American Public Education (APEI, $4.64) lost -63.66% in three months, becoming one of the top quarterly losers among penny stocks
American Public Education Inc. (APEI) is a provider of online higher education services, catering to adult learners and members of the military. Unfortunately, APEI has had a rough few months, losing -63.66% of its value in just three months, becoming one of the top quarterly losers among penny stocks. A.I.dvisor, an artificial intelligence-powered investment platform, analyzed 277 other stocks in the Miscellaneous Commercial Services Industry for the 3-month period ending March 23, 2023, and found that 133 of them (47.93%) exhibited an Uptrend while 144 of them (52.07%) exhibited a Downtrend.
APEI's recent trend has been largely negative, with the stock down -11.24% over the last three days. This decline has occurred over three consecutive days, which is often viewed as a bearish sign. The fact that the decline has continued for three straight days suggests that investors may be losing faith in the company's prospects, at least in the short term.
The situation with APEI is not entirely unique, as data from situations where APEI declined for three days suggest that the price tends to decline further within the following month. In fact, the odds of a continued downward trend are 77%, suggesting that investors should keep an eye on APEI for future declines.
One possible reason for APEI's poor performance could be increased competition in the online education space. The rise of Massive Open Online Courses (MOOCs) and other online learning platforms has made it easier than ever for students to get an education without ever setting foot on a traditional college campus. As a result, companies like APEI may be facing increased pressure to compete on price and quality.
Despite the challenges facing APEI, it's worth noting that the company has a number of strengths that could help it weather the current storm. For example, APEI has a long history of providing high-quality online education services to students around the world. The company also has a strong balance sheet, with relatively low debt and a solid cash position. Additionally, APEI has a track record of adapting to changing market conditions, which could bode well for its future prospects.
APEI in +1.62% Uptrend, rising for three consecutive days on February 20, 2025
Moving higher for three straight days is viewed as a bullish sign. Keep an eye on this stock for future growth. Considering data from situations where APEI advanced for three days, in of 297 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
APEI may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 216 cases where APEI Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 62 cases where APEI's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on February 21, 2025. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on APEI as a result. In of 84 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for APEI turned negative on February 21, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 39 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 39 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .
APEI moved below its 50-day moving average on February 21, 2025 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where APEI declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. APEI’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.984) is normal, around the industry mean (28.563). P/E Ratio (16.367) is within average values for comparable stocks, (86.537). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.019) is also within normal values, averaging (1.746). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.039) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.430) is also within normal values, averaging (12.332).
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. APEI’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 81, placing this stock worse than average.
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General Information
a provider of online post-secondary education
Industry MiscellaneousCommercialServices