Since its founding in 1962, Walmart has become the world’s largest retailer, operating over 10,700 stores globally (including 4,600 namesake locations on its home turf and another 600 Sam’s Club outlets) and growing its e-commerce presence, attracting 270 million customers weekly... Show more
Walmart Inc. (WMT) has advanced steadily through the early autumn of 2026, with the stock rising from a closing level near $113 in mid-October to roughly $124 by mid-November — a gain of approximately 9.7% over 30 days. The move has been driven less by a single event and more by a steady accumulation of analyst upgrades, price-target increases, and investor positioning ahead of the company's third-quarter fiscal 2027 earnings report, scheduled for November 19, 2026.
Sentiment remains firmly positive across Wall Street, with the stock carrying a consensus "Buy" rating and an average 12-month price target near $128.70. However, the shares trade at a premium to their historical average, reflecting both confidence in Walmart's growth durability and a level of valuation that some analysts argue leaves limited near-term upside.
Walmart is the world's largest retailer, operating a vast network of stores and e-commerce platforms across the United States and international markets, including its Sam's Club warehouse clubs and operations such as Flipkart in India. The company's scale, everyday-low-price strategy, and extensive supply chain give it a durable cost advantage that few competitors can match.
Beyond its core merchandising business, Walmart has diversified its growth engines. E-commerce, a fast-growing third-party marketplace, the Walmart+ membership program, and the Walmart Connect advertising platform now contribute meaningfully to revenue and profitability. This shift from traditional comparable-store sales toward higher-margin digital and services revenue is a central reason investors continue to follow the stock closely, even as its multiple expands.
The most visible catalyst over the past month has been a series of analyst actions ahead of third-quarter results. UBS raised its price target to $149 from $130, JPMorgan lifted its target to $145 from $125, Mizuho increased its target to $135 from $125, and BofA moved to $139 from $126 — all while maintaining bullish ratings. Analysts have highlighted Walmart's rapidly growing third-party marketplace and the expanding contribution of advertising, membership, and fulfillment to earnings.
Fundamentals underpin the enthusiasm. In its most recent quarterly report, Walmart posted revenue of roughly $187.9 billion, up 5.9% year over year, alongside 23% growth in global e-commerce sales, 38% advertising growth, and 17% growth in membership-based sales. Management subsequently raised its full-year sales, operating income, and adjusted earnings per share guidance, signaling confidence in sustained market-share gains.
Walmart's shareholder-friendly posture also supports demand for the stock. The company is a dividend aristocrat with more than five decades of consecutive annual dividend increases and announced a $30 billion share repurchase authorization in early 2026. These factors, combined with its reputation as a defensive holding, have reinforced institutional interest even as consumer-spending conditions remain uneven.
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Looking ahead, the third-quarter fiscal 2027 earnings report on November 19, 2026 is the primary near-term catalyst. Consensus estimates call for earnings per share of about $0.64 on revenue near $187.2 billion, and investors will be watching whether Walmart can meet or modestly exceed comparable-sales expectations while preserving margins amid higher freight costs and price investments.
Beyond the print, key themes for 2026 include the continued growth of e-commerce and the third-party marketplace, the expansion of Walmart Connect advertising, and the resilience of consumer demand against a backdrop of persistent inflation and higher fuel costs. Competitive dynamics with Amazon and other retailers, as well as regulatory and tariff considerations, also remain in focus. With the stock trading at an elevated earnings multiple, the pace at which higher-margin digital revenue streams scale will be central to whether the valuation can be sustained.
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The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for WMT turned positive on October 07, 2026. Looking at past instances where WMT's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 31 of 47 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 66%.
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 08, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on WMT as a result. In 47 of 73 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 64%.
WMT moved above its 50-day moving average on October 08, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
The 10-day moving average for WMT crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 14, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 9 of 16 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 56%.
Following a +5.31% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where WMT advanced for three days, in 212 of 370 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 57%.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 200 of 363 cases where WMT Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 55%.
The 10-day RSI Indicator for WMT moved out of overbought territory on November 05, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 56 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 25 of the 56 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 45%.
The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 25 of 73 cases where WMT's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 34%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where WMT declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 36%.
WMT broke above its upper Bollinger Band on November 04, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 11 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 56, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 23 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 42 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 43 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. WMT’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 100 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: WMT's P/B Ratio (10.137) is slightly higher than the industry average of (5.834). WMT has a moderately high P/E Ratio (45.314) as compared to the industry average of (24.535). WMT's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (4.175) is slightly higher than the industry average of (2.171). Dividend Yield (0.008) settles around the average of (0.010) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.169) is also within normal values, averaging (1.008).
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
a retail discount department store
Industry DiscountStores