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TGT vs WMT
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Target Corporation (TGT) vs. Walmart Inc. (WMT) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- TGT shares have delivered stronger YTD returns of approximately 21%, outpacing WMT's 13% amid recent market volatility.
- WMT boasts superior long-term performance with 49% one-year gains and a market cap exceeding $1 trillion, reflecting its scale advantages.
- Valuation contrasts sharply: TGT trades at a trailing P/E of 14.4 versus WMT's 46.2, offering value for relative performance seekers.
- Recent catalysts include TGT's price cuts on thousands of items and new store expansions, while WMT highlights international growth and dividend hikes.
- Both stocks show resilience in consumer staples, but WMT benefits from broader diversification including e-commerce and advertising.
- Tickeron's AI bots feature strategies trading WMT, signaling algorithmic interest in its stability.
Introduction
Target Corporation (TGT) and Walmart Inc. (WMT) stand as pillars of the U.S. retail sector, competing in big-box merchandising with distinct strategies—TGT emphasizing stylish, affordable assortments and WMT leveraging everyday low prices and global scale. This stock comparison analyzes their recent market positioning, performance metrics, and growth drivers in the current environment of shifting consumer spending and inflation pressures. Traders seeking momentum plays and investors eyeing value or stability will find insights into relative performance, sentiment, and sector dynamics relevant for portfolio decisions.
TGT Overview and Recent Performance
Target Corporation (TGT), a leading general merchandise retailer, operates over 1,900 stores focused on apparel, home goods, and groceries with a trendy edge. In recent market activity, TGT shares have traded around $117, with a market cap of $53 billion and a trailing P/E of 14.4. The stock has posted robust YTD gains of 21%, rebounding from a 52-week low of $83 amid broader recovery. Sentiment has improved following Q4 earnings that beat EPS estimates at $2.44, despite a 2.5% comparable sales dip, thanks to gross margin expansion and cost controls. Recent weeks highlight price reductions on 3,000 items to counter inflation's drag on spending, alongside new store tests and same-day fulfillment enhancements, bolstering turnaround efforts and analyst targets up to $140.
WMT Overview and Recent Performance
Walmart Inc. (WMT), the world's largest retailer, spans supermarkets, discount stores, and e-commerce across 24 countries. Shares hover near $126, supported by a $1 trillion market cap and a trailing P/E of 46.2. Recent performance includes 13% YTD returns and 49% over one year, with a 52-week range from $80 to $135, underscoring stability. International sales strength and partnerships like Build-A-Bear wholesale debuts have driven momentum, complemented by dividend increases. Q4 results showed revenue growth to $713 billion annually, with advertising up 46%, though operating margins faced slight pressure. Analyst optimism persists with targets to $150, fueled by omnichannel gains and market share in groceries.
Trending AI Robots
Tickeron’s Trending AI Robots page curates 25 top-performing AI trading bots from a library of 351, tailored for copy trading stocks, ETFs, and crypto amid volatile conditions. These bots deliver real-time signals via diverse strategies like trend following, dip buying, and sector momentum, with annualized returns ranging 17% to 208%, win rates from 53% to 95%, and profit factors up to 5. Timeframes span minutes to months, targeting high-growth areas such as semiconductors, energy, and consumer staples. Notably, one bot trades WMT with 25% annualized returns and 73% win rate. Explore these elite performers to align AI-driven insights with your strategy.
Head-to-Head Comparison
TGT and WMT share consumer staples exposure but diverge in business models: TGT's upscale, U.S.-centric focus contrasts WMT's value-oriented global empire with e-commerce and advertising streams. Growth drivers favor WMT's 5% quarterly revenue rise and international momentum, while TGT pursues recovery via pricing and fulfillment innovations. Recent momentum tilts to TGT YTD, but WMT leads longer-term with lower beta (0.66 vs. 1.11), signaling less risk. Sentiment reflects WMT's scale resilience against economic headwinds, though TGT's cheaper valuation offers trade-offs for higher yield potential.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI leans toward WMT in the current environment, citing its trend consistency, lower volatility, international catalysts, and dominant market positioning. While TGT shows short-term outperformance and attractive valuation, WMT's scale and diversified revenue streams position it probabilistically stronger for sustained relative strength.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full Disclaimers and Limitations.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is TGT is a Hold and WMT is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
TGT’s FA Score shows that 3 FA rating(s) are green whileWMT’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- TGT’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
- WMT’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
TGT’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while WMT’s TA Score has 6 bullish TA indicator(s).
- TGT’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
- WMT’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
TGT (@Discount Stores) experienced а -1.30% price change this week, while WMT (@Discount Stores) price change was +1.93% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Discount Stores industry was -2.01%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -2.99%, and the average quarterly price growth was +5.57%.
Reported Earning Dates
TGT is expected to report earnings on May 20, 2026.
WMT is expected to report earnings on May 21, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Discount Stores (-2.01% weekly)Companies in the discount stores industry specialize in offering substantial discounts on a vast array of retail products. Some companies in this industry also operate general merchandise warehouse clubs. Products sold at discount stores are typically similar to those of any department store, but the pricing of the goods is generally much lower (and hence the name “discount”). Think Dollar General Corporation, Dollar Tree, Inc. and Five Below, Inc. Many discount stores target low-income households and/or price-sensitive consumers as their potential market. Discount stores’ profitability could hinge on factors like competitive pricing, sufficient locations, healthy revenue per square foot, and effective advertisement. These store operators could have an edge over other retailers during financial crises or recessions, when many consumers could be looking for less expensive alternatives.
| TGT | WMT | TGT / WMT | |
| Capitalization | 55.9B | 1.06T | 5% |
| EBITDA | 8.35B | 46.5B | 18% |
| Gain YTD | 28.395 | 19.365 | 147% |
| P/E Ratio | 15.14 | 48.52 | 31% |
| Revenue | 105B | 713B | 15% |
| Total Cash | 250M | N/A | - |
| Total Debt | 20.3B | 67.1B | 30% |
TGT | WMT | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 77 | 25 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 28 Undervalued | 93 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 100 | 7 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 40 | 42 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 22 | 45 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 20 | 30 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | n/a | 55 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
TGT's Valuation (28) in the Specialty Stores industry is somewhat better than the same rating for WMT (93). This means that TGT’s stock grew somewhat faster than WMT’s over the last 12 months.
WMT's Profit vs Risk Rating (7) in the Specialty Stores industry is significantly better than the same rating for TGT (100). This means that WMT’s stock grew significantly faster than TGT’s over the last 12 months.
TGT's SMR Rating (40) in the Specialty Stores industry is in the same range as WMT (42). This means that TGT’s stock grew similarly to WMT’s over the last 12 months.
TGT's Price Growth Rating (22) in the Specialty Stores industry is in the same range as WMT (45). This means that TGT’s stock grew similarly to WMT’s over the last 12 months.
TGT's P/E Growth Rating (20) in the Specialty Stores industry is in the same range as WMT (30). This means that TGT’s stock grew similarly to WMT’s over the last 12 months.
| TGT | WMT | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 81% | 2 days ago 42% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 69% | 2 days ago 29% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 65% | 2 days ago 64% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 80% | 2 days ago 61% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 68% | 2 days ago 56% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 68% | 2 days ago 55% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 67% | 2 days ago 57% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 5 days ago 63% | 12 days ago 34% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 63% | 2 days ago 41% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 60% | 2 days ago 53% |
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TGT and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, TGT has been loosely correlated with DLTR. These tickers have moved in lockstep 33% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if TGT jumps, then DLTR could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To TGT | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TGT | 100% | +1.32% | ||
| DLTR - TGT | 33% Loosely correlated | +3.65% | ||
| DG - TGT | 29% Poorly correlated | +3.24% | ||
| OLLI - TGT | 28% Poorly correlated | +6.09% | ||
| PSMT - TGT | 25% Poorly correlated | +1.03% | ||
| COST - TGT | 25% Poorly correlated | +0.79% | ||
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