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GGG vs SWK
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Graco Inc. (GGG) vs. Stanley Black & Decker, Inc. (SWK) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Graco Inc. (GGG) and Stanley Black & Decker, Inc. (SWK) both serve the industrial sector but differ in focus: fluid handling systems versus power tools and fasteners.
- GGG trades at a lower P/E (price-to-earnings) ratio of 26.66 compared to SWK's 29.66, with higher EPS (earnings per share) of $3.06 versus $2.65.
- SWK shows stronger YTD (year-to-date) performance at 6.98% return, outperforming GGG's 0.20%.
- Recent market activity for GGG reflects Q1 earnings miss amid construction softness; SWK awaits Q1 results with dividend and repurchase announcements.
- Market caps are closely matched: GGG at $13.54B and SWK at $12.21B.
- Tickeron's comparison tool views GGG as a stronger long-term buy relative to SWK.
Introduction
In today's dynamic industrial sector, Graco Inc. (GGG) and Stanley Black & Decker, Inc. (SWK) stand out as established providers of specialized equipment and tools. This stock comparison evaluates their business models, recent performance, and market positioning amid shifting economic conditions like tariffs and construction trends. Traders seeking relative value in industrials and long-term investors assessing stability will find insights into momentum, risks, and growth drivers relevant for portfolio decisions.
GGG Overview and Recent Performance
Graco Inc. (GGG) designs, manufactures, and markets systems for moving, measuring, mixing, controlling, dispensing, and spraying fluid and powder materials. Operating through Contractor, Industrial, and Expansion Markets segments, it serves applications from painting and coatings to semiconductor pumps and oil/gas valves, with a global footprint headquartered in Minneapolis, Minnesota.
In recent market activity, GGG shares have hovered near the lower end of their 52-week range (78.87–95.69), reflecting a YTD return of 0.20%. Key influences include Q1 2026 earnings that missed estimates (EPS $0.66 vs. $0.74 expected, revenue $540.14M), attributed to tariffs, project timing delays, and softness in construction. Analyst sentiment remains neutral, with price targets adjusted lower around $92–93, signaling cautious positioning amid cyclical pressures.
SWK Overview and Recent Performance
Stanley Black & Decker, Inc. (SWK) supplies hand tools, power tools, outdoor products, and industrial fasteners across Tools & Outdoor and Industrial segments. Brands like DEWALT, CRAFTSMAN, and STANLEY reach professionals and consumers globally, with sales through retailers and distributors from its base in New Britain, Connecticut.
Recent weeks have seen SWK shares amid their 52-week range (58.23–93.37), bolstered by a YTD gain of 6.98%. Developments include a 2nd quarter 2026 dividend declaration and new share repurchase authorization, offsetting concerns from weak channel checks in residential products. Analysts hold a neutral stance, trimming price targets to around $82 ahead of Q1 earnings on April 29, 2026, with focus on margin goals and strategy clarity.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
GGG and SWK share industrial exposure but diverge in models: GGG's niche in fluid/powder systems targets specialized contractor and expansion markets like semiconductors, while SWK's broader portfolio spans consumer/professional tools and fasteners for automotive/aerospace.
Growth drivers contrast with GGG's reliance on industrial coatings and high-pressure valves versus SWK's DEWALT-led power tools and outdoor segment. Recent momentum favors SWK's YTD gains, but GGG offers relative stability near multi-year highs in EPS. Risks include cyclical construction/end-markets for both, with GGG facing tariffs and SWK residential softness. Sentiment is balanced neutral, with similar market caps underscoring trade-offs in valuation and volatility.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron's AI tools, including comparison analysis, currently favor GGG over SWK for long-term positioning, citing superior trend consistency and fundamentals like lower P/E and higher EPS amid stable market cap. While SWK's momentum provides shorter-term appeal, GGG's relative resilience suggests higher probability of outperformance in steady industrial recovery.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is GGG is a Buy and SWK is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
GGG’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileSWK’s FA Score has 3 green FA rating(s).
- GGG’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- SWK’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
GGG’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while SWK’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- GGG’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 3 bearish.
- SWK’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
GGG (@Industrial Machinery) experienced а +0.48% price change this week, while SWK (@Tools & Hardware) price change was +1.78% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Industrial Machinery industry was +1.96%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +6.28%, and the average quarterly price growth was +10.97%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Tools & Hardware industry was +1.81%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +8.69%, and the average quarterly price growth was +17.63%.
Reported Earning Dates
GGG is expected to report earnings on Jul 29, 2026.
SWK is expected to report earnings on Aug 04, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Industrial Machinery (+1.96% weekly)The industry makes and maintains machines for consumers, the industry, and most other companies. While it has traditionally been categorized as heavy industry, some smaller companies are also branching into the light category. The industry is pivotal in providing the equipment for production in businesses like agriculture, mining, industry and construction, gas, electricity and water utilities. It also supplies supporting equipment for almost all sectors of the economy, such as equipment for heating, and air conditioning of buildings. Illinois Tool Works Inc., Parker-Hannifin Corporation and Rockwell Automation Inc are some of the major U.S. companies operating in this industry.
@Tools & Hardware (+1.81% weekly)Tools & Hardware industry includes companies that manufacture security products, storage cabinets, steel rules and tapes, calipers, shoe hook fasteners, lumber, structural materials and other related supplies. Stanley Black & Decker, Inc., Snap-on Incorporated and L.S. Starrett Company are some of the largest, established players in this industry. The industry is also seeing rapid growth in online sales. The proliferation of do-it-yourself (DIY) projects has boosted industry demand. But oil price volatility poses potential risks to this industry, particularly to e-commerce companies which spend on services of shipping companies, which might alter charges based on oil price movements.
| GGG | SWK | GGG / SWK | |
| Capitalization | 12.5B | 13.4B | 93% |
| EBITDA | 744M | 1.38B | 54% |
| Gain YTD | -7.257 | 18.741 | -39% |
| P/E Ratio | 24.68 | 35.37 | 70% |
| Revenue | 2.25B | 15.2B | 15% |
| Total Cash | 712M | N/A | - |
| Total Debt | 52.9M | 6.5B | 1% |
GGG | SWK | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 14 | 26 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 25 Undervalued | 5 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 83 | 100 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 46 | 87 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 60 | 12 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 70 | 30 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 90 | 90 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
SWK's Valuation (5) in the Tools And Hardware industry is in the same range as GGG (25) in the Industrial Machinery industry. This means that SWK’s stock grew similarly to GGG’s over the last 12 months.
GGG's Profit vs Risk Rating (83) in the Industrial Machinery industry is in the same range as SWK (100) in the Tools And Hardware industry. This means that GGG’s stock grew similarly to SWK’s over the last 12 months.
GGG's SMR Rating (46) in the Industrial Machinery industry is somewhat better than the same rating for SWK (87) in the Tools And Hardware industry. This means that GGG’s stock grew somewhat faster than SWK’s over the last 12 months.
SWK's Price Growth Rating (12) in the Tools And Hardware industry is somewhat better than the same rating for GGG (60) in the Industrial Machinery industry. This means that SWK’s stock grew somewhat faster than GGG’s over the last 12 months.
SWK's P/E Growth Rating (30) in the Tools And Hardware industry is somewhat better than the same rating for GGG (70) in the Industrial Machinery industry. This means that SWK’s stock grew somewhat faster than GGG’s over the last 12 months.
| GGG | SWK | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 54% | 2 days ago 73% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 56% | 2 days ago 73% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 46% | 2 days ago 62% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 61% | 2 days ago 67% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 49% | 2 days ago 63% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 46% | 2 days ago 68% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 8 days ago 49% | 9 days ago 63% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 23 days ago 53% | 7 days ago 73% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 66% | 2 days ago 78% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 52% | 2 days ago 65% |
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GGG and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, GGG has been closely correlated with LECO. These tickers have moved in lockstep 74% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if GGG jumps, then LECO could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To GGG | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GGG | 100% | -0.68% | ||
| LECO - GGG | 74% Closely correlated | -0.25% | ||
| ITW - GGG | 73% Closely correlated | +0.46% | ||
| AOS - GGG | 72% Closely correlated | +0.81% | ||
| NDSN - GGG | 72% Closely correlated | -0.29% | ||
| ROP - GGG | 72% Closely correlated | -1.56% | ||
More | ||||
SWK and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, SWK has been closely correlated with TKR. These tickers have moved in lockstep 74% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if SWK jumps, then TKR could also see price increases.