AEL Price Prediction, American Equity Investment Life Holding Company AI Recommendations

AEL's RSI Oscillator climbs out of oversold territory

The RSI Oscillator for AEL moved out of oversold territory on March 21, 2023. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from a downward trend to an upward trend. Traders may want to buy the stock or call options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 31 similar instances when the indicator left oversold territory. In 28 of the 31 cases the stock moved higher. This puts the odds of a move higher at 90%.

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on March 27, 2023. You may want to consider a long position or call options on AEL as a result. In of 103 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for AEL just turned positive on March 24, 2023. Looking at past instances where AEL's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 41 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where AEL advanced for three days, in of 306 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

AEL may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator has been in the overbought zone for 2 days. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.

The 10-day moving average for AEL crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on February 23, 2023. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 20 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where AEL declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator for AEL entered a downward trend on March 27, 2023. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.973) is normal, around the industry mean (4.577). P/E Ratio (2.829) is within average values for comparable stocks, (16.207). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (8.441). AEL has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.010) as compared to the industry average of (0.041). P/S Ratio (0.927) is also within normal values, averaging (1.921).

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 87, placing this stock slightly better than average.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. AEL’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

AEL is expected to report earnings to rise 35.44% to $1.07 per share on May 03

Q1'23

Est.

$1.07

Q4'22

Missed

by $0.17

Q3'22

Beat

by $0.16

Q2'22

Beat

by $0.27

Q1'22

Est.

$0.92

AEL paid dividends on December 13, 2022