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Sergey Savastiouk's Avatar
published in Blogs
Oct 01, 2022

Abercrombie & Fitch (ANF, $15.46) shares got a reiterated Outperform rating from Telsey

Abercrombie & Fitch Co . shares got a reiterated Outperform rating and a price target of $25.00 from Telsey Advisory Group analyst Dana Telsey.

According to Telsey, inventory balances are expected to be right-sized to demand trends ahead of the holidays. The pullback in orders from companies such as Walmart Inc creates a more favorable chase environment, the analyst indicated.

Telsey indicated that freight seems like a tailwind to margin in Q4, with the benefit continuing into FY23. Also, the analyst continues to expect long-term margin expansion opportunity through better store footprint and strengthening digital penetration.

Related Ticker: ANF

ANF in +6.32% Uptrend, advancing for three consecutive days on January 03, 2025

Moving higher for three straight days is viewed as a bullish sign. Keep an eye on this stock for future growth. Considering data from situations where ANF advanced for three days, in of 362 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The 10-day moving average for ANF crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on December 24, 2024. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 12 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 64 cases where ANF's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on January 07, 2025. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on ANF as a result. In of 73 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for ANF turned negative on January 08, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 45 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 45 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

The 50-day moving average for ANF moved below the 200-day moving average on December 24, 2024. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where ANF declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 75, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (6.431) is normal, around the industry mean (3.964). P/E Ratio (21.196) is within average values for comparable stocks, (110.742). ANF's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is very low in comparison to the industry average of (1.444). ANF has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.028). P/S Ratio (1.624) is also within normal values, averaging (1.139).

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. ANF’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are TJX Companies (NYSE:TJX), lululemon athletica (NASDAQ:LULU), Gap Inc (The) (NYSE:GAP), Abercrombie & Fitch Co (NYSE:ANF), Foot Locker (NYSE:FL), Guess (NYSE:GES), Stitch Fix (NASDAQ:SFIX).

Industry description

Companies in the apparel and/or footwear retail industry sell clothing, accessories and footwear, for different age groups and genders. The industry’s product categories could range from basics, such as underwear, to luxury items. Some retailers source items from wholesalers or an apparel brand to sell in their stores; some others are licensed to make and market their own retail goods under particular brands. Several companies outsource production of clothing to developing/emerging economies where labor costs are relatively inexpensive. Apparel retail is often influenced by fashion trends, and many companies feel the need to adapt to what’s “in vogue” to retain customers and attract new ones. A major disruption in this industry has been the burgeoning trend in digital shopping – to compete with rapidly growing e-commerce, even traditional retail players are upping the ante on their online platforms. Much of the products’ performance in apparel/footwear retail is cyclical, i.e., economic boom times encourage consumer spending, while recessions induce thriftiness among people. Some large-cap U.S. apparel/footwear retail companies include TJX Companies Inc., Ross Stores, Inc., Lululemon Athletica Inc. and Burlington Stores, Inc.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Apparel/Footwear Retail Industry is 13.84B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 256K to 119.4B. IDEXY holds the highest valuation in this group at 119.4B. The lowest valued company is DESTQ at 256K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Apparel/Footwear Retail Industry was 0%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -1%, and the average quarterly price growth was -3%. BOZTY experienced the highest price growth at 10%, while TPSRF experienced the biggest fall at -15%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Apparel/Footwear Retail Industry was -18%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -13% and the average quarterly volume growth was -14%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 53
P/E Growth Rating: 52
Price Growth Rating: 59
SMR Rating: 60
Profit Risk Rating: 74
Seasonality Score: -2 (-100 ... +100)
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published General Information

General Information

an operator of apparel and personal care stores

Industry ApparelFootwearRetail

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Apparel Or Footwear Retail
Address
6301 Fitch Path
Phone
+1 614 283-6500
Employees
29600
Web
https://corporate.abercrombie.com