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AESI Stock Tickeron detected bearish Stock Pattern: Head-and-Shoulders Top AESI on August 02, 2024, netting in a 8.24% gain over 1 week

A.I.dvisor
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+8.24% Gain from a Successful pattern Head-and-Shoulders Top
AESI - Atlas Energy Solutions
Tickeron
Ticker: AESI
Company: Atlas Energy Solutions
Gain from shortening: +8.24%
Confirmed: 08/02/24
Succeeded: 08/06/24
Total length: 12 days
On July 25, 2024, A.I.dvisor detected a Head-and-Shoulders Top Pattern (Bearish) for Atlas Energy Solutions (AESI, $20.87). 8 days later, on August 02, 2024, A.I.dvisor confirmed the Bearish pattern, setting a target price of the stock. On August 06, 2024, the stock hit the target price of $18.10 – resulting in a gain for traders who shorted the stock on the pattern detection date.

AESI's Indicator enters downward trend

The Aroon Indicator for AESI entered a downward trend on November 12, 2024. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor identified a pattern where the AroonDown red line was above 70 while the AroonUp green line was below 30 for three straight days. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. A.I.dvisor looked at 44 similar instances where the Aroon Indicator formed such a pattern. In of the 44 cases the stock moved lower. This puts the odds of a downward move at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 22 cases where AESI's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

AESI moved below its 50-day moving average on November 14, 2024 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for AESI crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 18, 2024. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 4 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where AESI declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

AESI broke above its upper Bollinger Band on November 11, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where AESI's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, of 10 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on November 06, 2024. You may want to consider a long position or call options on AESI as a result. In of 28 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for AESI just turned positive on November 05, 2024. Looking at past instances where AESI's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 14 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where AESI advanced for three days, in of 114 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: AESI's P/B Ratio (17.036) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (2.405). P/E Ratio (26.649) is within average values for comparable stocks, (42.388). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (2.692). Dividend Yield (0.034) settles around the average of (0.040) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (2.132) is also within normal values, averaging (1.565).

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. AESI’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. AESI’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 71, placing this stock worse than average.

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General Information

Industry OilfieldServicesEquipment

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
N/A
Address
5918 West Courtyard Drive
Phone
+1 512 220-1200
Employees
261
Web
https://www.atlas.energy