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TKR vs XYL
Which Stock Would AI Choose? The Timken Company (TKR) vs. Xylem Inc. (XYL) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- TKR has delivered stronger year-to-date (YTD) performance at approximately 28%, outpacing XYL's 10.5% gain amid recent market activity.
- Both stocks trade in the industrials sector but with distinct focuses: TKR on bearings and motion products, XYL on water infrastructure solutions.
- TKR nears its 52-week high, reflecting positive momentum, while XYL sits closer to its low, with upcoming earnings as a potential catalyst.
- Analyst price targets suggest upside for both, averaging 114 for TKR and 154 for XYL, implying stronger relative potential for XYL.
- Market caps differ significantly: TKR at 7.5 billion versus XYL's 29.5 billion, influencing liquidity and volatility profiles.
Introduction
This comparison examines TKR and XYL, two industrials sector leaders with exposure to manufacturing and infrastructure trends. TKR specializes in engineered bearings, while XYL focuses on water management solutions. Investors rotating into industrials for economic recovery plays or traders eyeing relative momentum may find value in assessing their business models, recent price action, and market positioning. With both nearing quarterly earnings, this analysis highlights contrasts in performance and sentiment for informed decision-making.
TKR Overview and Recent Performance
The Timken Company (TKR) engineers bearings and power transmission products for sectors like aerospace, automotive, and renewables. Its Industrial Motion segment includes lubrication systems and drivetrain services. In recent market activity, TKR shares have climbed nearly 28% YTD, trading around 107 with a market capitalization of 7.5 billion, P/E ratio (price-to-earnings) of 26, and dividend yield of 1.3%. Positive sentiment stems from the acquisition of Bijur Delimon to expand lubrication capabilities and recognition as one of the world's most ethical companies for the 15th time. Analysts have raised targets, with an average of 114, supporting upward momentum near the 52-week high of 111. Beta (volatility relative to the market) stands at 1.18, indicating moderate risk. First-quarter 2026 results are due May 6.
XYL Overview and Recent Performance
Xylem Inc. (XYL) provides water technology solutions, including pumps, treatment systems, and analytics for utilities and industry. Shares have advanced about 10.5% YTD, currently around 121, with a larger 29.5 billion market cap, P/E of 31, and 1.4% yield. Recent weeks show mixed trading, down from a 154 peak but above the 114 low, influenced by anticipation for Q1 earnings on April 28 expecting 2.11 billion in revenue. Analyst consensus targets 154, though some like UBS adjusted to neutral. Beta is 1.17, similar to peers. Growth in water reuse and infrastructure bolsters long-term appeal amid sector tailwinds.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
TKR and XYL both serve industrials but diverge in models: TKR's bearings underpin manufacturing equipment, while XYL's water tech targets sustainability-driven infrastructure. Growth drivers contrast with XYL benefiting from water scarcity trends versus TKR's exposure to cyclical manufacturing. Recent momentum favors TKR with superior YTD gains and proximity to highs, while XYL offers higher analyst-implied upside. Risk profiles align with comparable betas around 1.17-1.18 and dividend yields over 1.3%, but XYL's scale provides stability. Sentiment tilts positive for both pre-earnings, though TKR shows acquisition-driven optimism.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron's AI currently leans toward TKR based on consistent recent uptrend, stronger YTD relative performance, and positioning near 52-week highs amid industrial momentum. XYL holds appeal for water sector catalysts and higher targets, but shorter-term trend stability favors TKR. Observable factors like these suggest probabilistic edge in current conditions without guaranteeing outcomes.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full Disclaimers and Limitations.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is TKR is a Hold and XYL is a Buy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
TKR’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green whileXYL’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- TKR’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- XYL’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
TKR’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while XYL’s TA Score has 6 bullish TA indicator(s).
- TKR’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
- XYL’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 2 bearish.
Price Growth
TKR (@Tools & Hardware) experienced а +2.05% price change this week, while XYL (@Industrial Machinery) price change was +0.72% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Tools & Hardware industry was +0.18%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +6.96%, and the average quarterly price growth was +15.78%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Industrial Machinery industry was +1.40%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +5.68%, and the average quarterly price growth was +9.97%.
Reported Earning Dates
TKR is expected to report earnings on Aug 05, 2026.
XYL is expected to report earnings on Aug 04, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Tools & Hardware (+0.18% weekly)Tools & Hardware industry includes companies that manufacture security products, storage cabinets, steel rules and tapes, calipers, shoe hook fasteners, lumber, structural materials and other related supplies. Stanley Black & Decker, Inc., Snap-on Incorporated and L.S. Starrett Company are some of the largest, established players in this industry. The industry is also seeing rapid growth in online sales. The proliferation of do-it-yourself (DIY) projects has boosted industry demand. But oil price volatility poses potential risks to this industry, particularly to e-commerce companies which spend on services of shipping companies, which might alter charges based on oil price movements.
@Industrial Machinery (+1.40% weekly)The industry makes and maintains machines for consumers, the industry, and most other companies. While it has traditionally been categorized as heavy industry, some smaller companies are also branching into the light category. The industry is pivotal in providing the equipment for production in businesses like agriculture, mining, industry and construction, gas, electricity and water utilities. It also supplies supporting equipment for almost all sectors of the economy, such as equipment for heating, and air conditioning of buildings. Illinois Tool Works Inc., Parker-Hannifin Corporation and Rockwell Automation Inc are some of the major U.S. companies operating in this industry.
| TKR | XYL | TKR / XYL | |
| Capitalization | 9.57B | 26.2B | 37% |
| EBITDA | 783M | 1.8B | 43% |
| Gain YTD | 69.843 | -17.324 | -403% |
| P/E Ratio | 32.27 | 27.80 | 116% |
| Revenue | 4.67B | 9.09B | 51% |
| Total Cash | 345M | 808M | 43% |
| Total Debt | 2.2B | 2.06B | 107% |
TKR | XYL | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 27 | 27 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 80 Overvalued | 21 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 26 | 95 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 72 | 75 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 37 | 60 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 10 | 70 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 13 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
XYL's Valuation (21) in the Industrial Machinery industry is somewhat better than the same rating for TKR (80) in the Metal Fabrication industry. This means that XYL’s stock grew somewhat faster than TKR’s over the last 12 months.
TKR's Profit vs Risk Rating (26) in the Metal Fabrication industry is significantly better than the same rating for XYL (95) in the Industrial Machinery industry. This means that TKR’s stock grew significantly faster than XYL’s over the last 12 months.
TKR's SMR Rating (72) in the Metal Fabrication industry is in the same range as XYL (75) in the Industrial Machinery industry. This means that TKR’s stock grew similarly to XYL’s over the last 12 months.
TKR's Price Growth Rating (37) in the Metal Fabrication industry is in the same range as XYL (60) in the Industrial Machinery industry. This means that TKR’s stock grew similarly to XYL’s over the last 12 months.
TKR's P/E Growth Rating (10) in the Metal Fabrication industry is somewhat better than the same rating for XYL (70) in the Industrial Machinery industry. This means that TKR’s stock grew somewhat faster than XYL’s over the last 12 months.
| TKR | XYL | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 71% | 2 days ago 51% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 64% | 2 days ago 58% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 71% | 2 days ago 63% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 67% | 2 days ago 47% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 65% | 2 days ago 55% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 66% | 2 days ago 52% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 8 days ago 64% | 2 days ago 55% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 27 days ago 63% | 16 days ago 59% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 64% | 2 days ago 67% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 58% | 2 days ago 43% |
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TKR and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, TKR has been closely correlated with SWK. These tickers have moved in lockstep 74% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if TKR jumps, then SWK could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To TKR | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TKR | 100% | -0.27% | ||
| SWK - TKR | 74% Closely correlated | -0.51% | ||
| ITT - TKR | 69% Closely correlated | +1.23% | ||
| HLIO - TKR | 68% Closely correlated | +2.12% | ||
| LECO - TKR | 67% Closely correlated | -0.25% | ||
| ITW - TKR | 67% Closely correlated | +0.46% | ||
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XYL and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, XYL has been closely correlated with ZWS. These tickers have moved in lockstep 73% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if XYL jumps, then ZWS could also see price increases.