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AEL
Stock ticker:
NYSE
AS OF
Jun 28 closing price
Price
$38.05
Change
+$0.14 (+0.37%)
Capitalization
3.54B

AEL Price Prediction, American Equity Investment Life Holding Company AI Recommendations

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12:00 AM EDT Jun 28, 2022

AEL in downward trend: price dove below 50-day moving average on June 13, 2022

AEL moved below its 50-day moving average on June 13, 2022 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 38 of 52 similar past instances, the stock price decreased further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 73%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for AEL moved out of overbought territory on June 08, 2022. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 36 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 36 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .

The Stochastic Oscillator entered the overbought zone. Expect a price pull-back in the foreseeable future.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for AEL turned negative on June 13, 2022. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 44 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 44 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

The 10-day moving average for AEL crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on June 22, 2022. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 21 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where AEL declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on June 28, 2022. You may want to consider a long position or call options on AEL as a result. In of 99 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where AEL advanced for three days, in of 302 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

AEL may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 188 cases where AEL Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Fear & Greed

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 84, placing this stock slightly better than average.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. AEL’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.684) is normal, around the industry mean (0.947). P/E Ratio (5.139) is within average values for comparable stocks, (11.854). AEL's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is slightly lower than the industry average of (3.319). AEL has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.009) as compared to the industry average of (0.038). P/S Ratio (0.831) is also within normal values, averaging (0.931).

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

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published price charts
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published Earnings

AEL is expected to report earnings to fall 1.22% to 90 cents per share on August 08

American Equity Investment Life Holding Company AEL Stock Earnings Reports
Q2'22
Est.
$0.91
Q1'22
Est.
$0.92
Q4'21
Missed
by $0.24
Q3'21
Beat
by $0.09
Q2'21
Beat
by $0.48
The last earnings report on May 04 showed earnings per share of 92 cents, meeting the estimate of 92 cents. With 451.75K shares outstanding, the current market capitalization sits at 3.54B.
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published Dividends

AEL paid dividends on December 13, 2021

American Equity Investment Life Holding Company AEL Stock Dividends
А dividend of $0.34 per share was paid with a record date of December 13, 2021, and an ex-dividend date of November 26, 2021. Read more...
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published Highlights

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are MetLife (NYSE:MET), Prudential Financial (NYSE:PRU), Lincoln National Corp (NYSE:LNC), Genworth Financial (NYSE:GNW).

Industry description

Life insurance companies mainly sell policies that pay a death benefit as a lump sum upon the death of the insured to their beneficiaries. Life insurance policies may be sold as term life, (which guarantees payment of a stated death benefit and expires at the end of a specified term) or permanent /typically whole life (which is more expensive but lasts a lifetime and carries a cash accumulation component). Life insurance firms may also sell long-term disability policies that help to replace the insured individual’s income if they become sick or disabled. Health insurance, on the other hand, helps pay for medical expenses. Anthem, Inc., MetLife, Inc. and Aflac Incorporated are some of the largest U.S. companies in this industry.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Life/Health Insurance Industry is 21.61B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 3.97M to 129.24B. AAIGF holds the highest valuation in this group at 129.24B. The lowest valued company is LINS at 3.97M.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Life/Health Insurance Industry was 1%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -2%, and the average quarterly price growth was -3%. MDWT experienced the highest price growth at 12%, while AAME experienced the biggest fall at -12%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Life/Health Insurance Industry was -70%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -65% and the average quarterly volume growth was -47%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 48
P/E Growth Rating: 55
Price Growth Rating: 53
SMR Rating: 49
Profit Risk Rating: 84
Seasonality Score: -4 (-100 ... +100)
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published General Information

General Information

a developer of fixed index and fixed rate annuity products

Industry LifeHealthInsurance

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Life Or Health Insurance
Address
6000 Westown Parkway
Phone
+1 515 221-0002
Employees
657
Web
https://www.american-equity.com

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AEL and

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, AEL has been closely correlated with BHF. These tickers have moved in lockstep 71% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if AEL jumps, then BHF could also see price increases.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To AEL
1D Price
Change %
AEL100%
+0.36%
BHF - AEL
71%
Closely correlated
+0.50%
PRU - AEL
68%
Closely correlated
+0.81%
LNC - AEL
66%
Closely correlated
-0.57%
MET - AEL
64%
Loosely correlated
+0.27%
CNO - AEL
62%
Loosely correlated
-0.60%
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