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ACRE
Stock ticker: NASDAQ
AS OF
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Capitalization
535.99M

ACRE Ares Commercial Real Estate Corp Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

a Private Equity Fund

Technical Analysis# Of IndicatorsAvg. Odds
   
   
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A.I.Advisor
a Summary for ACRE with price predictions
07:00 PM EST Dec 07, 2023

ACRE in upward trend: 10-day moving average crossed above 50-day moving average on November 10, 2023

The 10-day moving average for ACRE crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on November 10, 2023. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 14 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on December 07, 2023. You may want to consider a long position or call options on ACRE as a result. In of 98 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

ACRE moved above its 50-day moving average on November 14, 2023 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where ACRE advanced for three days, in of 333 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 321 cases where ACRE Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 74 cases where ACRE's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for ACRE turned negative on December 06, 2023. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 51 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 51 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where ACRE declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

ACRE broke above its upper Bollinger Band on November 03, 2023. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Fear & Greed

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.783) is normal, around the industry mean (2.131). P/E Ratio (163.934) is within average values for comparable stocks, (57.166). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (6.516). ACRE has a moderately high Dividend Yield (0.138) as compared to the industry average of (0.072). P/S Ratio (5.705) is also within normal values, averaging (6.189).

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. ACRE’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. ACRE’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 85, placing this stock better than average.

A.I.Advisor
published Highlights

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are PROLOGIS (NASDAQ:PLD), American Tower Corp (NASDAQ:AMT), Simon Property Group (NASDAQ:SPG), Annaly Capital Management (NASDAQ:NLY), Rithm Capital Corp (NASDAQ:RITM), Tanger (NASDAQ:SKT), Innovative Industrial Properties (NASDAQ:IIPR).

Industry description

A real estate investment trust (REIT) is a company any that owns, and in most cases, operates, income-producing real estate – ranging from office and apartment buildings to warehouses, hospitals, shopping centers, hotels and timberlands. Some REITs are involved in financing real estate. Equity REITs invest in and own properties, while mortgage REITs own and invest in property mortgages. REITs are required by law to pay out at least 90% of their annual taxable income (excluding capital gains) to shareholders in the form of dividends. Some REITs could be more cyclical than others; for example, when an economy is undergoing a recession, hotel REITs could be more vulnerable, compared to say healthcare REIT given that healthcare needs are less likely to depend on economic cycles. American Tower Corporation, Prologis, Inc. and Crown Castle International Corp are some of the biggest REIT companies in the U.S.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Real Estate Investment Trusts Industry is 4.88B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 51.9K to 243.79B. COFRF holds the highest valuation in this group at 243.79B. The lowest valued company is PDNLB at 51.9K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Real Estate Investment Trusts Industry was 1%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 8%, and the average quarterly price growth was -0%. CVHL experienced the highest price growth at 48%, while CORR experienced the biggest fall at -73%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Real Estate Investment Trusts Industry was -26%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 5% and the average quarterly volume growth was 14%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 50
P/E Growth Rating: 53
Price Growth Rating: 49
SMR Rating: 81
Profit Risk Rating: 84
Seasonality Score: 28 (-100 ... +100)
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A.I. Advisor
published Earnings

ACRE is expected to report earnings to fall 65.32% to 8 cents per share on February 14

Ares Commercial Real Estate Corp ACRE Stock Earnings Reports
Q4'23
Est.
$0.09
Q3'23
Beat
by $0.02
Q2'23
Beat
by $0.04
Q1'23
Missed
by $0.06
Q4'22
Beat
by $0.08
The last earnings report on November 03 showed earnings per share of 25 cents, beating the estimate of 23 cents. With 289.76K shares outstanding, the current market capitalization sits at 535.99M.
A.I.Advisor
published Dividends

ACRE paid dividends on October 17, 2023

Ares Commercial Real Estate Corp ACRE Stock Dividends
А dividend of $0.33 per share was paid with a record date of October 17, 2023, and an ex-dividend date of September 28, 2023. Read more...
A.I. Advisor
published General Information

General Information

a Private Equity Fund

Industry RealEstateInvestmentTrusts

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Investment Managers
Address
245 Park Avenue
Phone
+1 212 750-7300
Employees
2550
Web
https://www.arescre.com
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ACRE and

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, ACRE has been closely correlated with STWD. These tickers have moved in lockstep 80% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if ACRE jumps, then STWD could also see price increases.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To ACRE
1D Price
Change %
ACRE100%
+1.20%
STWD - ACRE
80%
Closely correlated
+0.05%
KREF - ACRE
80%
Closely correlated
+0.08%
BXMT - ACRE
80%
Closely correlated
+1.58%
LADR - ACRE
78%
Closely correlated
+0.27%
ARI - ACRE
78%
Closely correlated
+1.09%
More

Groups containing ACRE

Correlation & Price change

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To ACRE
1D Price
Change %
ACRE100%
+1.20%
ACRE
(undefined stocks)
87%
Closely correlated
+0.62%
private equity
(undefined stocks)
74%
Closely correlated
+0.39%
investment
(undefined stocks)
69%
Closely correlated
+1.73%
Real Estate Investment Trusts
(undefined stocks)
55%
Loosely correlated
+0.15%
Real Estate Investment Trusts
(undefined stocks)
55%
Loosely correlated
+0.15%