, around the industry mean (1.508). P/E Ratio (10.841) is within average values for comparable stocks, (10.200). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.632) is also within normal values, averaging (1.088). Dividend Yield (0.032) settles around the average of (0.053) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.929) is also within normal values, averaging (3.764).
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 80 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
XOM sees MACD Histogram just turned negative
XOM saw its Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) turn negative on November 03, 2026. This is a bearish signal that suggests the stock could decline going forward. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 51 instances where the indicator turned negative. In 28 of the 51 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a downward move at 55%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for XOM moved out of overbought territory on November 02, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 41 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 20 of the 41 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 49%.
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on November 03, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on XOM as a result. In 47 of 92 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 51%.
XOM moved below its 50-day moving average on November 05, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where XOM declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 44%.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 4 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
Following a +2.87% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where XOM advanced for three days, in 232 of 371 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 63%.
XOM may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 190 of 312 cases where XOM Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 61%.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 5 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 31, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 18 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 45 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. XOM’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 62 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly weaker than average sales and a marginally profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 87 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: XOM's P/B Ratio (2.630) is slightly higher than the industry average of (1.508). XOM has a moderately high P/E Ratio (21.347) as compared to the industry average of (10.200). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.392) is also within normal values, averaging (1.088). Dividend Yield (0.025) settles around the average of (0.053) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.911) is also within normal values, averaging (3.764).
SHEL | XOM | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 71 | 82 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 63 Fair valued | 87 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 5 | 5 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 58 | 62 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 44 | 45 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 80 | 18 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 30 | 85 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
SHEL's Valuation (63) in the null industry is in the same range as XOM (87) in the Integrated Oil industry. This means that SHEL’s stock grew similarly to XOM’s over the last 12 months.
SHEL's Profit vs Risk Rating (5) in the null industry is in the same range as XOM (5) in the Integrated Oil industry. This means that SHEL’s stock grew similarly to XOM’s over the last 12 months.
SHEL's SMR Rating (58) in the null industry is in the same range as XOM (62) in the Integrated Oil industry. This means that SHEL’s stock grew similarly to XOM’s over the last 12 months.
SHEL's Price Growth Rating (44) in the null industry is in the same range as XOM (45) in the Integrated Oil industry. This means that SHEL’s stock grew similarly to XOM’s over the last 12 months.
XOM's P/E Growth Rating (18) in the Integrated Oil industry is somewhat better than the same rating for SHEL (80) in the null industry. This means that XOM’s stock grew somewhat faster than SHEL’s over the last 12 months.
| SHEL | XOM | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 44% | 2 days ago 49% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 67% | 2 days ago 60% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 42% | 2 days ago 51% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 43% | 2 days ago 55% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 40% | 2 days ago 43% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 40% | 2 days ago 43% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 13 days ago 53% | 13 days ago 63% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 44% | 2 days ago 44% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 63% | 2 days ago 71% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 64% | 2 days ago 61% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
SHEL’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green while XOM’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- SHEL’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- XOM’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
SHEL’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while XOM’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- SHEL’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
- XOM’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
SHEL (@Integrated Oil) experienced а -6.65% price change this week, while XOM (@Integrated Oil) price change was -7.32% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Integrated Oil industry was -4.64%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -11.24%, and the average quarterly price growth was -4.33%.
Reported Earning Dates
SHEL is expected to report earnings on Feb 04, 2027.
XOM is expected to report earnings on Feb 02, 2027.
Industries' Descriptions
@Integrated Oil (-4.64% weekly)Integrated oil companies are involved across nearly the entire oil value chain – from upstream operations like exploration and production, to downstream functions of refining and marketing. Exxon Mobil Corporation, Chevron Corporation and BP are major integrated oil companies. Their bottom lines’ response to crude oil prices could depend on the proportion of upstream vs. downstream businesses; for example, if a company has substantial downstream business, the adverse impact on their upstream business due to falling crude prices could be mitigated by benefits to its downstream business.
Advertisement
SHEL and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, SHEL has been closely correlated with BP. These tickers have moved in lockstep 82% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if SHEL jumps, then BP could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To SHEL | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SHEL | 100% | -1.63% | ||
| BP - SHEL | 82% Closely correlated | -0.02% | ||
| E - SHEL | 76% Closely correlated | -1.41% | ||
| TTE - SHEL | 74% Closely correlated | -0.14% | ||
| CRGY - SHEL | 71% Closely correlated | +1.46% | ||
| EQNR - SHEL | 71% Closely correlated | -1.07% | ||
More | ||||
XOM and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, XOM has been closely correlated with CVX. These tickers have moved in lockstep 83% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if XOM jumps, then CVX could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To XOM | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| XOM | 100% | -0.16% | ||
| CVX - XOM | 83% Closely correlated | +0.21% | ||
| EQNR - XOM | 75% Closely correlated | -1.07% | ||
| BP - XOM | 73% Closely correlated | -0.02% | ||
| CVE - XOM | 71% Closely correlated | +0.29% | ||
| SHEL - XOM | 70% Closely correlated | -1.63% | ||
More | ||||