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ABR Stock Tickeron detected bearish Stock Pattern: Rectangle Bottom ABR on October 30, 2024, netting in a 2.19% gain over 1 day

A.I.dvisor
at Tickeron.com
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+2.19% Gain from a Successful pattern Rectangle Bottom
ABR - Arbor Realty Trust
Tickeron
Ticker: ABR
Company: Arbor Realty Trust
Gain from shortening: +2.19%
Confirmed: 10/30/24
Succeeded: 10/31/24
Total length: 1 day
On October 30, 2024, A.I.dvisor detected a Rectangle Bottom Pattern (Bearish) for Arbor Realty Trust (ABR, $15.07). On October 30, 2024, A.I.dvisor confirmed the Bearish pattern, setting a target price of the stock. On October 31, 2024, the stock hit the target price of $14.70 – resulting in a gain for traders who shorted the stock on the pattern detection date.

ABR saw its Stochastic Oscillator recovers from the overbought zone

The Stochastic Oscillator for ABR moved out of overbought territory on November 14, 2024. This could be a bearish sign for the stock and investors may want to consider selling or taking a defensive position. A.I.dvisor looked at 63 similar instances where the indicator exited the overbought zone. In of the 63 cases the stock moved lower. This puts the odds of a downward move at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for ABR turned negative on November 15, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 44 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 44 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

ABR moved below its 50-day moving average on November 15, 2024 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where ABR declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on November 08, 2024. You may want to consider a long position or call options on ABR as a result. In of 100 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where ABR advanced for three days, in of 334 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

ABR may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.992) is normal, around the industry mean (1.979). P/E Ratio (7.469) is within average values for comparable stocks, (62.368). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (7.058). ABR has a moderately high Dividend Yield (0.131) as compared to the industry average of (0.068). P/S Ratio (3.967) is also within normal values, averaging (7.130).

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 87, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. ABR’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

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ABR
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General Information

a real estate investment trust

Industry RealEstateInvestmentTrusts

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Real Estate Investment Trusts
Address
333 Earle Ovington Boulevard
Phone
+1 516 506-4200
Employees
647
Web
https://www.arbor.com