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AEO
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AEO stock forecast, quote, news & analysis

American Eagle Outfitters Inc is a specialty retailer... Show more

AEO
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published price charts

Why Is American Eagle Outfitters, Inc. (AEO) Stock Down -14.65% Today?

Key Takeaways

  • AEO shares fell sharply, declining approximately 14.65% from the prior session close of $17.92 to the latest available price of $15.295.
  • The primary catalyst was the company's first-quarter fiscal 2026 earnings report, which highlighted margin pressures from higher tariffs and operating costs despite revenue growth and an EPS beat.
  • Secondary factors included broader concerns over consumer discretionary spending amid rising input costs and geopolitical tensions affecting supply chains.
  • The move occurred against a backdrop of mixed retail sector performance, with apparel stocks facing headwinds from elevated freight and tariff expenses.
  • Traders are now focused on the company's full-year guidance reiteration and upcoming quarterly updates for signs of margin stabilization.

Opening Summary

American Eagle Outfitters, Inc. (AEO) operates as a leading retailer of apparel and accessories targeting young adults through its American Eagle and Aerie brands. On the latest trading session, AEO shares declined 14.65%, closing the prior session at $17.92 before moving to $15.295. The sell-off followed the release of first-quarter fiscal 2026 results, where revenue and earnings surpassed expectations but profitability metrics disappointed investors due to rising costs.

Earnings Results and Margin Pressure

The company reported first-quarter revenue of $1.20 billion, up 10% year-over-year, with adjusted earnings per share of 14 cents, exceeding analyst forecasts. However, operating margins contracted amid increased tariffs and higher marketing and administrative expenses. Management reiterated full-year guidance, yet the market focused on near-term margin compression and the impact on gross profitability.

Sector and Macro Headwinds

Apparel retailers broadly faced challenges from elevated ocean freight costs and tariff pressures, which raised landed costs for spring and summer inventory. These factors coincided with softening consumer discretionary spending, amplifying concerns about full-price sell-through and inventory management across the sector.

Market Context and Trading Activity

Trading volume surged well above average levels as the earnings reaction unfolded. The decline in AEO diverged from broader market indices in the session, highlighting stock-specific concerns rather than a sector-wide rotation. Technical levels, including recent support near the prior close, were decisively broken on elevated turnover.

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What Comes Next for AEO

Investors will monitor second-quarter results and any updates to full-year operating income guidance of $390 million to $410 million. Key watch items include tariff pass-through effects, Aerie brand momentum, and overall consumer spending trends. Risks remain elevated around input cost inflation and macroeconomic uncertainty.

The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.

Disclaimers and Limitations

A.I.Advisor
a Summary for AEO with price predictions
Jul 02, 2026

AEO in upward trend: 10-day moving average moved above 50-day moving average on June 15, 2026

The 10-day moving average for AEO crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on June 15, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 12 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 2 days, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where AEO advanced for three days, in of 296 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for AEO moved out of overbought territory on June 15, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 27 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 27 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on June 26, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on AEO as a result. In of 81 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for AEO turned negative on June 29, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 43 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 43 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

AEO moved below its 50-day moving average on July 02, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where AEO declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator for AEO entered a downward trend on May 29, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.813) is normal, around the industry mean (3.595). P/E Ratio (11.189) is within average values for comparable stocks, (17.991). AEO's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is slightly lower than the industry average of (1.874). Dividend Yield (0.028) settles around the average of (0.033) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.549) is also within normal values, averaging (0.760).

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. AEO’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. AEO’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 88, placing this stock worse than average.

A.I.Advisor
published Dividends

AEO paid dividends on April 24, 2026

American Eagle Outfitters AEO Stock Dividends
А dividend of $0.12 per share was paid with a record date of April 24, 2026, and an ex-dividend date of April 10, 2026. Read more...
A.I.Advisor
published Highlights

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are TJX Companies (NYSE:TJX), lululemon athletica (NASDAQ:LULU), Gap Inc (The) (NYSE:GAP), Abercrombie & Fitch Co (NYSE:ANF), Stitch Fix (NASDAQ:SFIX).

Industry description

Companies in the apparel and/or footwear retail industry sell clothing, accessories and footwear, for different age groups and genders. The industry’s product categories could range from basics, such as underwear, to luxury items. Some retailers source items from wholesalers or an apparel brand to sell in their stores; some others are licensed to make and market their own retail goods under particular brands. Several companies outsource production of clothing to developing/emerging economies where labor costs are relatively inexpensive. Apparel retail is often influenced by fashion trends, and many companies feel the need to adapt to what’s “in vogue” to retain customers and attract new ones. A major disruption in this industry has been the burgeoning trend in digital shopping – to compete with rapidly growing e-commerce, even traditional retail players are upping the ante on their online platforms. Much of the products’ performance in apparel/footwear retail is cyclical, i.e., economic boom times encourage consumer spending, while recessions induce thriftiness among people. Some large-cap U.S. apparel/footwear retail companies include TJX Companies Inc., Ross Stores, Inc., Lululemon Athletica Inc. and Burlington Stores, Inc.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Apparel/Footwear Retail Industry is 9.7B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 256K to 179.95B. IDEXY holds the highest valuation in this group at 179.95B. The lowest valued company is DESTQ at 256K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Apparel/Footwear Retail Industry was -1%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 1%, and the average quarterly price growth was 1%. AKA experienced the highest price growth at 15%, while JEM experienced the biggest fall at -29%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Apparel/Footwear Retail Industry was 43%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -31% and the average quarterly volume growth was 67%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 43
P/E Growth Rating: 46
Price Growth Rating: 54
SMR Rating: 69
Profit Risk Rating: 88
Seasonality Score: 18 (-100 ... +100)
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published General Information

General Information

an operator of specialty retail stores

Industry ApparelFootwearRetail

Profile
Details
Industry
Apparel Or Footwear Retail
Address
77 Hot Metal Street
Phone
+1 412 432-3300
Employees
43100
Web
https://www.aeo-inc.com
Why Is American Eagle Outfitters, Inc. (AEO) Stock Down -14.65% Today?