SMH
Price
$576.63
Change
-$11.49 (-1.95%)
Updated
Oct 14, 11:20 AM (EDT)
Net Assets
73.23B
Intraday BUY SELL Signals
SOXQ
Price
$94.10
Change
-$1.93 (-2.01%)
Updated
Oct 14, 11:20 AM (EDT)
Net Assets
3.18B
Intraday BUY SELL Signals
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SMH vs SOXQ

SMH vs SOXQ Comparison Chart in %
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A.I.Advisor
Oct 06, 2026

Which ETF would AI Choose? VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH) vs. Invesco PHLX Semiconductor Sector ETF (SOXQ)

Key Takeaways

  • Both ETFs provide targeted exposure to the semiconductor industry through passive indexing strategies, with nearly identical sector allocations of 100% technology.
  • VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH) tracks the MVIS US Listed Semiconductor 25 Index with approximately 25–27 holdings and a higher expense ratio of 0.35%, resulting in greater concentration in top positions such as NVDA.
  • Invesco PHLX Semiconductor Sector ETF (SOXQ) follows the PHLX Semiconductor Sector Index with roughly 30–31 holdings and a lower expense ratio of 0.19%, offering marginally broader diversification within the sector.
  • SMH tends to exhibit higher concentration risk due to its smaller number of holdings and greater weighting in leading names, while SOXQ provides a slightly more balanced allocation across similar semiconductor companies.
  • Both funds are non-diversified, purely passive vehicles suited for investors seeking thematic exposure to semiconductor design, manufacturing, and equipment without leverage or active management.
  • Cost efficiency and minor differences in index construction represent the primary structural distinctions, influencing long-term relative positioning in market cycles driven by technology spending and chip demand.

Introduction

The semiconductor sector remains central to global technology infrastructure, powering advancements in artificial intelligence, computing, and electronics. Investors often compare VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH) and Invesco PHLX Semiconductor Sector ETF (SOXQ) because both deliver concentrated exposure to this theme through established indices. These ETFs do not compete directly with broader market funds but serve as specialized tools for those targeting semiconductor performance. Their structural similarities allow for a clear evaluation of index methodology, costs, and diversification profiles in the current environment of sustained technology investment.

VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH) Overview

VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH) is a passive exchange-traded fund launched in 2011 that seeks to replicate the MVIS US Listed Semiconductor 25 Index. The index focuses on the 25 largest and most liquid U.S.-listed companies deriving significant revenue from semiconductors or related equipment. The fund typically holds 25–27 securities, with the top 10 positions accounting for approximately 67–71% of assets. Prominent holdings often include NVDA, TSM, AMD, AVGO, and MU. Allocations are 100% in the technology sector, with notable geographic exposure to the United States and select international issuers listed on U.S. exchanges. The expense ratio stands at 0.35%. As a non-diversified, market-capitalization-weighted passive vehicle, SMH emphasizes liquidity and industry leadership without active stock selection or rebalancing beyond index rules.

Invesco PHLX Semiconductor Sector ETF (SOXQ) Overview

Invesco PHLX Semiconductor Sector ETF (SOXQ) is a passive exchange-traded fund launched in 2021 that aims to track the PHLX Semiconductor Sector Index. This modified market-capitalization-weighted index measures the performance of the 30 largest U.S.-listed semiconductor companies engaged in design, distribution, manufacture, and sale of semiconductors. The fund generally maintains 30–31 holdings, with the top 10 representing a substantial but typically lower concentration than more narrowly focused peers. Key positions frequently feature NVDA, AVGO, MU, AMD, and INTC. The portfolio is 100% technology, with primary exposure to U.S. issuers. The expense ratio is 0.19%. As a non-diversified passive strategy, SOXQ employs quarterly rebalancing and annual reconstitution aligned with its index methodology, prioritizing cost efficiency and broad representation within the sector.

Industry and Thematic Backdrop

The semiconductor industry operates within a dynamic environment shaped by accelerating demand for advanced chips in artificial intelligence applications, data centers, and consumer electronics. Capital expenditures by major technology firms continue to support growth in design and manufacturing segments. Macroeconomic factors such as interest rate trajectories and global supply chain stability influence capital flows into the sector. Regulatory developments around export controls and trade policies introduce periodic volatility, while innovation cycles in process technology and new architectures drive long-term momentum. Both ETFs remain positioned to capture these thematic drivers without exposure to unrelated industries.

Performance and Positioning Comparison

In recent market cycles, both ETFs have demonstrated strong alignment with semiconductor earnings trends and technology spending patterns. SMH, with its higher concentration, has shown amplified sensitivity to movements in leading holdings during periods of robust chip demand. SOXQ, featuring a marginally wider set of constituents and lower costs, has offered a more tempered response in volatile environments while maintaining close tracking to sector benchmarks. Relative positioning favors cost-conscious investors in extended holding periods, as expense differentials compound over time. Broader factors including earnings growth in top companies and shifts in investor sentiment toward growth-oriented technology have influenced both funds similarly across recent weeks and months.

AI Screener

Tickeron’s AI Screener is an AI-powered stock and ETF discovery tool that helps traders and investors filter the market based on technical patterns, fundamentals, trends, volatility, and AI-driven signals. Users can scan thousands of stocks and ETFs using customizable filters such as industry, market capitalization, technical indicators, price patterns, and performance metrics. The screener helps identify trade ideas, trending stocks, breakout candidates, and market opportunities more efficiently than manual screening. Investors seeking semiconductor-themed ideas may find it useful for refining exposure within this dynamic sector.

Tickeron AI Verdict

Based on observable structural factors, Tickeron’s AI would likely assign a modest edge to Invesco PHLX Semiconductor Sector ETF (SOXQ) in probabilistic terms. Its lower expense ratio supports greater cost efficiency over multi-year horizons, while the slightly broader holdings profile reduces single-name concentration relative to VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH). Both funds exhibit comparable thematic alignment and sector momentum, yet the combination of lower fees and adequate diversification tilts the assessment toward SOXQ for investors prioritizing structural resilience alongside semiconductor exposure.

Disclaimer

The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.

Disclaimers and Limitations

VS
SMH vs. SOXQ commentary
Oct 14, 2026

To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is SMH is a Hold and SOXQ is a Hold.

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SUMMARIES
A.I.Advisor
a Summary for SMH with price predictions
Oct 13, 2026

Momentum Indicator for SMH turns negative, indicating new downward trend

SMH saw its Momentum Indicator move below the 0 level on October 09, 2026. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new downward move. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 80 similar instances where the indicator turned negative. In 73 of the 80 cases, the stock moved further down in the following days. The odds of a decline are at 90%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for SMH moved out of overbought territory on October 07, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 46 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 39 of the 46 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 85%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for SMH turned negative on October 09, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 50 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 43 of the 50 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 86%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where SMH declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 81%.

SMH broke above its upper Bollinger Band on September 21, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 1 day, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.

SMH moved above its 50-day moving average on September 18, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

The 10-day moving average for SMH crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on September 22, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 16 of 17 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.

Following a +2.60% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where SMH advanced for three days, in 328 of 358 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 302 of 323 cases where SMH Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 90%.

A.I.Advisor
a Summary for SOXQ with price predictions
Oct 13, 2026

SOXQ in downward trend: price may drop because broke its higher Bollinger Band on September 21, 2026

SOXQ broke above its upper Bollinger Band on September 21, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 47 similar instances where the stock broke above the upper band. In 42 of the 47 cases the stock fell afterwards. This puts the odds of success at 89%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for SOXQ moved out of overbought territory on October 07, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 39 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 29 of the 39 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 74%.

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 09, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on SOXQ as a result. In 76 of 87 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 87%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for SOXQ turned negative on October 12, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 52 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 46 of the 52 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 88%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where SOXQ declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 82%.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 1 day, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.

SOXQ moved above its 50-day moving average on September 18, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

The 10-day moving average for SOXQ crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on September 23, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 14 of 15 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.

Following a +0.60% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where SOXQ advanced for three days, in 308 of 347 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 89%.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 288 of 308 cases where SOXQ Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 90%.

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Technical Analysis
SMHSOXQ
RSI
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
85%
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
74%
Stochastic
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
90%
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
87%
Momentum
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
90%
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
87%
MACD
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
86%
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
88%
TrendWeek
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
87%
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
87%
TrendMonth
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
90%
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
90%
Advances
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 10 days ago
90%
Bullish Trend 9 days ago
89%
Declines
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
81%
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
82%
BollingerBands
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
82%
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
89%
Aroon
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
90%
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
90%
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SMH
Daily Signal:
Gain/Loss:
SOXQ
Daily Signal:
Gain/Loss:
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SMH and

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, SMH has been closely correlated with LRCX. These tickers have moved in lockstep 89% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if SMH jumps, then LRCX could also see price increases.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To SMH
1D Price
Change %
SMH100%
-0.49%
LRCX - SMH
89%
Closely correlated
-2.73%
AMAT - SMH
86%
Closely correlated
-6.69%
KLAC - SMH
85%
Closely correlated
-3.22%
TSM - SMH
84%
Closely correlated
+0.17%
ASML - SMH
84%
Closely correlated
-1.86%
More

SOXQ and

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, SOXQ has been closely correlated with LRCX. These tickers have moved in lockstep 89% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if SOXQ jumps, then LRCX could also see price increases.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To SOXQ
1D Price
Change %
SOXQ100%
-0.28%
LRCX - SOXQ
89%
Closely correlated
-2.73%
NVMI - SOXQ
87%
Closely correlated
+0.56%
AMAT - SOXQ
86%
Closely correlated
-6.69%
KLAC - SOXQ
85%
Closely correlated
-3.22%
ENTG - SOXQ
84%
Closely correlated
+0.72%
More