AAL Price Prediction, American Airlines Group AI Recommendations

Momentum Indicator for AAL turns positive, indicating new upward trend

AAL saw its Momentum Indicator move above the 0 level on June 06, 2023. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new upward move. Traders may want to consider buying the stock or buying call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 98 similar instances where the indicator turned positive. In of the 98 cases, the stock moved higher in the following days. The odds of a move higher are at .

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for AAL just turned positive on May 30, 2023. Looking at past instances where AAL's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 44 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

AAL moved above its 50-day moving average on May 25, 2023 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

The 10-day moving average for AAL crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on May 16, 2023. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 19 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where AAL advanced for three days, in of 302 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 152 cases where AAL Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator demonstrated that the stock has entered the overbought zone. This may point to a price pull-back soon.

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 6 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.

The 50-day moving average for AAL moved below the 200-day moving average on May 08, 2023. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where AAL declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

AAL broke above its upper Bollinger Band on May 17, 2023. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating outstanding price growth. AAL’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.000) is normal, around the industry mean (76.779). P/E Ratio (5.705) is within average values for comparable stocks, (22.538). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.076) is also within normal values, averaging (0.454). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.041) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.196) is also within normal values, averaging (1.080).

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. AAL’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 93, placing this stock worse than average.

AAL is expected to report earnings to rise 2,680.00% to $1.39 per share on July 20

Q2'23

Est.

$1.39

Q1'23

Beat

by $0.01

Q4'22

Beat

by $0.34

Q3'22

Beat

by $0.13

Q2'22

Missed

by $0.01

AAL paid dividends on February 19, 2020