AMSF AMERISAFE Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

AMSF's MACD Histogram crosses above signal line

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for AMSF turned positive on August 27, 2026. Looking at past instances where AMSF's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 28 of 45 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 62%.

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where AMSF's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, 19 of 31 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 61%.

The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 5 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.

Following a +1.53% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where AMSF advanced for three days, in 167 of 294 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 57%.

AMSF may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on September 23, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on AMSF as a result. In 52 of 89 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 58%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where AMSF declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 57%.

The Aroon Indicator for AMSF entered a downward trend on October 01, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 11 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.762) is normal, around the industry mean (-0.070). P/E Ratio (9.585) is within average values for comparable stocks, (18.873). AMSF's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.410) is slightly higher than the industry average of (0.944). AMSF's Dividend Yield (0.068) is considerably higher than the industry average of (0.023). P/S Ratio (1.394) is also within normal values, averaging (2.529).

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 49 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 82 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. AMSF’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 85 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 86 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. AMSF’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 62, placing this stock worse than average.