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AIRI
Stock ticker: ASE
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AIRI stock forecast, quote, news & analysis

Air Industries Group is an aerospace and defense company... Show more

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A.I.Advisor
Nov 05, 2026

Air Industries Group (AIRI) Stock Analysis: A Pending Merger and Defense Backlog Anchor a Low-Priced Small Cap

Key Takeaways

  • Air Industries Group (AIRI) shares have traded in a narrow band over the past 30 days, holding roughly flat near $2.57 as of early November 2026, well below their 52-week high of $3.95.
  • The company's near-term narrative is dominated by its pending reverse merger with Tenax Aerospace, a transaction that would reshape its ownership and scale.
  • As of June 30, 2026, AIRI reported a funded backlog of $139.7 million and total unfilled contract values of $279.0 million, supporting a long-term pipeline despite near-term financial strain.
  • Concentration risk remains elevated, with Lockheed Martin (LMT) and RTX (RTX) collectively accounting for more than half of recent sales.
  • Management has disclosed substantial doubt about the company's ability to continue as a going concern, tied to debt maturities and financing negotiations.
  • For additional detail, explore AIRI's Price Targets, Earnings, and Forecast pages.
  • You can also explore Trending AI Robots for automated trading strategies across the market.

Current Market Snapshot

Air Industries Group has traded within a relatively tight range in recent weeks, with its share price hovering near $2.57 and a market capitalization of roughly $12 million. The stock sits closer to the lower end of its 52-week range of $2.30 to $3.95, reflecting subdued investor sentiment amid ongoing financing and merger-related uncertainty. Trading volume has been modest, and the stock's movements have lacked a strong directional catalyst as the market awaits resolution of the company's strategic and capital-structure questions.

Air Industries Group (AIRI) Business Overview and Competitive Position

Air Industries Group is an integrated Tier 1 manufacturer of precision components and assemblies for mission-critical aerospace and defense applications, and a prime contractor to the U.S. Department of Defense. Headquartered in Bay Shore, New York, the company traces its manufacturing roots back decades and operates two Centers of Excellence in New York and Connecticut focused on complex machining and turbine engine components.

Its product portfolio includes landing gear, arresting gear, flight controls, engine mounts, and jet engine components that are deployed on prominent military platforms such as the F-35 Lightning II, UH-60 Black Hawk, F-16 Fighting Falcon, F-15 Eagle, and F/A-18 Hornet, as well as commercial aircraft and engines. Investors follow AIRI for its exposure to long-cycle defense programs, its recurring aftermarket and MRO work, and its potential to benefit from sustained aerospace and defense demand.

Recent Developments Driving AIRI

The most consequential development shaping AIRI's story is its pending strategic combination with Tenax Aerospace, a reverse merger announced in early 2026 and subsequently amended and extended. Under the agreement, Tenax members are expected to own approximately 96% of the combined company following closing, and the transaction includes a 1-for-5 reverse stock split. The deal has an extended outside date of November 30, 2026, making its completion a key near-term event for shareholders.

Financially, the company continues to operate under pressure. For fiscal 2025, AIRI reported consolidated sales of approximately $47.9 million and a net loss of about $1.3 million. In the second quarter of 2026, net sales were $12.0 million with a net loss of roughly $846,000, though gross margin improved year over year to 20.7% on cost-reduction efforts and a favorable product mix. Higher professional fees tied to the merger and increased IT and cybersecurity costs weighed on operating expenses.

Liquidity and leverage remain central concerns. The company's primary credit facility was scheduled to mature on September 30, 2026, and management disclosed that its principal lender had indicated it would not renew the facility. These conditions, along with a covenant default, contributed to the company's disclosure of substantial doubt about its ability to continue as a going concern over the next twelve months, pending successful refinancing or completion of the Tenax transaction.

Trending AI Robots

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2026 Outlook and What Investors Should Watch

The most important near-term catalyst for AIRI is whether the Tenax Aerospace merger closes by its extended deadline. A completed transaction would materially change the company's scale, capital structure, and ownership, while a failure to close could intensify liquidity pressures. Investors should also monitor the company's debt refinancing efforts, given the maturity of its credit facility and related-party notes, and whether management secures extensions or replacement financing.

Beyond the merger, the company's defense backlog and aftermarket activity remain key demand indicators. Concentration with major prime contractors such as Lockheed Martin and RTX exposes results to customer order timing, while defense budget cycles and commercial aerospace conditions shape the broader demand environment. Progress on internal controls remediation and margin execution will also factor into the stock's trajectory. As with any small-cap aerospace and defense name, these developments carry meaningful risk and should be evaluated in the context of individual investment objectives.

Disclaimer

The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.

Disclaimers and Limitations

A.I.Advisor
a Summary for AIRI with price predictions
Nov 10, 2026

Aroon Indicator for AIRI shows an upward move is likely

AIRI's Aroon Indicator triggered a bullish signal on November 09, 2026. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor detected that the AroonUp green line is above 70 while the AroonDown red line is below 30. When the up indicator moves above 70 and the down indicator remains below 30, it is a sign that the stock could be setting up for a bullish move. Traders may want to buy the stock or look to buy calls options. A.I.dvisor looked at 123 similar instances where the Aroon Indicator showed a similar pattern. In 89 of the 123 cases, the stock moved higher in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a move higher at 72%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 27, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on AIRI as a result. In 79 of 122 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 65%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for AIRI just turned positive on October 23, 2026. Looking at past instances where AIRI's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 36 of 50 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 72%.

AIRI moved above its 50-day moving average on November 05, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

The 10-day moving average for AIRI crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on November 06, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 10 of 20 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 50%.

Following a +7.14% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where AIRI advanced for three days, in 136 of 213 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 64%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator has been in the overbought zone for 2 days. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.

The Stochastic Oscillator entered the overbought zone. Expect a price pull-back in the foreseeable future.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where AIRI declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 78%.

AIRI broke above its upper Bollinger Band on November 06, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 3 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.750) is normal, around the industry mean (5.050). P/E Ratio (-8.750) is within average values for comparable stocks, (17.247). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.120) is also within normal values, averaging (3.110). AIRI's Dividend Yield (2.143) is considerably higher than the industry average of (0.055). P/S Ratio (0.276) is also within normal values, averaging (18.367).

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 50 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. AIRI’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 55 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 94 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. AIRI’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 78, placing this stock worse than average.

A.I.Advisor
published Dividends

AIRI paid dividends on December 01, 2015

Air Industries Group AIRI Stock Dividends
А dividend of $0.15 per share was paid with a record date of December 01, 2015, and an ex-dividend date of November 19, 2015. Read more...
A.I.Advisor
published Highlights

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are GE Aerospace (NYSE:GE), Boeing Company (NYSE:BA), Lockheed Martin Corp (NYSE:LMT), Northrop Grumman Corp (NYSE:NOC), Virgin Galactic Holdings (NYSE:SPCE).

Industry description

Aerospace & Defense is one of largest industries in the U.S., mainly comprising the following areas: commercial airliners, military aircraft, missiles, space, and general aviation. Focused heavily on research & development, it is also one of the fastest growing industries. Military aircraft has the largest market share in the industry’s sales, followed by space systems, civil aircraft, and missiles. Aerospace exports, directly and indirectly, support more jobs than the export of any other commodity, according to a study by the U.S. Department of Commerce. Boeing Company, Lockheed Martin Corporation and General Electric Company are some of the most prominent players in this space.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Aerospace & Defense Industry is 36.83B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 4.49 to 1.77T. SPCX holds the highest valuation in this group at 1.77T. The lowest valued company is BDRPF at 4.49.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Aerospace & Defense Industry was 5%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -1%, and the average quarterly price growth was -13%. FLY experienced the highest price growth at 39%, while VWAV experienced the biggest fall at -43%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Aerospace & Defense Industry was 17%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 3% and the average quarterly volume growth was -43%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 51
P/E Growth Rating: 54
Price Growth Rating: 62
SMR Rating: 78
Profit Risk Rating: 77
Seasonality Score: -16 (-100 ... +100)
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published General Information

General Information

a holding company, which manufactures aircraft structural parts and assemblies for prime defense contractors

Industry AerospaceDefense

Industry
Aerospace And Defense
Address
1460 Fifth Avenue
Phone
+1 631 968-5000
Employees
160
Web
https://www.airindustriesgroup.com
Air Industries Group (AIRI) Stock Analysis: A Pending Merger and Defense Backlog Anchor a Low-Priced Small Cap