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TM vs XPEV
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is TM is a StrongBuy and XPEV is a Hold.
Momentum Indicator for TM turns positive, indicating new upward trend
TM saw its Momentum Indicator move above the 0 level on October 13, 2026. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new upward move. Traders may want to consider buying the stock or buying call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 89 similar instances where the indicator turned positive. In 53 of the 89 cases, the stock moved higher in the following days. The odds of a move higher are at 60%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for TM just turned positive on October 13, 2026. Looking at past instances where TM's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 25 of 47 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 53%.
TM moved above its 50-day moving average on October 15, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
Following a +3.19% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where TM advanced for three days, in 168 of 312 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 54%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 5 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
The 10-day moving average for TM crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on September 30, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 8 of 16 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 50%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where TM declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 51%.
TM broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 15, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Aroon Indicator for TM entered a downward trend on October 13, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 26 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 47 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. TM’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 58 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 78 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.006) is normal, around the industry mean (1.914). P/E Ratio (0.055) is within average values for comparable stocks, (14.021). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.556) is also within normal values, averaging (2.450). Dividend Yield (0.041) settles around the average of (0.150) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.733) is also within normal values, averaging (2.648).
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 82 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. TM’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 92, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 97 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
XPEV's RSI Oscillator ascending out of oversold territory
The RSI Indicator for XPEV moved out of oversold territory on October 06, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from a downward trend to an upward trend. Traders may want to buy the stock or call options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 25 similar instances when the indicator left oversold territory. In 20 of the 25 cases the stock moved higher. This puts the odds of a move higher at 80%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 47 of 62 cases where XPEV's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 76%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for XPEV just turned positive on October 08, 2026. Looking at past instances where XPEV's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 38 of 50 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 76%.
Following a +1.92% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where XPEV advanced for three days, in 217 of 274 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 79%.
XPEV may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 21, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on XPEV as a result. In 79 of 90 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 88%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where XPEV declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 84%.
The Aroon Indicator for XPEV entered a downward trend on October 13, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 14 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.332) is normal, around the industry mean (1.914). P/E Ratio (-2.871) is within average values for comparable stocks, (14.021). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (2.450). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.150) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.878) is also within normal values, averaging (2.648).
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 19 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 79 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. XPEV’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 94 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 95 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. XPEV’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 92, placing this stock worse than average.
TM | XPEV | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 14 | 14 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 78 Overvalued | 14 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 82 | 100 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 58 | 94 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 47 | 79 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 97 | 19 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 26 | 90 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
XPEV's Valuation (14) in the null industry is somewhat better than the same rating for TM (78) in the Motor Vehicles industry. This means that XPEV’s stock grew somewhat faster than TM’s over the last 12 months.
TM's Profit vs Risk Rating (82) in the Motor Vehicles industry is in the same range as XPEV (100) in the null industry. This means that TM’s stock grew similarly to XPEV’s over the last 12 months.
TM's SMR Rating (58) in the Motor Vehicles industry is somewhat better than the same rating for XPEV (94) in the null industry. This means that TM’s stock grew somewhat faster than XPEV’s over the last 12 months.
TM's Price Growth Rating (47) in the Motor Vehicles industry is in the same range as XPEV (79) in the null industry. This means that TM’s stock grew similarly to XPEV’s over the last 12 months.
XPEV's P/E Growth Rating (19) in the null industry is significantly better than the same rating for TM (97) in the Motor Vehicles industry. This means that XPEV’s stock grew significantly faster than TM’s over the last 12 months.
| TM | XPEV | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | N/A | 2 days ago 80% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 53% | 2 days ago 76% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 60% | 2 days ago 88% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 53% | 2 days ago 76% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 56% | 2 days ago 82% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 55% | 2 days ago 83% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 7 days ago 54% | 16 days ago 79% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 11 days ago 51% | 4 days ago 84% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 55% | 2 days ago 76% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 55% | 2 days ago 83% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
TM’s FA Score shows that 0 FA rating(s) are green while XPEV’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- TM’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- XPEV’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
TM’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while XPEV’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- TM’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
- XPEV’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 3 bearish.
Price Growth
TM (@Motor Vehicles) experienced а +3.32% price change this week, while XPEV (@Motor Vehicles) price change was -0.64% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Motor Vehicles industry was -8.48%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -18.07%, and the average quarterly price growth was -33.00%.
Reported Earning Dates
TM is expected to report earnings on Nov 04, 2026.
XPEV is expected to report earnings on Nov 16, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Motor Vehicles (-8.48% weekly)Automobiles continue to be arguably the most popular form of passenger travel in the U.S., and major automobile makers have revenues and market capitalizations running into multi-billions. In recent years, the industry has been experiencing some path-breaking innovations like electric vehicles and self-driving technology. While there are long-standing companies like General Motors, Ford, and Toyota Motors operating in this space, there are also emerging/rapidly growing players like Tesla – which has had a major role in the growing popularity of the electric vehicle market. With technological advancements taking steam in the auto space, we’ve also witnessed collaborations (or talks of potential partnerships) of carmakers with tech behemoths like Google’s subsidiary, Waymo.
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TM and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, TM has been closely correlated with HMC. These tickers have moved in lockstep 74% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if TM jumps, then HMC could also see price increases.
XPEV and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, XPEV has been loosely correlated with NIO. These tickers have moved in lockstep 55% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if XPEV jumps, then NIO could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To XPEV | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| XPEV | 100% | -5.55% | ||
| NIO - XPEV | 55% Loosely correlated | -2.04% | ||
| TSLA - XPEV | 30% Poorly correlated | +3.41% | ||
| TM - XPEV | 27% Poorly correlated | -0.85% | ||
| CYD - XPEV | 23% Poorly correlated | +0.75% | ||
| F - XPEV | 23% Poorly correlated | -2.06% | ||
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