AROW Arrow Financial Corp Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

AROW's MACD Histogram just turned positive

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for AROW turned positive on September 03, 2026. Looking at past instances where AROW's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 30 of 45 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 67%.

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where AROW's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, 17 of 27 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 63%.

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on September 02, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on AROW as a result. In 52 of 94 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 55%.

Following a +1.24% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where AROW advanced for three days, in 163 of 256 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 64%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 34 of 59 cases where AROW's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 58%.

AROW moved below its 50-day moving average on August 07, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for AROW crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on August 13, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 9 of 14 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 64%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where AROW declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 56%.

AROW broke above its upper Bollinger Band on September 03, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

The Aroon Indicator for AROW entered a downward trend on August 31, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 35 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 40 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.625) is normal, around the industry mean (1.365). P/E Ratio (12.632) is within average values for comparable stocks, (24.254). AROW's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is slightly lower than the industry average of (1.682). Dividend Yield (0.030) settles around the average of (0.031) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (3.670) is also within normal values, averaging (3.789).

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 44 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. AROW’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 56 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 56, placing this stock slightly worse than average.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 68 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.