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SOFI vs UPST
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is SOFI is a Hold and UPST is a Hold.
SOFI's Indicator enters downward trend
The Aroon Indicator for SOFI entered a downward trend on October 23, 2026. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor identified a pattern where the AroonDown red line was above 70 while the AroonUp green line was below 30 for three straight days. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. A.I.dvisor looked at 196 similar instances where the Aroon Indicator formed such a pattern. In 169 of the 196 cases the stock moved lower. This puts the odds of a downward move at 86%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where SOFI declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 82%.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where SOFI's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, 21 of 26 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 81%.
The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 53 of 61 cases where SOFI's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 87%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for SOFI just turned positive on October 23, 2026. Looking at past instances where SOFI's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 42 of 52 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 81%.
Following a +4.20% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where SOFI advanced for three days, in 236 of 288 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 82%.
SOFI may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 9 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 77 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. SOFI’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 89 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.686) is normal, around the industry mean (3.711). SOFI has a moderately high P/E Ratio (27.808) as compared to the industry average of (5.636). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.563) is also within normal values, averaging (3.918). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.175) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (5.249) is also within normal values, averaging (5.901).
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 89 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 95 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. SOFI’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 80, placing this stock worse than average.
Momentum Indicator for UPST turns negative, indicating new downward trend
UPST saw its Momentum Indicator move below the 0 level on October 19, 2026. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new downward move. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 84 similar instances where the indicator turned negative. In 77 of the 84 cases, the stock moved further down in the following days. The odds of a decline are at 90%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where UPST declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 90%.
The Aroon Indicator for UPST entered a downward trend on October 23, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where UPST's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, 31 of 36 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 86%.
The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 47 of 57 cases where UPST's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 82%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for UPST just turned positive on October 05, 2026. Looking at past instances where UPST's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 40 of 42 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.
Following a +0.85% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where UPST advanced for three days, in 235 of 279 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 84%.
UPST may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 35 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 76 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. UPST’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 85 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.807) is normal, around the industry mean (3.711). UPST has a moderately high P/E Ratio (36.508) as compared to the industry average of (5.636). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.040) is also within normal values, averaging (3.918). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.175) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (2.160) is also within normal values, averaging (5.901).
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 96 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. UPST’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 80, placing this stock worse than average.
SOFI | UPST | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 50 | 50 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 89 Overvalued | 85 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 100 | 100 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 9 | 35 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 77 | 76 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 89 | 96 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 90 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
UPST's Valuation (85) in the null industry is in the same range as SOFI (89). This means that UPST’s stock grew similarly to SOFI’s over the last 12 months.
UPST's Profit vs Risk Rating (100) in the null industry is in the same range as SOFI (100). This means that UPST’s stock grew similarly to SOFI’s over the last 12 months.
SOFI's SMR Rating (9) in the null industry is in the same range as UPST (35). This means that SOFI’s stock grew similarly to UPST’s over the last 12 months.
UPST's Price Growth Rating (76) in the null industry is in the same range as SOFI (77). This means that UPST’s stock grew similarly to SOFI’s over the last 12 months.
SOFI's P/E Growth Rating (89) in the null industry is in the same range as UPST (96). This means that SOFI’s stock grew similarly to UPST’s over the last 12 months.
| SOFI | UPST | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 81% | 4 days ago 86% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 87% | 4 days ago 82% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | N/A | 4 days ago 90% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 81% | 4 days ago 90% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 82% | 4 days ago 85% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 85% | 4 days ago 88% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 6 days ago 82% | 5 days ago 84% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 82% | 8 days ago 90% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 86% | 4 days ago 77% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 86% | 4 days ago 86% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
SOFI’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green while UPST’s FA Score has 0 green FA rating(s).
- SOFI’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- UPST’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
SOFI’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while UPST’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- SOFI’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 2 bearish.
- UPST’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 3 bearish.
Price Growth
SOFI (@Savings Banks) experienced а +0.45% price change this week, while UPST (@Savings Banks) price change was +0.93% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Savings Banks industry was -2.02%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -6.53%, and the average quarterly price growth was -9.50%.
Reported Earning Dates
SOFI is expected to report earnings on Oct 27, 2026.
UPST is expected to report earnings on Nov 03, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Savings Banks (-2.02% weekly)A savings bank primary function is to take deposits and paying interest on those deposits. Originating in Europe during the 18th century, these banks were generally introduced to incentivize people of all stripes to save money and park them with banks. By the 1990s, the internet ushered in online savings banks that allowed savers to deposit/transact with banks digitally, without requiring to visit a branch office. Savings banks have potentially encouraged lower-income population to save and have access to a financial institution to earn interest on their money. New York Community Bancorp, Inc, Webster Financial Corporation, Washington Federal, Inc. are examples of savings banks.
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SOFI and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, SOFI has been closely correlated with UPST. These tickers have moved in lockstep 69% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if SOFI jumps, then UPST could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To SOFI | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SOFI | 100% | -1.05% | ||
| UPST - SOFI | 69% Closely correlated | -0.29% | ||
| AFRM - SOFI | 61% Loosely correlated | -3.20% | ||
| URI - SOFI | 60% Loosely correlated | -1.09% | ||
| HAPN - SOFI | 57% Loosely correlated | -2.86% | ||
| AER - SOFI | 55% Loosely correlated | -1.19% | ||
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UPST and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, UPST has been closely correlated with AFRM. These tickers have moved in lockstep 73% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if UPST jumps, then AFRM could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To UPST | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| UPST | 100% | -0.29% | ||
| AFRM - UPST | 73% Closely correlated | -3.20% | ||
| SOFI - UPST | 69% Closely correlated | -1.05% | ||
| OMF - UPST | 54% Loosely correlated | -2.43% | ||
| HAPN - UPST | 54% Loosely correlated | -2.86% | ||
| COF - UPST | 52% Loosely correlated | -1.03% | ||
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